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HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $BroccoliBrev: ZK Omnichain Data Proof分析比特币创纪录的低波动率 在瞬息万变的数字资产领域，比特币 (BTC) 近期达到了一个看似矛盾的里程碑。虽然“历史最低点”通常会引发价格警示，但目前真正吸引业界关

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!

分析比特币创纪录的低波动率

在瞬息万变的数字资产领域，比特币 (BTC) 近期达到了一个看似矛盾的里程碑。虽然“历史最低点”通常会引发价格警示，但目前真正吸引业界关注的指标是已实现波动率。根据富达数字资产 (Fidelity Digital Assets) 的最新数据，比特币一年期已实现波动率已暴跌至 42% 的历史新低。对于交易者和机构投资者而言，这一转变预示着市场动态的深刻变革。

波动率悖论

从历史经验来看，加密货币市场波动率的抑制期往往如同蓄势待发的弹簧。2016 年和 2023 年的数据揭示了一个一致的模式：当比特币价格企稳且波动率触底时，通常会迎来一波强劲的上涨行情，并屡创新高。

这一趋势表明市场正处于“成熟”阶段。 机构投资者的入场和复杂金融产品的推出，已开始缓解此前熊市周期中高达 80% 的极端跌幅。然而，经验丰富的交易员依然保持谨慎；低波动性可能导致长时间的横盘整理，在明确趋势出现之前，这将考验散户投资者的耐心。

巨鲸行为与矿工压力

市场内部机制显示，不同类型的“巨鲸”之间存在分化。长期持有者和矿工巨鲸的持仓依然稳健，成本基数分别约为 39,600 美元和 58,600 美元。尽管他们采取了有控制的撤资策略——过去一年内减持了约 22 万枚比特币——但这主要被视为战略性重新配置，而非恐慌性抛售。

相反，“新巨鲸”（即过去 155 天内进入市场的投资者）则面临着更为严峻的形势。目前比特币的实际价格徘徊在 99,000 美元附近，低于其盈亏平衡点。 这批持仓者构成了一堵潜在的阻力墙；许多人可能会在 99,000 美元关口抛售以收回本金，从而造成巨大的抛售压力。

交易者策略展望

对于现代交易者而言，当前的市场环境需要采取更为细致的策略。尽管算力增长停滞以及矿工面临的压力（盈亏平衡成本高达 95,000 至 96,000 

分析比特币创纪录的低波动率 在瞬息万变的数字资产领域，比特币 (BTC) 近期达到了一个看似矛盾

B: Hybrid L2 with Bitcoin Security & EVM

突破 26.5 可能预示着又一次买入良机。 然而，加密货币分析师指出，尽管市场动荡，HYPE 指标开始吸引关注，但保持谨慎始终至关重要。目前价格仍略低于 26.5 的重要阻力位，这抑制了投资者做多的意愿。在价格突破并守住该阻力位之前，建立多头头寸仍存在风险。如果价格能够清晰突破并突破 26.5，且保持强劲的动能和良好的市场活跃度，那么一切都将改变。突破确认后，在回测或突破位附近可能出现良好的做多入

突破 26.5 可能预示着又一次买入良机。 然而，加密货币分析师指出，尽管市场动荡，HYPE 指标

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Ranger Finance Sets New Benchmark with $6 Million ICO Launch on Solana The decentralized finance (DeFi) landscape is bracing for a significant milestone as Ranger Finance, a prominent perpetual contra

Ranger Finance Sets New Benchmark with $6 Million

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $BroccoliBrev: ZK Omnichain Data ProofSolana (SOL) остается в центре внимания разработчиков и инвесторов, которые отслеж

Solana (SOL) остается в центре внимания разработчиков и инвесторов, которые отслеживают рост экосистемы и производительность сети. Высокая скорость транзакций и низкие комиссии SOL продолжают привлекать проекты DeFi и NFT, способствуя росту использования. Недавняя активность подчеркивает высокую вовлеченность в блокчейн, несмотря на общую консолидацию рынка, что отражает уверенность в технических возможностях Solana. Трейдеры следят за активностью разработчиков и объявлениями о партнерстве как за потенциальными катализаторами будущего движения цены. Рыночные настроения в отношении SOL остаются осторожно оптимистичными, участники анализируют динамику объемов и состояние сети. По мере усиления конкуренции на уровне Layer-1, показатели внедрения Solana, вероятно, будут определять ее краткосрочный тренд.

