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"Kalshi" Removes All Sports Event Options Amidst CFTC Investigation

"Kalshi" has removed all of its sports-related event options amid an investigation launched by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), according to an NPR report citing anonymous sources. Federal regulators are scrutinizing "mention markets," with sources indicating these markets are potentially highly susceptible to manipulation. A court order from Washington State's King County also compels Kalshi to cease marketing or offering contracts related to sports, elections, politics, entertainment, and mentions, citing violations of gambling laws and high fraud risks. The order prohibits Kalshi from advertising such bets to Washington consumers. This follows a high-profile incident where a former Trump teleprompter operator allegedly used advance access to speeches for mention market trades. Kalshi froze approximately $90,000 of his profits and reported the activity to the CFTC. The company, which has positioned itself as a "prediction market," is facing a complex and rapidly evolving legal landscape with differing state-level rulings on its contracts.

cryptonews.ruHace 14 hora(s)

"Kalshi" Removes All Sports Event Options Amidst CFTC Investigation

cryptonews.ruHace 14 hora(s)

The Value, Growth, and Risks of Prediction Markets

The article discusses the explosive growth and complex nature of prediction markets in the United States, focusing on their value, risks, and regulatory challenges. Key drivers include sports betting, which fueled a 1795% year-over-year trading volume increase in Q2 2026, with platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket dominating. These markets offer significant potential as superior hedging tools for businesses and more efficient price discovery mechanisms than traditional polls or derivatives for events like Fed rate decisions, elections, or GPU prices. They also serve as customer acquisition channels for platforms like Robinhood. However, major challenges persist. A central conflict exists between federal regulators (CFTC), which classify event contracts as derivatives under its jurisdiction, and state authorities, which view sports-related contracts as illegal gambling, leading to numerous lawsuits. There is significant consumer protection risk: data shows most retail users lose money to professional traders, platforms market high-risk products like parlays, and protections (e.g., age limits, addiction help) are weaker than in state-regulated sports betting. The "self-certification" process allows rapid contract launches but creates regulatory uncertainty. The author argues prediction markets are fundamentally "better markets" but currently fail to provide adequate consumer safeguards. Proposals include integrating protection mechanisms (cooling-off periods, position limits), aligning risk warnings with product risks, creating paths from speculation to long-term investing, and applying specific consumer protections and taxes to sports contracts. The piece concludes by urging stakeholders to address these issues before a potential regulatory backlash undermines the markets' legitimate utility.

marsbitHace 21 hora(s)

The Value, Growth, and Risks of Prediction Markets

marsbitHace 21 hora(s)

The Kalshi Case Decision Puts Pressure on the Crypto Prediction Market Boom

A Washington state court ordered prediction market platform Kalshi to stop offering most event-based contracts in the state, ruling it likely violated state gambling and consumer protection laws. This highlights a growing legal battle over whether prediction markets are regulated financial derivatives or illegal gambling. While Kalshi, regulated by the CFTC, argues federal commodity laws preempt state rules, Washington and other states including New York are challenging its operations. The conflict intensified as the CFTC used emergency powers to keep Kalshi operating under federal law after state actions threatened to void user contracts. Crypto-related contracts constitute a significant portion of trading volume on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. With prediction market volume projected to grow massively, the court's classification of these platforms—as federally-regulated derivatives or state-level gambling—will critically impact the expansion of crypto-native trading infrastructure and stablecoin settlements.

cryptonews.ruAyer 11:26

The Kalshi Case Decision Puts Pressure on the Crypto Prediction Market Boom

cryptonews.ruAyer 11:26

Kalshi's Daily Stock Open Interest Hits Record High of $17.98 Million

Kalshi's daily open interest for its perpetual futures product hit a record $17.98 million on August 12th, just over two months after its launch. The CFTC-approved platform, which began with Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts in early June, now lists 13 crypto assets. Open interest remained below $5 million initially, saw mid-June spikes to $13-14 million, stabilized around $6-7 million, and has steadily climbed since July, consistently holding above $12 million in recent weeks. This growth indicates sustained trader engagement on a platform that recently offered only short-term binary contracts. Despite this rapid growth, Kalshi's total crypto perpetuals portfolio is small in scale, representing about 0.15% of rival Hyperliquid's $11.7 billion daily open interest. The comparison is structurally limited: each Kalshi contract requires federal regulatory pre-approval, resulting in a small list, whereas permissionless platforms like Hyperliquid support hundreds of pairs. The concentrated open interest on Kalshi's few approved contracts signals strong demand within its specific niche. Analysts suggest Kalshi is not cannibalizing existing decentralized exchange volume but is tapping a previously underserved pool of U.S.-based traders who lacked a legal, leveraged crypto platform. The true size of this new user pool remains unknown. While a market downturn could disrupt the trend, the open interest chart has so far shown consistent upward momentum.

cryptonews.ruAyer 11:22

Kalshi's Daily Stock Open Interest Hits Record High of $17.98 Million

cryptonews.ruAyer 11:22

Kalshi's Valuation Doubles to 40 Billion in Six Months, Sequoia and Wellington Pour Another 750 Million

Kalshi, a leading U.S. prediction market platform, is reportedly in advanced talks to raise at least $750 million from Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management at a valuation of $40 billion. This marks Wellington's first investment in the company, while Sequoia would deepen its existing stake. Kalshi previously raised $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation in May and is now targeting a potential IPO in 2027. According to sources, Kalshi's annualized revenue reached approximately $4 billion as of July, driven largely by sports contracts which account for over 80% of its trading volume. The company claims a 95% market share by revenue in the U.S. prediction market. Its competitor, Polymarket, reportedly sought funding at a $20 billion valuation, with ICE investing $600 million at a $15 billion valuation in August. Kalshi recently announced the return of Jeff Bandman, the lawyer who helped it secure a CFTC-regulated exchange license in 2020, as CEO of Kalshi Prime, its platform for margin-perpetual futures clients. Neither Kalshi, Sequoia, nor Wellington provided immediate comment.

