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On April 4th, Lydia Boussour, Senior Economist at EY-Parthenon, stated that despite a strong rebound in US employment data in March, the labor market remains fragile. She believes that against a backdrop of policy uncertainty, businesses are becoming more cautious, with hiring intentions cooling. Companies are increasingly inclined to protect profit margins and cope by boosting productivity rather than expanding their workforce. "Looking ahead, we expect the labor market in 2026 to be largely frozen, characterized by selective hiring, limited wage growth, and strategic workforce adjustments amidst historically tight labor supply," Boussour predicted. She anticipates that job growth will be slightly below the breakeven level, and the unemployment rate will gradually rise to around 4.7%. "Given the ongoing Middle East conflict, downside risks dominate, with a 40% probability of recession," she added.

[US Labor Market Remains Fragile, 40% Recession Risk: EY-Parthenon]On April 4th, Lydia Boussour, Senior Economist at EY-Parthenon, stated that despite a strong rebound in US employment data in March, the labor market remains fragile. She believes that against a backdrop of policy uncertainty, businesses are becoming more cautious, with hiring intentions cooling. Companies are increasingly inclined to protect profit margins and cope by boosting productivity rather than expanding their workforce. "Looking ahead, we expect the labor market in 2026 to be largely frozen, characterized by selective hiring, limited wage growth, and strategic workforce adjustments amidst historically tight labor supply," Boussour predicted. She anticipates that job growth will be slightly below the breakeven level, and the unemployment rate will gradually rise to around 4.7%. "Given the ongoing Middle East conflict, downside risks dominate, with a 40% probability of recession," she added.

US Labor Market Remains Fragile, 40% Recession Risk: EY-Parthenon

On April 4th, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that the economy does not need to create as many jobs as before to maintain the same employment-to-population ratio. In this environment, monthly hiring data is no longer the most accurate reflection of labor market health. The unemployment rate may be a better measure. She said, "Ratios and indicators such as the employment-to-population ratio, unemployment rate, quit rate, or hiring rate can reflect changes in the size of the labor force, thus providing a clearer picture of the labor market's health."

[Fed's Daly: Focus on Employment-to-Population Ratio, Not Job Numbers]On April 4th, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that the economy does not need to create as many jobs as before to maintain the same employment-to-population ratio. In this environment, monthly hiring data is no longer the most accurate reflection of labor market health. The unemployment rate may be a better measure. She said, "Ratios and indicators such as the employment-to-population ratio, unemployment rate, quit rate, or hiring rate can reflect changes in the size of the labor force, thus providing a clearer picture of the labor market's health."

Fed's Daly: Focus on Employment-to-Population Ratio, Not Job Numbers

Charles Schwab has announced the upcoming launch of its "Schwab Crypto" trading account, enabling users to directly trade Bitcoin and Ethereum. The account will be powered by a proprietary system built and provided by Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB, and will be available nationwide, excluding New York and Louisiana.

[Charles Schwab to Launch 'Schwab Crypto' Trading Account]Charles Schwab has announced the upcoming launch of its "Schwab Crypto" trading account, enabling users to directly trade Bitcoin and Ethereum. The account will be powered by a proprietary system built and provided by Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB, and will be available nationwide, excluding New York and Louisiana.

Charles Schwab to Launch 'Schwab Crypto' Trading Account

On April 4th, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States for March saw the largest increase since the end of 2024, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined. "The Wall Street Journal's" Fed reporter, Nick Timiraos, pointed out that this data has temporarily eased the difficult policy dilemma of "protecting employment or controlling inflation." The interest rate swap market shows that expectations for rate cuts within the year have fallen from pricing of about 4 basis points before the report's release to nearly zero, and bets on rate cuts next year have also narrowed.

[US Jobs Data Eases Fed's Dilemma, Market Cuts Rate Cut Bets]On April 4th, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States for March saw the largest increase since the end of 2024, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined. "The Wall Street Journal's" Fed reporter, Nick Timiraos, pointed out that this data has temporarily eased the difficult policy dilemma of "protecting employment or controlling inflation." The interest rate swap market shows that expectations for rate cuts within the year have fallen from pricing of about 4 basis points before the report's release to nearly zero, and bets on rate cuts next year have also narrowed.

US Jobs Data Eases Fed's Dilemma, Market Cuts Rate Cut Bets

edge Surges 45.58% in 24H, Currently at 1.0317 USDT

【edge currently trades at 1.0317 USDT, up 45.58% in 24h, according to HTX market data.】edge Surges 45.58% in 24H, Currently at 1.0317 USDT

edge currently trades at 1.0317 USDT, up 45.58% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

edge Hits New High of 1.0317 USDT, Up 45.58% in 24H

【edge soared to 1.0486 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 45.58%. It currently trades at 1.0317 USDT on HTX.】edge Hits New High of 1.0317 USDT, Up 45.58% in 24H

edge soared to 1.0486 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 45.58%. It currently trades at 1.0317 USDT on HTX.

cfg Surges 14.88% in 24H, Currently at 0.1691 USDT

【cfg currently trades at 0.1691 USDT, up 14.88% in 24h, according to HTX market data.】cfg Surges 14.88% in 24H, Currently at 0.1691 USDT

cfg currently trades at 0.1691 USDT, up 14.88% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

cfg Hits New High of 0.1691 USDT, Up 14.88% in 24H

【cfg soared to 0.1771 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 14.88%. It currently trades at 0.1691 USDT on HTX.】cfg Hits New High of 0.1691 USDT, Up 14.88% in 24H

cfg soared to 0.1771 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 14.88%. It currently trades at 0.1691 USDT on HTX.

On April 3rd, the Israel Defense Forces announced that the Israeli military launched large-scale airstrikes on infrastructure in Iran's capital, Tehran. (CCTV News)

[Israeli Military Claims New Airstrikes on Tehran Infrastructure]On April 3rd, the Israel Defense Forces announced that the Israeli military launched large-scale airstrikes on infrastructure in Iran's capital, Tehran. (CCTV News)

Israeli Military Claims New Airstrikes on Tehran Infrastructure

Sources told Axios that after laying off most of Twitter's senior management team, Musk plans to cut up to 30% of staff in select divisions starting this weekend, including more than 15-30% in product. The layoffs are expected to take place by Nov. 1, when most employees' quarterly stock options are due on Nov. 1.

Detail

【Sources: Musk plans to lay off up to 30% of Twitter in some departments】Sources told Axios that after laying off most of Twitter's senior management team, Musk plans to cut up to 30% of staff in select divisions starting this weekend, including more than 15-30% in product. The layoffs are expected to take place by Nov. 1, when most employees' quarterly stock options are due on Nov. 1.

Sources: Musk plans to lay off up to 30% of Twitter in some departments

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Sources: Musk plans to lay off up to 30% of Twitter in some departments

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