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On April 16, market data showed that the three major U.S. indices rose before the market opened, with the Nasdaq up 0.31%, the Dow Jones up 0.02%, and the S&P 500 up 0.14%. Most of the seven major tech stocks saw gains before the market opened, with Apple (AAPL) down 0.15%, Microsoft (MSFT) up 1.54%, Alphabet (GOOGL) up 0.27%, Amazon (AMZN) up 0.12%, Nvidia (NVDA) up 0.41%, Tesla (TSLA) up 0.71%, and Meta (META) up 0.42%.

[Major U.S. Indices Rise Before Market Open, Microsoft (MSFT) Up 1.54%]On April 16, market data showed that the three major U.S. indices rose before the market opened, with the Nasdaq up 0.31%, the Dow Jones up 0.02%, and the S&P 500 up 0.14%. Most of the seven major tech stocks saw gains before the market opened, with Apple (AAPL) down 0.15%, Microsoft (MSFT) up 1.54%, Alphabet (GOOGL) up 0.27%, Amazon (AMZN) up 0.12%, Nvidia (NVDA) up 0.41%, Tesla (TSLA) up 0.71%, and Meta (META) up 0.42%.

Major U.S. Indices Rise Before Market Open, Microsoft (MSFT) Up 1.54%

On April 16, CoinGecko released its Q1 2026 Crypto Industry Report. Influenced by bearish trends from late 2025 and global geopolitical instability, the total crypto market cap fell by 20.4% to $622 billion, ending the quarter at $2.4 trillion, approximately 45% lower than the peak in October 2025. The average daily trading volume decreased by 27.2% to $117.8 billion. The total market cap of stablecoins remained stable at $309.9 billion. The supply of USDT saw its first decline since Q2 2022, dropping by 1.6%, while USDC grew by 2.4% to $77.1 billion. Due to supply shocks from the U.S.-Iran war, crude oil surged by 76.9%, becoming the best-performing asset in Q1; Bitcoin fell by 22.0%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 dropped by 7.1% and 4.8%, respectively. CEX Spot Trading: The top ten centralized exchanges saw a 39.1% decrease in spot trading volume to $2.7 trillion, with March recording only $80 billion, the lowest since November 2023. DEX On-chain Trading: Solana maintained the top position with a 30.6% quarterly share, but was surpassed by Ethereum in March. Monad has entered the top ten. Hyperliquid benefited from the HIP-3 upgrade supporting commodity perpetual contracts, with commodity contracts accounting for about 30% of Hyperliquid's total open positions. On April 9, tradeXYZ's two crude oil perpetual contracts surpassed $4 billion in daily trading volume, exceeding Bitcoin's daily trading volume on Hyperliquid for the first time.

[CoinGecko Q1 2026 Crypto Industry Report: Total Market Cap Drops 20.4%, Commodity Perpetual Contracts Shine]On April 16, CoinGecko released its Q1 2026 Crypto Industry Report. Influenced by bearish trends from late 2025 and global geopolitical instability, the total crypto market cap fell by 20.4% to $622 billion, ending the quarter at $2.4 trillion, approximately 45% lower than the peak in October 2025. The average daily trading volume decreased by 27.2% to $117.8 billion. The total market cap of stablecoins remained stable at $309.9 billion. The supply of USDT saw its first decline since Q2 2022, dropping by 1.6%, while USDC grew by 2.4% to $77.1 billion. Due to supply shocks from the U.S.-Iran war, crude oil surged by 76.9%, becoming the best-performing asset in Q1; Bitcoin fell by 22.0%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 dropped by 7.1% and 4.8%, respectively. CEX Spot Trading: The top ten centralized exchanges saw a 39.1% decrease in spot trading volume to $2.7 trillion, with March recording only $80 billion, the lowest since November 2023. DEX On-chain Trading: Solana maintained the top position with a 30.6% quarterly share, but was surpassed by Ethereum in March. Monad has entered the top ten. Hyperliquid benefited from the HIP-3 upgrade supporting commodity perpetual contracts, with commodity contracts accounting for about 30% of Hyperliquid's total open positions. On April 9, tradeXYZ's two crude oil perpetual contracts surpassed $4 billion in daily trading volume, exceeding Bitcoin's daily trading volume on Hyperliquid for the first time.

CoinGecko Q1 2026 Crypto Industry Report: Total Market Cap Drops 20.4%, Commodity Perpetual Contracts Shine

On April 16, according to Fortune, the value of portfolios from top crypto venture capital funds such as Paradigm, Pantera Capital, and a16z has decreased due to a market downturn and dividends paid to investors. The total assets under management of a16z Crypto's four cryptocurrency funds plummeted nearly 40% to $9.5 billion between 2024 and 2025, partly because a16z Crypto began returning funds to investors from its first three funds. Multicoin Capital's assets under management have also been cut by more than half, now standing at approximately $2.7 billion.

