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On April 15, local time April 14, U.S. Vice President Vance expressed optimism about the progress of the current situation regarding Iran. He also mentioned that there is a significant amount of distrust between the U.S. and Iran, which cannot be resolved overnight. On the 14th, it was reported that Vance is expected to lead the potential second round of U.S.-Iran negotiations. Sources indicated that Trump's envoy Hook and his son-in-law Kushner will also participate. Trump has assigned the task of promoting a diplomatic solution to these three individuals and continues to maintain contact with Iran and intermediaries. The U.S. side is currently discussing the arrangements for the second round of talks internally, but it has not yet been determined whether to hold them or the specific timing.

[U.S. Vice President Expresses Optimism About Current U.S.-Iran Situation]On April 15, local time April 14, U.S. Vice President Vance expressed optimism about the progress of the current situation regarding Iran. He also mentioned that there is a significant amount of distrust between the U.S. and Iran, which cannot be resolved overnight. On the 14th, it was reported that Vance is expected to lead the potential second round of U.S.-Iran negotiations. Sources indicated that Trump's envoy Hook and his son-in-law Kushner will also participate. Trump has assigned the task of promoting a diplomatic solution to these three individuals and continues to maintain contact with Iran and intermediaries. The U.S. side is currently discussing the arrangements for the second round of talks internally, but it has not yet been determined whether to hold them or the specific timing.

U.S. Vice President Expresses Optimism About Current U.S.-Iran Situation

On April 15, according to CME's 'FedWatch': the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 1.6%, with a 96.9% probability of maintaining rates, and a 1.5% probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points.

[Fed's Probability of Keeping Rates Unchanged in April at 98.4%]On April 15, according to CME's 'FedWatch': the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 1.6%, with a 96.9% probability of maintaining rates, and a 1.5% probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points.

Fed's Probability of Keeping Rates Unchanged in April at 98.4%

On April 15, U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra expressed dissent on Tuesday regarding the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank's decision to lower global economic growth expectations and raise inflation forecasts due to the Middle East conflict, stating that these institutions may be 'overreacting.' Becerra said, 'I think they may have overreacted, but we will see.' He expressed confidence that the U.S. will soon overcome the period of rising prices. Following the war's impact on soaring energy prices, the IMF downgraded its growth outlook on Tuesday and presented a range of potential scenarios, all of which included declining growth and rising inflation. Despite Becerra's skepticism towards the predictions of these two institutions, he noted that the leaders of the IMF and World Bank have heard his call from last year for them to return to their core mission of macroeconomic stability and development, rather than focusing on issues like climate change.

[Becerra Questions IMF and World Bank Predictions, Calls Them 'Overreacting']On April 15, U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra expressed dissent on Tuesday regarding the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank's decision to lower global economic growth expectations and raise inflation forecasts due to the Middle East conflict, stating that these institutions may be 'overreacting.' Becerra said, 'I think they may have overreacted, but we will see.' He expressed confidence that the U.S. will soon overcome the period of rising prices. Following the war's impact on soaring energy prices, the IMF downgraded its growth outlook on Tuesday and presented a range of potential scenarios, all of which included declining growth and rising inflation. Despite Becerra's skepticism towards the predictions of these two institutions, he noted that the leaders of the IMF and World Bank have heard his call from last year for them to return to their core mission of macroeconomic stability and development, rather than focusing on issues like climate change.

Becerra Questions IMF and World Bank Predictions, Calls Them 'Overreacting'

based Surges 20.24% in 24H, Currently at 0.079607 USDT

【based currently trades at 0.079607 USDT, up 20.24% in 24h, according to HTX market data.】based Surges 20.24% in 24H, Currently at 0.079607 USDT

based currently trades at 0.079607 USDT, up 20.24% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $74,000, currently priced at $73,999.01, with a 24-hour decline of 0.15%. The market is experiencing significant volatility; please ensure proper risk management.

