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06/10 08:46

Is this the last typical cycle for Bitcoin?

Is this the last typical cycle for Bitcoin?

Swan, a financial company focused on Bitcoin, has published interesting market information suggesting that the current BTC cycle is not just another repeat of the past, but may be the last of its kind.

Unlike previous bull markets, when Bitcoin saw explosive growth in the third year of its four-year cycle, 2025 is unfolding differently. Price movements have been moderate, without the typical spikes that once defined these phases. But according to Swan, this calm hides a deeper structural change.

Experienced holders seem to be pulling out over $100,000, while large institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity are entering the market — not to trade, but to hold. Swan’s chief information officer, Ben Workman, explains that this new class of buyers is fundamentally different: They are locking BTC into long-term portfolios, not looking for an exit.

Michael Saylor of Strategy agreed with this view, stating that the speculative crowd is leaving and being replaced by players with long-term convictions and no plans to sell.

Swan also points to a generational shift in capital. As wealth shifts from older generations to millennials, Bitcoin is increasingly favored as a store of value—unlike gold or stocks before it. At the same time, global economic signals, such as rising bond yields and a weakening dollar, are strengthening BTC’s role as a hedge.

Their conclusion is stark: This may be the last rotation in which Bitcoin changes hands. Once institutions take control of the supply, those who sell now may never get a second chance.

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