[Top Crypto VC Funds See Significant Portfolio Shrinkage Due to Market Slump and Dividends]On April 16, according to Fortune, the value of portfolios from top crypto venture capital funds such as Paradigm, Pantera Capital, and a16z has decreased due to a market downturn and dividends paid to investors. The total assets under management of a16z Crypto's four cryptocurrency funds plummeted nearly 40% to $9.5 billion between 2024 and 2025, partly because a16z Crypto began returning funds to investors from its first three funds. Multicoin Capital's assets under management have also been cut by more than half, now standing at approximately $2.7 billion.

Top Crypto VC Funds See Significant Portfolio Shrinkage Due to Market Slump and Dividends

On April 16, Yi Lihua, founder of Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital), acknowledged that he is quite ordinary yet important. Whether in traditional industries or entering the cryptocurrency space, we have always focused on primary investment and secondary trading. Although operating projects and trading platforms can be very profitable, our energy and capabilities are indeed limited, leaving us only to admire and envy others. In 2018, we incubated a market-making firm, but the team kept the profits for themselves and left the losses to us, which led to a painful exit in 2019. Since then, I have not been deeply involved in market making; at most, I have invested in some promising trading teams. Conspiracy theories are always popular, but I am not a jack-of-all-trades; I simply do not have the ability or energy to manage projects, and trading platforms are very aware of this.

[Yi Lihua: Focused on Primary Investment and Secondary Trading, No Longer Deeply Involved in Market Making Since 2019]On April 16, Yi Lihua, founder of Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital), acknowledged that he is quite ordinary yet important. Whether in traditional industries or entering the cryptocurrency space, we have always focused on primary investment and secondary trading. Although operating projects and trading platforms can be very profitable, our energy and capabilities are indeed limited, leaving us only to admire and envy others. In 2018, we incubated a market-making firm, but the team kept the profits for themselves and left the losses to us, which led to a painful exit in 2019. Since then, I have not been deeply involved in market making; at most, I have invested in some promising trading teams. Conspiracy theories are always popular, but I am not a jack-of-all-trades; I simply do not have the ability or energy to manage projects, and trading platforms are very aware of this.

Yi Lihua: Focused on Primary Investment and Secondary Trading, No Longer Deeply Involved in Market Making Since 2019

On April 16, on-chain analyst Murphy indicated that the cost for short-term holders (1-3m_RP) holding for 1-3 months is approximately $75,400, which is near the current price. In this downtrend, BTC has rebounded close to this resistance level for the second time. The last rebound near this position occurred between January 13 and January 19, where a slight breakthrough led to selling pressure and continued pullback. Based on historical data, the analyst believes that the likelihood of another pullback is high, as in the past three cycles, there has never been a successful reversal on just the second challenge of a resistance level. Additionally, there is a potential scenario where BTC could break through but encounter greater resistance above, specifically at the average cost line for short-term holders (STH-RP). Currently, around 2.31 million BTC are located at approximately $81,000, and if BTC faces resistance here after an upward movement, the market will need time to digest the selling pressure and begin to cautiously choose a direction.

[Analysis: BTC Faces Second Challenge at $75,400 Short-Term Holder Cost, High Likelihood of Further Pullback]On April 16, on-chain analyst Murphy indicated that the cost for short-term holders (1-3m_RP) holding for 1-3 months is approximately $75,400, which is near the current price. In this downtrend, BTC has rebounded close to this resistance level for the second time. The last rebound near this position occurred between January 13 and January 19, where a slight breakthrough led to selling pressure and continued pullback. Based on historical data, the analyst believes that the likelihood of another pullback is high, as in the past three cycles, there has never been a successful reversal on just the second challenge of a resistance level. Additionally, there is a potential scenario where BTC could break through but encounter greater resistance above, specifically at the average cost line for short-term holders (STH-RP). Currently, around 2.31 million BTC are located at approximately $81,000, and if BTC faces resistance here after an upward movement, the market will need time to digest the selling pressure and begin to cautiously choose a direction.

Analysis: BTC Faces Second Challenge at $75,400 Short-Term Holder Cost, High Likelihood of Further Pullback

On April 16, it was reported that Exchange Traded Concepts, an asset management giant with a management scale of $21.7 billion, has increased its holdings in MicroStrategy ($MSTR) by 19,897 shares, bringing its total holdings to 262,066 shares, valued at approximately $37.5 million.

[Asset Management Giant Exchange Traded Concepts Increases MSTR Holdings to 262,066 Shares Worth Approximately $37.5 Million]On April 16, it was reported that Exchange Traded Concepts, an asset management giant with a management scale of $21.7 billion, has increased its holdings in MicroStrategy ($MSTR) by 19,897 shares, bringing its total holdings to 262,066 shares, valued at approximately $37.5 million.

Asset Management Giant Exchange Traded Concepts Increases MSTR Holdings to 262,066 Shares Worth Approximately $37.5 Million

On April 16, market news: Anthropic plans to provide access to 'Mythos' for UK banks within the next week.