marsbitAyer 06:36

Kalshi's Valuation Doubles to 40 Billion in Six Months, Sequoia and Wellington Pour Another 750 Million

marsbitAyer 06:36

Baltimore Takes Legal Action Against Sports Prediction Markets

Baltimore and its mayor, Brendan Scott, have filed lawsuits against prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, alleging they operate as illegal, unlicensed sports betting platforms in violation of local gambling laws. The lawsuits contend that the platforms' event contracts are unlawful wagers under state law, misleading users about their legality. Baltimore specifically named Robinhood, Webull, and Coinbase as partners in the Kalshi suit, accusing all companies of unfair practices by advertising these products as legal in Maryland. The case highlights a growing conflict between state and federal authorities in the U.S., with many expecting it to reach the Supreme Court. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the companies argue these event contracts are regulated "swaps" under federal jurisdiction. In response, a Polymarket spokesperson stated that city-level actions contradict the established federal regulatory framework for CFTC-registered prediction markets.

cryptonews.ruHace 2 días 21:46

Baltimore Takes Legal Action Against Sports Prediction Markets

cryptonews.ruHace 2 días 21:46

Media: Kalshi Seeks to Raise $750 Million at a $40 Billion Valuation

Event-trading platform Kalshi is in talks to raise at least $750 million in new funding at a valuation of around $40 billion, according to a report. Potential co-lead investors for the round include Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management. This valuation represents a significant increase from its $22 billion valuation in May. The company is also reportedly in preliminary discussions with investment banks regarding a potential initial public offering (IPO) and partnerships to offer its products to institutional clients. However, Kalshi is facing legal and reputational challenges. FlightAware has filed a lawsuit accusing the platform of trademark and data misuse, while Spotify has demanded Kalshi remove its logos and clarify there is no partnership, citing concerns about chart manipulation affecting bets.

cryptonews.ruHace 2 días 12:33

Media: Kalshi Seeks to Raise $750 Million at a $40 Billion Valuation

cryptonews.ruHace 2 días 12:33

FlightAware Withdraws Lawsuit Against Kalshi Just One Day After Filing

Flight tracking company FlightAware voluntarily dismissed its lawsuit against prediction platform Kalshi just one day after filing it in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District. As previously reported, FlightAware had accused Kalshi on Monday of illegally using its data and trademarks for flight cancellation prediction contracts and sought a court order to stop the practice. However, before any court proceedings began, Kalshi altered the language on its markets, removing claims that its contract data was "verified by FlightAware." The platform now states the data is "verified by the Primary Source Agency," with a link to FlightAware's site, and includes a disclaimer clarifying there is no endorsement or affiliation. Not all legal actions against Kalshi conclude this swiftly. The company is currently involved in several other lawsuits brought by U.S. state authorities.

cryptonews.ru08/12 20:39

FlightAware Withdraws Lawsuit Against Kalshi Just One Day After Filing

cryptonews.ru08/12 20:39

Kalshi Launches Data Feed on Sports and Cryptocurrency Perpetual Contracts via DoubleZero

Kalshi, a prediction market, has launched a real-time order book data feed for its sports and cryptocurrency perpetual contracts via DoubleZero's dedicated fiber-optic network, DoubleZero Edge. This provides subscribers with machine-readable market data without requiring them to build their own API-based infrastructure. DoubleZero co-founder Austin Federa emphasized that access to such data is a critical part of market structure, which has been lacking in newer financial segments like crypto, perpetuals, and prediction markets. He stated this initiative provides institutional-grade infrastructure to industry participants. According to Dune data, sports is Kalshi's second-largest category by weekly notional trading volume at 37.8%, while crypto is third at 20.3%. Exotic events rank first. This launch occurs amidst a regulatory dispute over Kalshi's sports contracts. Several U.S. states, including Michigan, Kentucky, and Nevada, have taken legal action or issued temporary bans, arguing these contracts are unlicensed sports betting. Kalshi and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) maintain they are derivatives under the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction. The CFTC has also sued some states over this matter. Separately, OpenAI recently began displaying Kalshi's prediction market odds for FIFA World Cup matches in ChatGPT search results.

cryptonews.ru08/12 20:16

Kalshi Launches Data Feed on Sports and Cryptocurrency Perpetual Contracts via DoubleZero

cryptonews.ru08/12 20:16

FlightAware drops Kalshi lawsuit one day after filing

FlightAware voluntarily dismissed its lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi just one day after filing it in a New York court. The initial suit alleged trademark infringement, breach of contract, and unfair competition, claiming Kalshi used FlightAware's name and data for "gambling markets on flight cancellations." The quick dismissal hints at a possible private settlement, though neither company commented. Notably, Kalshi had already altered its event contracts to replace "FlightAware" with a generic "Primary Source Agency" disclaimer. The lawsuit was part of broader legal challenges for prediction markets. Kalshi and similar platforms face actions from multiple US state authorities over alleged illegal sports betting. This case also highlights a jurisdictional conflict: while states like New York and Michigan have moved to restrict Kalshi, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) asserts exclusive federal authority, recently using emergency powers to block a New York restraining order against the company.

cointelegraph08/12 17:06

FlightAware drops Kalshi lawsuit one day after filing

cointelegraph08/12 17:06

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