Хэштеги:
#SOL #Solana #DeFi #NFT #HTXCommunityMonthlyCreationChallenge

Solana (SOL) остается в центре внимания разработчи

Brev: ZK Omnichain Data Proof

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $BroccoliBrev: ZK Omnichain Data ProofEthereum Price Predicition: Why Are Institutions Bullish on ETH? This capital rota

Ethereum Price Predicition: Why Are Institutions Bullish on ETH?
This capital rotation may have also been strategic, with Ethereum reaching the bottom of a potential 20-month bullish head-and-shoulders breakout over 2025.

The Ethereum price has confirmed a local bottom at $2,750, forming higher lows in a fresh uptrend that solidifies the right shoulder.Momentum indicators add validity to the trend. The RSI is pressing against the 50 neutral line after several higher lows, suggesting strength beneath the surface.

The MACD has also reversed towards the signal line in a potential golden cross setup, a sign that buyers may soon control the prevailing trend.

A fully realised pattern breakout could see the neckline tested around $5,500, reclaiming past all-time highs and entering new price discovery in a 75% move.

But as the bull market matures, broader institutional participation alongside traction in DeFi as mainstream use cases are realised could extend the move 225% to $10,000.

Traders should watch historical psychological levels around $3,500 and $4000 all-time highs as interim resistance to the move.

Ethereum Price Predicition: Why Are Institutions B

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $BroccoliBrev: ZK Omnichain Data Proof比特币现货ETF：连续第三个月亏损？我们是否正处于“可爱的熊市”？美国现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）已连续第三个月出现资金负流入。尽管1月份情况可能有所好转，但

比特币现货ETF：连续第三个月亏损？我们是否正处于“可爱的熊市”？美国现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）已连续第三个月出现资金负流入。尽管1月份情况可能有所好转，但该板块的悲观情绪已持续了两个月。比特币现货ETF：连续第三个月亏损？比特币现货ETF板块正逼近连续第三个月亏损的局面。SoSoValue的数据显示，1月份的前10天，投资者从现货BTC ETF中撤出了2.1亿美元。图片来源：SoSoValue。此前，该板块最长的熊市持续了两个月，发生在2025年2月至3月，当时加密货币投资者在短短60天内将比特币现货ETF的总锁定价值（TVL）减少了惊人的42亿美元。热门新闻：加密货币市场回顾：比特币能否在周末守住9万美元？ 别轻易否定 XRP，以太坊 (ETH) 价格飙升 3000 美元以上并非不可能；纽约银行 (BNY) 携手 Ripple Prime，为大型投资者开创可编程现金先河；早间加密货币报告：XRP 或将沦为 2 美元的稳定币；Coinbase 公布四种加密货币重置证明；“10000 美元 Zcash”的支持者终结了关于 ZEC 开发者丑闻的猜测；Ripple 支持的 Evernorth 将扩大 XRPL 的应用。目前的趋势更具破坏性：在 2025 年 11 月至 12 月以及 2026 年 1 月的 10 天内，现货比特币 ETF 持有者撤出了 47 亿美元的流动性。广告：整个板块的美元计价资产管理规模几乎与一年前持平。  2025年1月中旬，现货比特币ETF的总注入额估计为1070亿美元，而如今约为1160亿美元。在10月10日加密货币闪崩之前，该板块的估值一度超过1660亿美元。我们是否正处于“可爱的熊市”？比特币（BTC）作为市值最大的加密货币，也是现货比特币ETF的标的资产，在过去12个月中价格从94000美元跌至90500美元。 比特币（BTC）历史上首次在减半后的一年以下跌的K线收盘，越来越多的分析师发出熊市即将开始的信号。与此同时，CryptoQuant首席执行官Ki Young Ju预测，与2018-2019年和2021-2022年的加密货币寒冬相比，此次衰退将更为温和。这次比特币熊市将会很可爱。pic.twitter.com/02RCMvxZxC— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) January 9, 2026 加密货币市场的净市值在过去一年中从3.6万亿美元下降至3.2万亿美元，并在2025年10月7日创下超过4.3万亿美元的历史新高。

