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Bitcoin Supply In Profit Drops Sharply, Echoing Previous Bear Market Levels, Downtrend To Continue?

Bitcoin's price has failed to recover significantly since its all-time high, reinforcing bearish sentiment. The supply of BTC in profit has sharply declined to around 59%, nearing levels last seen during the previous bear market. This indicates that nearly half of all Bitcoin is held at a loss, well below the historical average of 75%. Analysts suggest that if the profit supply drops to 50%, it could signal a market bottom, though current conditions point to a potential accumulation phase rather than mass selling. Additionally, the MVRV Z-Score has not yet entered the bottoming zone, suggesting the bear market may continue for another six months, with another major price drop likely.

bitcoinist04/11 02:03

Bitcoin Supply In Profit Drops Sharply, Echoing Previous Bear Market Levels, Downtrend To Continue?

bitcoinist04/11 02:03

RAIN faces critical test as $294 mln unlock looms – Can $0.0075 hold?

RAIN's price faces a critical test as it struggles to sustain a recovery from recent lows. After a prolonged downtrend and a sharp drop to $0.004050, the token rebounded to around $0.0075, but this bounce lacks conviction due to fading volume and an inability to break key resistance at $0.009293. The market now faces additional pressure from an upcoming unlock of 38.78 billion RAIN tokens (worth $294.36 million) on April 10th. This event could intensify selling pressure if demand doesn’t absorb the new supply, potentially pushing prices lower. However, strong absorption could signal underlying strength. RAIN remains at a decision point, with its near-term direction hinging on both market sentiment and the token unlock outcome.

ambcrypto04/09 07:19

RAIN faces critical test as $294 mln unlock looms – Can $0.0075 hold?

ambcrypto04/09 07:19

Bitcoin whales’ losses cross $337 mln in Q1 2026: What it means for BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a prolonged downtrend since its peak of $126k in October 2025, falling below the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price and leaving over 45.8% of the total supply at a loss. In Q1 2026, investors holding 100 to 10,000 BTC realized $30.9 billion in losses, with whales accounting for $337 million in daily losses—the highest rate since the 2022 bear market. Long-term holders contributed approximately $200 million in daily losses. This aggressive loss realization suggests the market is not yet at a cycle bottom, as historical lows formed when daily losses cooled to around $25 million. Current market conditions indicate indecision, with upside volatility at 1.9 and downside volatility at 1.6. If loss realization continues and demand weakens, BTC could drop to $62,500. Otherwise, it may continue consolidating between $65k and $70k.

ambcrypto04/05 13:21

Bitcoin whales’ losses cross $337 mln in Q1 2026: What it means for BTC

ambcrypto04/05 13:21

Here’s why Ethena [ENA] faces selling risk despite undervalued signals

Ethena (ENA) faces significant selling pressure despite showing signs of being undervalued. The token experienced a 12.82% drop on April 2, falling to $0.0789, though it later recovered slightly above $0.08. Long-term trends remain bearish. Key on-chain metrics, such as MVRV pricing bands, indicate ENA has been below lower extremes since October 2025, with a current market price of $0.08 compared to a realized price of $0.373. Only 0.018% of the supply is in profit, meaning most holders are at a loss. While accumulation behavior has been observed—with the holder accumulation ratio at 74% and an increasing 365-day mean coin age—network activity remains weak. Daily active addresses and network growth are near six-month lows. Despite undervaluation, any price recovery may be aggressively sold off as holders seek to exit or break even. The ongoing market downturn, including Bitcoin’s decline, adds further risk. Value investors should proceed with caution.

ambcrypto04/03 08:05

Here’s why Ethena [ENA] faces selling risk despite undervalued signals

ambcrypto04/03 08:05

Pepe remains bearish – What’s next as its support zone still looks weak?

PEPE remains in a strong bearish trend, with its key support zone around $0.0000028–$0.0000031 appearing increasingly vulnerable. Despite the memecoin sector showing relative stability compared to Bitcoin and AI-related crypto assets, PEPE and Dogecoin recorded losses over the past week. Although the support level has held for months, it may signal exhaustion of buying pressure rather than an impending rebound. The weekly chart indicates a persistent downtrend, with lower highs and sustained selling pressure. The next likely price target is $0.00000259. Investors are advised to avoid attempting to time the bottom and instead wait for a confirmed trend reversal before considering exposure.

ambcrypto04/03 02:01

Pepe remains bearish – What’s next as its support zone still looks weak?

ambcrypto04/03 02:01

Hyperliquid: Should HYPE investors wait as price nears $32 zone?

