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Wall Street Traders Shift Crypto Market Activity to Weekdays

For decades, Wall Street adhered to a strict Monday-Friday schedule, a rhythm initially challenged but not fully overturned by the 24/7 nature of cryptocurrencies. However, institutional adoption is now fundamentally reshaping crypto market dynamics, shifting most price discovery and trading activity to traditional U.S. market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET). According to Kaiko Research, weekend trading volume has fallen from roughly 25% to about 16% of the total. This concentration creates a significant "liquidity vacuum" on weekends when institutional support withdraws. Analysis by BridgePort shows the market becomes more vulnerable: trading costs rise by an average of 11% due to wider spreads, market depth for $100k trades worsens by nearly 9%, and displayed liquidity drops over 5%. Consequently, smaller trades can trigger sharper price swings. The massive success of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a key driver of this structural shift. While providing steady weekday demand, their complete inactivity on weekends exacerbates the liquidity gap. Large capital movements, like the over $0.5 billion withdrawn from U.S. spot ETFs since October 2023, are easily absorbed on weekdays but can cause significant turbulence on thinner weekends. Ultimately, weekend trading now requires heightened caution due to a "thin" market, absent major market makers, and multiplied risks of sudden price jumps and slippage. Understanding these hidden liquidity mechanisms has become crucial for navigating the new financial reality.

cryptonews.ru07/27 17:31

Wall Street Traders Shift Crypto Market Activity to Weekdays

cryptonews.ru07/27 17:31

Trump Backs Down on Ethics Provision, as 'CLARITY Act' Enters Senate's Critical Window

On July 21st, sources report President Trump has agreed to include ethics provisions in the *CLARITY Act*, a major digital asset market structure bill, clearing a key obstacle after months of negotiation. The bill, which has already passed the House, aims to establish federal regulatory clarity for crypto by defining SEC and CFTC roles. The text is expected imminently, with a narrow window for Senate passage before the August recess. However, passage remains uncertain due to potential Democratic opposition over the ethics rules and the absence of key Republican senators. The ethics clause, a major sticking point, seeks to restrict federal officials, including the president, from profiting from digital assets while in office. This directly addresses controversies around Trump's own crypto holdings. While industry lobbyists urge Congress not to let ethics derail the broader bill, several Democratic senators have demanded stricter provisions covering family members and stronger consumer protections. Amid this legislative push, on-chain data shows significant Bitcoin accumulation by large holders ("whales") in recent weeks. After extended outflows, U.S. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs have seen two consecutive weeks of net inflows. Major corporate holders like Strategy and Metaplanet continue to accumulate or hold significant Bitcoin reserves. Notably, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes recently made substantial Ethereum purchases, expressing a view that while AI is absorbing market liquidity, crypto markets have room for a rebound.

marsbit07/21 05:03

Trump Backs Down on Ethics Provision, as 'CLARITY Act' Enters Senate's Critical Window

marsbit07/21 05:03

2026 Altcoin Season Guide: Current Values & Market Signals, Is It Time to Prepare for Altcoin Season?

Altcoin Season Guide 2026: Signals & Timing Analysis This guide explores the dynamics of an "altcoin season," defined as a 90-day period where at least 75% of the top 50 cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin (BTC). Historically signaling capital rotation from BTC to alternative assets ("alts"), these periods have evolved. Key differences for the 2026 market cycle include the "ETF Wall," where institutional capital via spot Bitcoin ETFs may remain concentrated in BTC, potentially slowing a broad altseason. A genuine, sustainable altseason now likely requires BTC profit-taking combined with new retail and on-chain liquidity entering the wider market. Analysts use tools like the Altseason Index (values >75 indicate an altseason) but also monitor key pairs like ETH/BTC and SOL/BTC for confirmation. Additional signals include a declining Bitcoin Dominance rate (ideally below 40-50%), accelerating altcoin total market cap growth, and surges in trading volume and social sentiment for alts. Modern altseasons are increasingly narrative-driven and selective, not uniform across all coins. Capital typically rotates in stages: from BTC to major altcoins (like ETH), then into leading narratives (e.g., AI, RWA, DePIN), and finally into mid/small-cap projects and meme coins. The peak phase is often marked by extreme greed, parabolic rises, and high leverage, serving as a cautionary signal. For preparation, investors are advised to build a quality watchlist based on fundamentals, product traction, and team strength. Strategies should include portfolio diversification, disciplined risk management (position sizing, stop-losses, stablecoin reserves), and capitalizing on sector rotations rather than chasing past winners. While precise timing is uncertain, historical patterns suggest strong altcoin rallies often follow Bitcoin halvings by 12-30 months. For the 2024 halving cycle, 2026-2027 could present favorable conditions if supported by macro liquidity, technological narratives, and a sustained drop in Bitcoin Dominance. A true, broad altseason is unlikely if Bitcoin experiences a sharp crash (>20%), as capital tends to flee the entire crypto market.