[BTC Falls Below $74,000]Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $74,000, currently priced at $73,999.01, with a 24-hour decline of 0.15%. The market is experiencing significant volatility; please ensure proper risk management.

BTC Falls Below $74,000

On April 15, foreign media reported that OpenAI is allowing a select group of users to access a new artificial intelligence model, GPT-5.4-Cyber, which aims to identify issues in software for organizations to address. A week prior, competitor Anthropic announced the release of an AI tool called Mythos, reportedly designed to identify and exploit vulnerabilities in operating systems and web browsers. Mythos has quickly raised concerns among financial institutions and government agencies. During a meeting with Wall Street leaders convened by Bessemer and Powell last week, executives were warned to take Mythos seriously. OpenAI plans to increase the number of participants in this early access program, allowing hundreds of users to test the new model, with plans to expand to thousands in the coming weeks.

[OpenAI Launches Cyber, Intensifying Competition with Anthropic Amid Regulatory Concerns]On April 15, foreign media reported that OpenAI is allowing a select group of users to access a new artificial intelligence model, GPT-5.4-Cyber, which aims to identify issues in software for organizations to address. A week prior, competitor Anthropic announced the release of an AI tool called Mythos, reportedly designed to identify and exploit vulnerabilities in operating systems and web browsers. Mythos has quickly raised concerns among financial institutions and government agencies. During a meeting with Wall Street leaders convened by Bessemer and Powell last week, executives were warned to take Mythos seriously. OpenAI plans to increase the number of participants in this early access program, allowing hundreds of users to test the new model, with plans to expand to thousands in the coming weeks.

OpenAI Launches Cyber, Intensifying Competition with Anthropic Amid Regulatory Concerns

On April 15, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated on Tuesday that global regulators need to quickly assess the risks posed by the Anthropic AI model Mythos. Bailey noted that since the financial crisis, the position of cyberattacks in risk rankings has rapidly risen, warning that this is a threat that 'will never go away.' 'We all need to figure this out, but I think it illustrates well the breadth of financial stability risks.' The Bank of England will meet with the banking sector in the coming weeks to discuss the risks associated with advancements in artificial intelligence, amid concerns that the technology could expose significant vulnerabilities in banks' technological security. Due to fears that it could be used for cyberattacks, Anthropic is limiting the release of its latest AI model, making it available only to a few large tech companies. This will buy time for businesses to strengthen their defenses against potential threats. Bailey stated, 'The question is to what extent this new version of the product can identify vulnerabilities in other systems and be used for cyberattacks.' He also expressed caution regarding how the Bank of England should respond to the impact of Iran's rate policies. He described the conflict as a 'significant supply shock,' suggesting it is better to address it at the source rather than through monetary policy tools, and any persistent inflation threat needs to be assessed in the context of the UK's weak economy. He said, 'We also need to assess the second-round effects on inflation, with the key being to what extent this impact will become persistent.'

[Bank of England Governor Bailey Warns AI Model Mythos May Threaten Financial Stability]On April 15, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated on Tuesday that global regulators need to quickly assess the risks posed by the Anthropic AI model Mythos. Bailey noted that since the financial crisis, the position of cyberattacks in risk rankings has rapidly risen, warning that this is a threat that 'will never go away.' 'We all need to figure this out, but I think it illustrates well the breadth of financial stability risks.' The Bank of England will meet with the banking sector in the coming weeks to discuss the risks associated with advancements in artificial intelligence, amid concerns that the technology could expose significant vulnerabilities in banks' technological security. Due to fears that it could be used for cyberattacks, Anthropic is limiting the release of its latest AI model, making it available only to a few large tech companies. This will buy time for businesses to strengthen their defenses against potential threats. Bailey stated, 'The question is to what extent this new version of the product can identify vulnerabilities in other systems and be used for cyberattacks.' He also expressed caution regarding how the Bank of England should respond to the impact of Iran's rate policies. He described the conflict as a 'significant supply shock,' suggesting it is better to address it at the source rather than through monetary policy tools, and any persistent inflation threat needs to be assessed in the context of the UK's weak economy. He said, 'We also need to assess the second-round effects on inflation, with the key being to what extent this impact will become persistent.'

