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06/21 17:00Bullish

Why the options boom is changing what investors ac

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Why the options boom is changing what investors actually buy Investors are moving from owning assets to buying probability, and options are beginning to shape how prices form. Options trading is increasingly overtaking outright ownership across crypto, equities, prediction markets, and tokenized assets. 02That shift is reshaping price discovery and capital flows as dealers hedge, retail chases short-dated bets, and institutions hedge risk. 03The trend looks broad, but gross volume may overstate exposure, and Bitcoin faces a major June 26 expiry test. Bitcoin dropped below $60,000 by mid-June after a punishing start to the month, but the figure drawing the most attention across trading desks is the June 26 Bitcoin options expiry, with over $10 billion of contracts set to expire and roughly 80% currently sitting out of the money. In equity markets, zero-days-to-expiry options now make up well over half of daily S&P 500 index options volume, up from around 5% in 2020. Those two numbers come from very different corners of finance, but they describe the same underlying development: an options trading boom that has pushed contracts on what assets might do next into the most active part of modern markets, while ownership of those assets has slipped into a supporting role. Finance as we know it is drifting from an economy built on ownership toward one built on optionality, where investors place a growing premium on flexibility, asymmetric payoffs, and exposure to probability itself. Options, perpetual futures, prediction contracts, and tokenized derivatives are now the instruments through which markets discover prices and route capital. Crypto reached this point first, which is why the strongest evidence for the supremacy of options first appears in Bitcoin and Ethereum before it surfaces in traditional assets.
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