比特币现货ETF：连续第三个月亏损？我们是否正处于“可爱的熊市”？美国现货比特币交易所交易基金（ET

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!2025 Investment: Share Your Insights, Win 200 USDTHTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!a16z crypto execs warn against homogenous competitio

2025 Investment: Share Your Insights, Win 200 USDT

a16z crypto execs warn against homogenous competition of trading platforms

a16z crypto general partner, Arianna Simpson, has shared concerns about companies rushing to enter the trading business, warning that they might be affecting the industry’s chances at growth. 

Successful companies are increasingly expanding into the trading industry, but a16z crypto executives believe that trading should be an avenue to make profit and not the whole business 

Venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz’s crypto division has warned blockchain entrepreneurs that their rush toward trading platforms may be affecting the industry’s potential for innovation and sustainable growth. 

In a guidance published for crypto builders in 2026, a16z crypto executives said that trading offerings should be a means to increase revenue, but not a final business model.

a16z’s crypto partner, Arianna Simpson, pointed out that nearly every successful crypto company outside of stablecoins and core infrastructure has either already started offering or is planning to offer trading services. 

With companies all implementing identical strategies, only a handful of dominant companies can flourish in the industry. 

Simpson said it’s similar to a “marshmallow test” for founders. Individuals who resist the temptation of immediately providing products according to the market could build more valuable companies in the long run.

She stressed that while trading serves an important market function, companies should focus on the “product” part of product-market fit rather than treating trading as their final destination.
1000001919



a16z crypto execs warn against homogenous competit

SQD: Decentralized Multi-Chain Data

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $BroccoliBrev: ZK Omnichain Data ProofMiners Surviving on Cash Flow, Bleeding Long-Term According to analysis shared by 

Miners Surviving on Cash Flow, Bleeding Long-Term
According to analysis shared by renewable energy Engineer David, Bitcoin miners are surviving on cash flow but losing money on a full-cycle basis.Bitcoin can trade below its energy floor briefly. It cannot stay there,” David explained.

David added that everyone watches the Bitcoin price, but almost no one watches the machine underneath.Bitcoin isn’t stuck, it’s being compressed,” he said

“Right now, demand is winning the war but losing every battle.” $1.2 billion flowed into spot ETFs this week, and the price moved sideways. “That’s not failure. That’s absorption.”

Currently, the $90,000 level represents the hedge. Bitcoin miners are long gamma there, selling when the price rises, buying when it falls.

“They’re not betting against Bitcoin. They’re hedging their book.”

Every buy meets a hedge sell, every dip gets bought back, and this makes the range tighten and would eventually crush volatility.

This is bullish because compression doesn’t destroy demand; it stores it.

Coins are currently being transferred from weak hands to strong hands at stable prices.

According to David, as volatility gets crushed, price compresses into the tight $93,000-$96,000 range. The major resistance wall sits at $100,000.

When it fades and demand returns, price doesn’t grind higher; it resets higher.

“This is the most dangerous moment to be bearish,” the Stanford engineer concluded.

The market is pinned by dealers, and the math points to bigger upside once the tight range breaks.

Price doesn’t break free by force; it moves when the hedge weakens.

At the start of the year, Bitcoin’s price sits around $91,300 with 100% hedge strength.

By late January, the hedge is expected to fall toward approximately 43%.