Foresight News07/19 03:54

2026 Altcoin Season Guide: Current Values & Market Signals, Is It Time to Prepare for Altcoin Season?

Foresight News07/19 03:54

Bitcoin’s path to $80K may hinge on THIS hidden trend

Bitcoin's potential path toward $80,000 is influenced by conflicting market signals. Data shows the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has recorded its longest-ever streak of consecutive negative premiums, indicating muted institutional demand or net selling from U.S. institutions. While such a trend often signals short-term weakness, it doesn't necessarily forecast a long-term bear market. Additionally, a bearish crossover occurred in Bitcoin's Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL), with its short-term average falling below the longer-term average, suggesting declining investor profitability and waning market momentum. Historically, major bear market bottoms saw the 100-day NUPL drop below zero, but this cycle it remains positive, implying either an unprecedented bottom or a further decline is needed. Currently trading around $63,148, Bitcoin has seen weekly gains but remains below its May peak. Technical indicators present a mixed picture: the MACD shows bullish momentum, while the RSI signals bearish pressure. A positive development is the return of inflows to Bitcoin ETFs after eight weeks of outflows. Analysts hold divergent views; some highlight a key liquidity zone between $48,000-$50,000 where a market bottom could form, while others maintain a more optimistic long-term outlook. Ultimately, while some bullish signs exist, a strong push from institutional investors appears crucial for Bitcoin to challenge the $80,000 level.

ambcrypto07/08 05:03

Bitcoin’s path to $80K may hinge on THIS hidden trend

ambcrypto07/08 05:03

Countdown to the CLARITY Act: 25 Days Left—What Will Happen to the Crypto Market if It Fails to Pass Before the August Recess?

"The CLARITY Act, a key US crypto market structure bill, faces a tight deadline with only 25 working days left before the Senate's August 10 recess. The bill aims to clarify SEC/CFTC jurisdiction and establish a non-security path for decentralized tokens. Despite passing the House in 2025 and a Senate committee in May 2026, final negotiations have stalled over ethics and law enforcement provisions, jeopardizing the 60 Senate votes needed. If the bill fails to pass before the recess, its chances in 2026 drop significantly, with prediction markets giving only a 40% probability. Analyst Galaxy Digital has lowered its 2026 passage odds to 50%. Failure would likely lead to continued 'slow bleeding' in crypto markets, as seen in June's record $4.5 billion net outflow from US Bitcoin ETFs. XRP, which stands to gain permanent commodity status from the bill, could lose its 'regulatory premium.' Bitcoin and Ethereum, already classified as commodities via a joint agency interpretation, would face less direct impact but broader regulatory uncertainty would persist, delaying institutional capital and DeFi innovation. The path forward includes: 1) Passage before August (a major catalyst), 2) Delay to 2027 (extending market uncertainty), or 3) Failure, requiring the bill to be reintroduced in the next Congress. While delay is a setback, the bill's progress indicates the US is closer than ever to resolving crypto regulatory ambiguity."

marsbit07/03 09:06

Countdown to the CLARITY Act: 25 Days Left—What Will Happen to the Crypto Market if It Fails to Pass Before the August Recess?

marsbit07/03 09:06

Jane Street: The Most Powerful Behind-the-Scenes Operator in the Crypto Industry

Jane Street: Crypto's Most Powerful Behind-the-Scenes Operator A recent 13F filing revealed Jane Street, the secretive Wall Street quant giant, drastically reduced its Bitcoin ETF holdings while increasing stakes in Ethereum ETFs. This move highlights its role not as a directional investor, but as a critical infrastructure player extracting "tolls" from crypto's institutionalization. The firm, founded in 2000 and famously lacking a CEO, has systematically embedded itself across crypto markets. It acts as a key Authorized Participant (AP) and market maker for major Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, profiting from arbitrage between ETF shares and underlying assets. Its approach combines quantitative prowess with a willingness to hold positions for structural arbitrage, differing from pure high-frequency traders. Jane Street faces allegations related to the 2022 Terra (LUNA) collapse. A lawsuit claims it used non-public information to withdraw $85 million in UST minutes before a critical withdrawal by Terraform Labs, allegedly exacerbating the crash and avoiding over $200 million in losses. The company denies the claims. Further indicating its reach, a wallet suspected to be operated by Jane Street ("JaneStreetIndia") was identified on the prediction market Polymarket. This bot executed over 11,000 high-frequency trades on short-term crypto price movements with a near-perfect win rate, showcasing a套利 strategy divorced from traditional prediction. Beyond trading, Jane Street holds equity in crypto infrastructure like Kraken, 1inch, and Arbitrum, and mining stocks. Its strategy is clear: avoid betting on winners, but secure a position in the market's essential plumbing. By becoming a ubiquitous part of the liquidity infrastructure—from ETFs to OTC trading and potentially链上 markets—Jane Street operates as a market force itself, raising questions about whether crypto's decentralized,散户-friendly alpha is being permanently eroded by traditional finance's most sophisticated players.

Foresight News06/16 03:32

Jane Street: The Most Powerful Behind-the-Scenes Operator in the Crypto Industry

Foresight News06/16 03:32

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