[Anthropic Plans to Provide Access to 'Mythos' for UK Banks Next Week]On April 16, market news: Anthropic plans to provide access to 'Mythos' for UK banks within the next week.

Anthropic Plans to Provide Access to 'Mythos' for UK Banks Next Week

On April 16, JPMorgan analysts stated that negotiations on the U.S. Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act (the CLARITY Act) have entered the final stage, with both sides working to reach compromises on a few remaining contentious points. The number of disputes has been reduced from over a dozen to 2-3 core issues, with discussions on stablecoin rewards being "in a good place." While banks express concerns about stablecoins offering similar yields to deposits, there is an overall bipartisan compromise trend. JPMorgan believes that "there is no perfect bill"; once passed, the act will provide important regulatory clarity for the integration of digital assets into the U.S. financial system. The remaining major disagreements focus on stablecoin rewards, DeFi regulation, and token classification. Although optimism is rising, there is still a risk of delays due to the 2026 midterm elections, which could lead to a more uncertain political environment. If the act is ultimately passed, it will delineate the regulatory authority between the SEC and CFTC, bringing a long-term regulatory framework for stablecoins, DeFi, and the entire cryptocurrency industry.

[JPMorgan: Negotiations on the CLARITY Act Enter Final Stage, Disputes Reduced to 2-3 Core Issues]On April 16, JPMorgan analysts stated that negotiations on the U.S. Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act (the CLARITY Act) have entered the final stage, with both sides working to reach compromises on a few remaining contentious points. The number of disputes has been reduced from over a dozen to 2-3 core issues, with discussions on stablecoin rewards being "in a good place." While banks express concerns about stablecoins offering similar yields to deposits, there is an overall bipartisan compromise trend. JPMorgan believes that "there is no perfect bill"; once passed, the act will provide important regulatory clarity for the integration of digital assets into the U.S. financial system. The remaining major disagreements focus on stablecoin rewards, DeFi regulation, and token classification. Although optimism is rising, there is still a risk of delays due to the 2026 midterm elections, which could lead to a more uncertain political environment. If the act is ultimately passed, it will delineate the regulatory authority between the SEC and CFTC, bringing a long-term regulatory framework for stablecoins, DeFi, and the entire cryptocurrency industry.

JPMorgan: Negotiations on the CLARITY Act Enter Final Stage, Disputes Reduced to 2-3 Core Issues

On April 16, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei emphasized in an interview with Russian media that the United States and Israel must be held accountable for the assassination of Iranian officials. He pointed out that not only Iran but the entire international community should demand accountability from the two countries, as their actions constitute a "crime against international peace and security." Baghaei stressed that this act is both a war crime and a crime against humanity. (CCTV International News)

[Iran to Hold US and Israel Responsible for Officials' Assassinations]On April 16, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei emphasized in an interview with Russian media that the United States and Israel must be held accountable for the assassination of Iranian officials. He pointed out that not only Iran but the entire international community should demand accountability from the two countries, as their actions constitute a "crime against international peace and security." Baghaei stressed that this act is both a war crime and a crime against humanity. (CCTV International News)

Iran to Hold US and Israel Responsible for Officials' Assassinations

the July global fund manager survey by Bank of America showed that investors believe shorting the US dollar is currently the most crowded trade, with about 34% of respondents holding this view. This is the first time in the history of the survey that shorting the US dollar has replaced being long on gold as the most crowded trade. Investors are underweight in the US dollar, as well as in US stocks, energy, and consumer staples stocks. The survey shows that 47% of investors believe the US dollar is overvalued, down from 61% in the June survey. In addition, 14% of investors believe that a sharp drop in the US dollar due to capital outflows is the third biggest tail risk (i.e. events with a low probability of occurring).

[Bank of America: Investors currently believe that shorting the dollar is the most crowded trade]the July global fund manager survey by Bank of America showed that investors believe shorting the US dollar is currently the most crowded trade, with about 34% of respondents holding this view. This is the first time in the history of the survey that shorting the US dollar has replaced being long on gold as the most crowded trade. Investors are underweight in the US dollar, as well as in US stocks, energy, and consumer staples stocks. The survey shows that 47% of investors believe the US dollar is overvalued, down from 61% in the June survey. In addition, 14% of investors believe that a sharp drop in the US dollar due to capital outflows is the third biggest tail risk (i.e. events with a low probability of occurring).

Bank of America: Investors currently believe that shorting the dollar is the most crowded trade

Article

edge soared to 1.0899 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of -0.10%. It currently trades at 1.027 USDT on HTX.

cfg soared to 0.2115 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of -4.34%. It currently trades at 0.2005 USDT on HTX.

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Bank of America: Investors currently believe that shorting the dollar is the most crowded trade

Penafian：Konten diatas tidak merepresentasikan posisi HTX.，HTX tidak memberikan rekomendasi perdagangan apa pun.。

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