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has continued its short-term downtrend, falling below the key $37 support level on April 2nd. Despite previous bounces, none of the recent rebounds were strong enough to push the price toward the local high of $43.7. The broader market sentiment remains pessimistic, with Bitcoin and other altcoins also facing selling pressure. The long-term structure, however, remains bullish. HYPE experienced a significant rally in 2025, nearly reaching $60, before pulling back to $20 by year-end. The recent rise to $43.7 is considered part of a new bullish wave, with the current retracement viewed as a temporary setback. Key Fibonacci retracement levels suggest further potential declines toward the $29.5–$32.44 zone, which long-term buyers are eyeing as a demand area. Technical indicators, including the RSI below 50 and a negative CMF reading of -0.15, reflect bearish momentum and capital outflows. Traders are advised to wait rather than rush into buying. A move above $41.59 would invalidate the current bearish retracement outlook and signal potential new highs. Until then, investors should monitor the $29–$32 range for a buying opportunity.

ambcrypto04/02 21:54

Hyperliquid: Should HYPE investors wait as price nears $32 zone?

ambcrypto04/02 21:54

How to Determine if a Candlestick Chart is Worth Buying in 3 Seconds

In his article, experienced crypto trader Mac shares a simplified approach to quickly evaluating whether a chart is worth buying within 3 seconds, based on market structure rather than complex indicators. He emphasizes four key rules: buy if the chart is in an uptrend (making higher highs and higher lows), avoid if it's consolidating or in a downtrend (making lower lows and lower highs), and consider buying if it's transitioning from a downtrend to an uptrend. Mac explains that market structure breaks—such as a price falling below a previous higher low in an uptrend or breaking above a previous lower high in a downtrend—signal trend changes. He uses examples like PayPal, Coinbase, and Bitcoin to illustrate these concepts, showing how structural breaks indicate shifts in market control between buyers and sellers. He also shares three critical lessons: avoid trying to "catch the bottom" in a confirmed downtrend, trust your analysis by combining technicals with fundamentals and narrative, and don't worry about entering late—just not too late, ideally after a few higher highs and higher lows confirm the trend. The goal is to improve trading odds by focusing on clear, high-timeframe trends and avoiding emotional decisions.

marsbit03/30 06:29

How to Determine if a Candlestick Chart is Worth Buying in 3 Seconds

marsbit03/30 06:29

Sentient: Why $51K long liquidations put SENT’s $0.015 at risk

Sentient (SENT) dropped 14.3% to $0.01585 amid a 65% surge in trading volume, signaling strong sell-side pressure despite increased market activity. The price broke below the $0.01891 support level, indicating a continued bearish trend toward the $0.01106 demand zone. RSI fell to 29.06, confirming oversold conditions but suggesting persistent weakness rather than a short-term rebound. Open Interest declined by 16.30%, reflecting capital withdrawal and reduced participation from leveraged traders. Long liquidations dominated with $51K wiped out compared to only $96 in short liquidations, accelerating downward momentum. Current market structure, liquidations, and capital outflows align against recovery, indicating SENT may drift lower before stabilization attempts emerge.

ambcrypto03/28 20:01

Sentient: Why $51K long liquidations put SENT’s $0.015 at risk

ambcrypto03/28 20:01

KITE under pressure: 1.8B supply meets falling demand and rising shorts

KITE remains in a bearish phase with weakening fundamentals and negative market sentiment. The number of holders has declined from 105,420 to 104,780 since March 24, while market capitalization dropped by $57 million. Despite a high circulating supply of 1.8 billion tokens, demand is shrinking. The price fell 11% in 24 hours, with rising volume indicating strong bearish momentum. Perpetual traders are increasing short exposure, pushing the funding rate to a deeply negative -1.2420%, similar to levels preceding a previous sharp decline. Liquidity analysis suggests a potential drop toward $0.175, with further downside risk likely due to persistent selling pressure and dominant short positioning.

ambcrypto03/27 23:32

KITE under pressure: 1.8B supply meets falling demand and rising shorts

ambcrypto03/27 23:32

Pump.fun (PUMP) Momentum Fades: Is Another Leg Down Imminent?

Pump.fun (PUMP) has declined by over 5.63% in the past 24 hours, with its price dropping to around $0.00178. Despite a 16.98% increase in trading volume to $95.67 million, the market cap stands at $587.57 million, and liquidations have reached $403.30K. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend: the MACD is below zero, indicating downward momentum, while the RSI at 41.03 shows a slight bearish bias. The Chaikin Money Flow is nearly neutral, and Bull-Bear Power suggests a lack of strong directional momentum. If bearish pressure continues, PUMP could test the $0.0016 support level. A bullish reversal would require breaking the $0.0018 resistance.

TheNewsCrypto03/26 15:36

Pump.fun (PUMP) Momentum Fades: Is Another Leg Down Imminent?

TheNewsCrypto03/26 15:36

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