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Matrixport Research Report | Re-evaluating the Long-Term Allocation Value of U.S. Stocks: Institutional Dividends, Industry Cycles, and Global Capital Resonance

Matrixport Research Report: Reassessing the Long-Term Allocation Value of U.S. Stocks — Institutional Advantages, Industry Cycle, and Global Capital Resonance The core of U.S. stocks' long-term allocation value lies in the convergence of three key drivers: institutional advantages, the tangible AI industry cycle, and structural increases in global capital allocation—not short-term macro trading. U.S. equities remain a core allocation option for long-term investors, supported by structural strengths. From 2015 to 2025, the Nasdaq Composite significantly outperformed major Chinese tech indices with lower drawdowns, reflecting the benefits of a mature innovation financing ecosystem, corporate cash flow discipline, and the dollar’s global liquidity role. The AI industry is transitioning from infrastructure expansion to application penetration. Real adoption is accelerating, with 78% of organizations reporting AI use in 2024. U.S. AI-related capex nearly doubled from 2019 to 2025, indicating sustained investment cycle rather than speculative hype. Global institutional holdings of U.S. equities rose ~48% from 2023 to 2025, reflecting strategic reallocation—not short-term inflows. This is driven by the market’s depth, regulatory predictability, and concentrated exposure to leading tech and AI assets. While 2026 may see moderate rate cuts and fiscal policy debates, the long-term outlook remains intact. Short-term volatility may offer entry opportunities, given the resilience of structural drivers. In summary, U.S. stocks represent a rare combination of institutional, technological, and capital advantages, reinforcing their role as a long-term core holding.

MatrixportHace 18 hora(s)

Matrixport Research Report | Re-evaluating the Long-Term Allocation Value of U.S. Stocks: Institutional Dividends, Industry Cycles, and Global Capital Resonance

MatrixportHace 18 hora(s)

ARK Invest: Four Trends Enhancing Bitcoin's Value

ARK Invest identifies four key trends enhancing Bitcoin's value proposition in 2026: favorable macro and policy conditions driving demand for scarce digital assets; structural ownership shifts via ETFs, corporations, and sovereign nations; Bitcoin's evolving role as a high-beta digital extension of gold and store of value; and reduced volatility and drawdowns compared to prior cycles. Bitcoin is transitioning from an emerging speculative asset to a strategic institutional allocation, supported by regulatory clarity, ETF adoption absorbing over 12% of supply, and increased corporate and sovereign holdings. Despite short-term price dislocations, long-term holders have been rewarded, with Bitcoin's correlation to gold suggesting potential as a macro hedge. The focus is no longer on Bitcoin's viability but on its optimal allocation in diversified portfolios.

marsbitHace 19 hora(s)

ARK Invest: Four Trends Enhancing Bitcoin's Value

marsbitHace 19 hora(s)

Bitcoin's Triple Resonance at the Bottom: The Ultimate Direction of Macroeconomics, On-Chain Data, and Miner Economics

Bitcoin is currently undergoing a significant correction, having fallen from its October 2025 all-time high of ~$126,000 to the $60,000-$70,000 range. This report analyzes the potential for a cycle bottom, arguing that traditional "four-year cycle" models are less reliable due to structural shifts like institutional adoption via ETFs and heightened sensitivity to macro liquidity. A multi-factor model identifies a high-confidence structural bottom zone between $52,000 and $58,000. This range represents a triple confluence of key support levels: the 200-week moving average (a historical bull/bear divider), the network's average realized price (the aggregate cost basis of all coins), and the shutdown price for a significant portion of the mining network (particularly Antminer S21 series miners). While a deeper fall to a "physical hard bottom" of ~$44,000 (the shutdown price for the most efficient miners) is possible in a worst-case scenario, it is considered unlikely barring a systemic financial crash. The analysis is set against the "Warsh Shock," a macro event where the new Fed Chair's hawkish stance on quantitative tightening has tightened liquidity, pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin. Despite the price drop, on-chain data shows short-term holders are capitulating, while long-term holders are accumulating. Furthermore, stablecoin reserves remain near all-time highs, indicating significant dry powder is waiting on the sidelines to re-enter the market. The recommended strategy is a pyramidal accumulation approach within the $52k-$58k value zone, with patience advised until macro conditions improve or key on-chain capitulation metrics are met.