Miners Surviving on Cash Flow, Bleeding Long-Term

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $BroccoliBrev: ZK Omnichain Data ProofThe weekend has started neutral for the crypto market, according to CoinMarketCap.

The weekend has started neutral for the crypto market, according to CoinMarketCap. Advertisement Top coins by CoinMarketCapXRP/USDThe rate of XRP has declined by 0.31% over the last 24 hours.Image by TradingViewOn the hourly chart, the price of XRP has made a false breakout of the local resistance at $2.1053. If the drop continues, traders may witness a test of the support by tomorrow.Image by TradingViewOn the bigger time frame, the situation is neither bullish nor bearish as the rate is trading within the previous daily candle. You Might Also Like Fri, 01/09/2026 - 15:49 DOGE Price Analysis for January 9 ByDenys Serhiichuk The volume has declined, which means sideways trading around the current prices is the more likely scenario.Image by TradingViewFrom the midterm point of view, the weekly bar is closing bearishly. If the situation does not change by the end of the week, one may see a correction to the $1.80-$2 area.XRP is trading at $2.0977 at press time.

The weekend has started neutral for the crypto mar

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $Broccoli Член команды Shiba Inu, призывающий «держаться», говорит о спаде ралли SHIB 2026 В начале 2026 года Shiba Inu 

Член команды Shiba Inu, призывающий «держаться», говорит о спаде ралли SHIB 2026

В начале 2026 года Shiba Inu продемонстрировал сильный рост, показав четыре дня резкого увеличения цены с 1 по 5 января.

В частности, резкий скачок 5 января достиг максимума в $0,00001017, который последний раз наблюдался в начале ноября, ненадолго скрыв ноль из своей цены.

Однако этот рост не был устойчивым, поскольку быки потеряли импульс, и Shiba Inu начал снижаться. С 6 января Shiba Inu завершил четыре дня в убытке, и в какой-то момент падения достиг минимума в $0,00000846.

Снижение объемов торгов в сочетании с низкой ликвидностью привело к нестабильной динамике цен на Bitcoin и альткоины, причем несколько повышений цен за последние несколько месяцев вскоре были нивелированы, что наказывает трейдеров, использующих кредитное плечо.

 Это может быть связано с сохраняющимся дефицитом ликвидности и недостаточной глубиной рынка после крупной ликвидации в октябре прошлого года, в результате которой были аннулированы ставки с использованием заемных средств на сумму почти 20 миллиардов долларов.

«Держитесь, ShibArmy!»

В недавнем сообщении на X Люси, член команды SHIB, призывает сообщество любителей сиба-ину оставаться сильными.

Член команды Shiba Inu, призывающий «держаться», г

#Altcoins Imagine #Altcoins repeating 2016/2017. TA-Wise it looks like it, it just takes longer than back then.

<div><span style="font-size: 15px;">#Altcoins&nbsp;</span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;">Imagine #Altcoins repeating 2016/2017.</span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;">TA-Wise it looks like it, it just takes longer than back then.</span><img src="https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2024-06/9669d252e61d4bbe973ee8547643794a.jpeg" alt="20240609_201703.jpg" style="width: 100%; height: auto; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"></div><br>

#Altcoins Imagine #Altcoins repeating 2016/2017.

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Article

ETH fell below 3100  USDT

BTC fell below 91000  USDT

An address deposited $5.106 million into Hyperliquid in the past 6 hours and opened long positions in BTC and short positions in ETH/SOL/AVAX.

A whale deposited 12.06 million USDC into Hyperliquid and bought 480,997 HYPE tokens.

Data: BitDeer currently holds 1900.9 Bitcoins.

Zama: Public sales registration is now open.

Solana Status has released an emergency update, recommending that all users use version 3.0.14.

ZEC briefly fell below $380

This week, US Bitcoin spot ETFs saw net outflows of $680.9 million.

Kong Jianping: The fact that core developers are starting to focus on the application layer indicates that the infrastructure has become relatively mature.

#Altcoins Imagine #Altcoins repeating 2016/2017.

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