Bank of England Governor Bailey Warns AI Model Mythos May Threaten Financial Stability

On April 15, local time April 14, UN Secretary-General António Guterres stated in New York that based on current information and signs, it is highly likely that the United States and Iran will resume negotiations. Guterres emphasized the importance of continuing negotiations, but noted that it is unrealistic to expect such a complex and long-standing issue to be resolved in the first round of talks. Therefore, negotiations need to continue, and a ceasefire must be maintained during this period. Guterres revealed that the UN Central Emergency Fund has allocated $12 million to provide effective humanitarian assistance to the Iranian people. Regarding the direct talks between Lebanon and Israel in Washington, Guterres remarked that no one should expect all issues to be resolved in that day's discussions, but it is crucial if the talks can create conditions for changing the actions of the parties involved.

[UN Secretary-General Says US-Iran Talks Likely to Resume]On April 15, local time April 14, UN Secretary-General António Guterres stated in New York that based on current information and signs, it is highly likely that the United States and Iran will resume negotiations. Guterres emphasized the importance of continuing negotiations, but noted that it is unrealistic to expect such a complex and long-standing issue to be resolved in the first round of talks. Therefore, negotiations need to continue, and a ceasefire must be maintained during this period. Guterres revealed that the UN Central Emergency Fund has allocated $12 million to provide effective humanitarian assistance to the Iranian people. Regarding the direct talks between Lebanon and Israel in Washington, Guterres remarked that no one should expect all issues to be resolved in that day's discussions, but it is crucial if the talks can create conditions for changing the actions of the parties involved.

UN Secretary-General Says US-Iran Talks Likely to Resume

On April 15, local time April 14, Iran's Permanent Mission to the International Organizations in Vienna issued a statement firmly denying recent allegations regarding Iran's nuclear program. The statement emphasized that portraying Tehran as attempting to acquire nuclear weapons is 'a great lie,' which, despite being repeatedly asserted, lacks any real and verifiable support. The mission stated that Iran's nuclear program has always been for peaceful purposes and reiterated that Iran conducts its nuclear activities within the framework of relevant international obligations. The statement also pointed out that false accusations against Iran's nuclear program do not contribute to mutual trust in the region and the international community, and that related issues should be viewed based on facts and international law. (CCTV News)

[Iran's Permanent Mission in Vienna: Claims of Iran Seeking Nuclear Weapons are 'A Great Lie']On April 15, local time April 14, Iran's Permanent Mission to the International Organizations in Vienna issued a statement firmly denying recent allegations regarding Iran's nuclear program. The statement emphasized that portraying Tehran as attempting to acquire nuclear weapons is 'a great lie,' which, despite being repeatedly asserted, lacks any real and verifiable support. The mission stated that Iran's nuclear program has always been for peaceful purposes and reiterated that Iran conducts its nuclear activities within the framework of relevant international obligations. The statement also pointed out that false accusations against Iran's nuclear program do not contribute to mutual trust in the region and the international community, and that related issues should be viewed based on facts and international law. (CCTV News)

Iran's Permanent Mission in Vienna: Claims of Iran Seeking Nuclear Weapons are 'A Great Lie'

近10分钟ARB/USDT现货出现大量主动卖单，超出昨日均值10倍，可根据市场方向顺势操作。该资金异动提醒主要用于监测Taker买卖单量变化，每10分钟统计1次，倍数超出均值越高，指示性越强。

【ARB资金异动提醒！】近10分钟ARB/USDT现货出现大量主动卖单，超出昨日均值10倍，可根据市场方向顺势操作。该资金异动提醒主要用于监测Taker买卖单量变化，每10分钟统计1次，倍数超出均值越高，指示性越强。

ARB资金异动提醒！

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ARB资金异动提醒！

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