marsbitHace 19 hora(s)

Bitcoin's Triple Resonance at the Bottom: The Ultimate Direction of Macroeconomics, On-Chain Data, and Miner Economics

marsbitHace 19 hora(s)

Risk-Off Signals Dominate As Bitcoin Tests Market Conviction – Details

Bitcoin has fallen below $70,000 and is testing support at $65,000 amid fragile market conditions and persistent selling pressure. A CryptoQuant report indicates a deteriorating macro backdrop, with U.S. retail sales and wage growth both slowing, signaling a potential economic inflection point. This environment reinforces a risk-off sentiment, causing Bitcoin to behave similarly to equities. The Coinbase Premium Gap remains negative, suggesting weak U.S. spot demand and derivative-driven price action. A shift to positive premiums, supported by ETF inflows, would be needed to improve the medium-term outlook.

bitcoinistAyer 05:02

Risk-Off Signals Dominate As Bitcoin Tests Market Conviction – Details

bitcoinistAyer 05:02

Tom Lee: From Wall Street Strategist to Ethereum's Biggest Bull

Tom Lee, a former Wall Street strategist and co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, has become one of the most prominent voices bridging traditional finance and the crypto market. Known for his macro-driven, bullish outlook on assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, he translates complex economic variables—such as monetary policy, liquidity, and institutional adoption—into actionable investment theses. Lee began his career at J.P. Morgan, where he developed expertise in equity strategy and macro analysis. After founding Fundstrat, he gradually shifted focus toward crypto, framing Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary uncertainty and a risk asset correlated with macro liquidity. While often perceived as perpetually bullish, Lee’s approach is narrative-driven and long-term. He views Ethereum not as a speculative token but as a productive financial infrastructure asset—akin to a digital commodity—powering decentralized finance, stablecoins, and real-world asset tokenization. Key to his ETH thesis are its deflationary mechanism (via burning), staking yield, and role as the settlement layer for on-chain activity. Lee emphasizes that Ethereum’s value capture resembles that of cash-flow-generating assets, making it more palatable to institutional investors. As crypto becomes more regulated and institutionalized, he believes ETH’s economic model and utility will drive sustained demand. His influence lies in applying Wall Street frameworks to crypto, offering a macro perspective often absent in retail-driven markets.

marsbitAyer 01:18

Tom Lee: From Wall Street Strategist to Ethereum's Biggest Bull

marsbitAyer 01:18

To All Crypto Holders Questioning Life: Navigating the Darkest Hour, Crypto Is Still at the Chaotic Beginning

An 8-year crypto veteran reflects on the extreme optimism at the start of 2025 following Trump’s pro-crypto election win, which quickly soured after Trump family meme coin launches damaged credibility. Despite institutional adoption through Bitcoin ETFs and stablecoin integration by major firms, the market crash began with Trump's 100% China tariffs and an MSCI proposal to exclude crypto-heavy companies from indices. A massive Binance outage triggered historic liquidations, decoupling crypto from rising traditional markets. By 2026, crypto fell further as traditional markets sold off, demonstrating deep entanglement with Wall Street—a double-edged sword of institutional adoption. Critics declared crypto dead, but the author argues the market is still immature and intertwined with equities. Macro conditions like potential rate cuts and a weaker dollar could fuel a recovery. The larger narrative remains intact: stablecoins are modernizing finance, blockchain infrastructure is expanding, and regulatory clarity is advancing. The convergence with AI remains an unexplored frontier. Despite risks, the author believes we are still at the "chaotic beginning" of an internet-native financial system.

marsbitHace 2 días 08:08

To All Crypto Holders Questioning Life: Navigating the Darkest Hour, Crypto Is Still at the Chaotic Beginning

marsbitHace 2 días 08:08

January Crypto Market Analysis: Prices Decline, But Institutional Infrastructure Accelerates

January 2026 presented a paradox in the crypto market: prices fell by 25%, yet infrastructure supporting institutional adoption accelerated. While Bitcoin dropped to a 10-month low near $73,000 and leveraged traders liquidated $2.2 billion in positions, institutional developments advanced rapidly. BlackRock identified digital assets as a key 2026 investment theme, DTCC launched production-level tokenization for U.S. Treasuries and equities, and Y Combinator announced it would fund startups in USDC. The sell-off was driven by macro shocks—not crypto-specific weakness—including stress in Japanese government bonds and the nomination of a hawkish Fed chair, triggering global deleveraging. Bitcoin correlated with risk assets rather than acting as a hedge, raising questions about its institutional role. Despite price volatility, regulatory clarity improved, and jurisdictions like Hong Kong and Dubai competed to attract crypto capital. Protocol development continued unabated, with Ethereum and Solana pushing scalability upgrades. However, security losses exceeded $370 million, highlighting operational risks. The divergence between price action and structural progress defines this cycle, indicating that institutional maturity is advancing independently of short-term valuations.

marsbitHace 2 días 07:36

January Crypto Market Analysis: Prices Decline, But Institutional Infrastructure Accelerates

marsbitHace 2 días 07:36

Australia Interest Rate Hike Fears Influence $BMIC Macro Investment Tones

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85%, signaling a hawkish stance amid persistent inflation and a tight labor market. This contrasts with other major central banks and reflects a 'higher for longer' interest rate environment. The tightening monetary policy is driving investors toward secure, utility-focused assets rather than speculative ones. A key emerging risk is the 'Harvest Now, Decrypt Later' threat, where encrypted data is collected now to be decrypted later using quantum computing. This has increased interest in quantum-resistant cryptographic infrastructure. BMIC ($BMIC) is highlighted as a project offering a post-quantum financial stack that eliminates public key exposure risks, using AI-enhanced threat detection and ERC-4337 Smart Accounts. The project has raised over $444K in its presale, indicating investor confidence in quantum-proof blockchain solutions as essential future-proof infrastructure.

bitcoinist02/09 13:29

Australia Interest Rate Hike Fears Influence $BMIC Macro Investment Tones

bitcoinist02/09 13:29

Returning to $70,000: Is Bitcoin's Violent Rebound a Trend Restart or a Bull Trap?

Bitcoin experienced a violent rebound from $60,000 to over $70,000 within 24 hours, erasing a recent 14% crash. However, the rally was not driven by strong spot buying but rather by a combination of macro market stabilization and forced short-covering amid extreme fear sentiment in derivatives markets. Key factors behind the earlier selloff included expectations of liquidity tightening due to Trump’s potential Fed appointment, pressure on miner profitability, and spillover from tech stock and metals volatility. Despite the sharp recovery, options traders are heavily hedging against a potential retest of the $50,000–$60,000 range by late February. Sustaining $70,000 depends on continued macro stability, reduced ETF outflows, and normalized derivatives sentiment. The rebound appears more of a mechanical squeeze than a conviction-driven reversal.

比推02/09 12:59

Returning to $70,000: Is Bitcoin's Violent Rebound a Trend Restart or a Bull Trap?

比推02/09 12:59

Bitcoin Returns to $70K: Rebound or Real Trap?

Bitcoin surged from $60,000 to over $70,000 in under 24 hours, erasing a 14% drop, but the rebound was driven more by macro-market stabilization and forced liquidations than strong spot buying. The sell-off was triggered by risk-off sentiment across assets, including tech stocks and metals, exacerbated by expectations of tighter liquidity under a potential Trump-appointed Fed chair. Despite the rebound, derivatives markets show persistent bearish signals: negative funding rates, skewed put options, and ETF outflows. Options traders are pricing in a significant chance of a drop to $50,000–$60,000 by late February. Holding $70,000 depends on sustained macro stability, reduced leverage, improved miner conditions, and a reversal in institutional outflows. The rebound appears fragile, with underlying sentiment remaining cautious.

marsbit02/09 12:30

Bitcoin Returns to $70K: Rebound or Real Trap?

marsbit02/09 12:30

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