Altcoin season index sits at 32: ‘Still in the gutter,’ believes expert

ambcryptoPublicado a 2026-04-07Actualizado a 2026-04-07

Resumen

In a recent analysis, CoinGecko highlighted that the altcoin market remains in a prolonged slump, with the Altcoin Season Index at 32, indicating continued Bitcoin dominance. Historically, capital rotated from Bitcoin to Ethereum and then to altcoins after Bitcoin reached a new all-time high (ATH). However, this cycle has diverged due to the influence of Bitcoin ETFs approved in 2024, which have concentrated institutional investment in Bitcoin rather than spreading to altcoins. Despite Bitcoin hitting an ATH of $126,000 in October 2025, altcoins have underperformed. Some in the crypto community anticipate an altseason, but key indicators suggest otherwise. Bitcoin's dominance remains strong, and altcoins like Dogecoin, Solana, and Cardano have not trended positively. Santiment’s Weighted Sentiment analysis shows Bitcoin as the only cryptocurrency with positive sentiment, while altcoins linger in negative territory. Additionally, the RSI for most tokens, including Bitcoin, is below the neutral 50-level, reflecting bearish market conditions. On-chain data remains pessimistic, contradicting optimistic analyst predictions for an imminent altseason.

In a recent YouTube stream, data aggregator CoinGecko noted that altcoins have remained in a slump for a sustained period of time.

The platform also analyzed previous cycles, highlighting a recurring pattern—capital always rotates from Bitcoin into Ethereum and then into other altcoins once Bitcoin hits a new all-time high (ATH).

Bitcoin’s all-time high of $126,000 has come and gone, but altcoins are still in the gutter.

AD

However, the current market isn’t following past patterns. Bitcoin reached its ATH of $126,000 back in October 2025, yet altcoins have still failed to outperform.

This change in pattern is notably because of the approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other related products approved in 2024. For perspective, in the new cycle, money is coming in, but mostly from institutions via ETFs, and “tends to stay concentrated in Bitcoin.”

So, with the biggest concentration lying in the hands of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, the altseason does appear like a far-fetched dream.

CoinGecko brought up this discrepancy, noting,

It doesn’t trickle down into smaller tokens the way retail flows used to.

The weight of the situation

The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Index, sitting at 32 at the time of reporting, further suggests that the Bitcoin season is still in action.

Source: CoinMarketCap

However, others in the crypto community still believe that the altcoin season is “just around the corner.”

Source: X

If the altcoin season is actually about to happen, then Bitcoin dominance needs to weaken. Moreover, the top 10 altcoins trending in 90 days should include big names like Dogecoin, Solana, and Cardano.

Source: CoinMarketCap

This was further confirmed by Santiment’s Weighted Sentiment analysis. The chart clearly shows that Bitcoin is the only token with positive Weighted Sentiment, whereas other altcoins are below the 50-level mark in the negative zone.

Source: Santiment

But the RSI of all the tokens, including Bitcoin, lying below the 50-level mark, aka the neutral level, suggests that the overall market sentiment is in the sellers’ hands.

Source: Santiment

This was further confirmed by AMBCrypto’s recent analysis, which also suggests that analysts are in favor of an altseason, but the on-chain data looks pessimistic.


Final Summary

  • CoinGecko believes that altcoins are in the “gutter” after Bitcoin hit an ATH back in October 2025.
  • However, hope for an upcoming altseason remains strong among investors.

Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat is the current state of the altcoin market according to the article?

AThe altcoin market is in a prolonged slump, with the Altcoin Season Index sitting at 32, indicating it is 'still in the gutter' and has failed to outperform Bitcoin.

QWhat key factor does the article cite for the change in the traditional market pattern where capital rotates from Bitcoin to altcoins?

AThe approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other related products in 2024 is the key factor. Institutional money flowing in via ETFs tends to stay concentrated in Bitcoin and does not trickle down into smaller altcoins like retail flows used to.

QWhat does the CoinMarketCap Altcoin Index value of 32 suggest about the current market season?

AAn Altcoin Index value of 32 suggests that the market is still in a 'Bitcoin season,' meaning Bitcoin is dominating the market performance and altcoins are not outperforming it.

QAccording to the article, what two conditions need to be met for an altcoin season to be considered happening?

AFor an altcoin season to happen, Bitcoin's dominance needs to weaken, and the top 10 altcoins trending over 90 days should include major names like Dogecoin, Solana, and Cardano.

QWhat does the Weighted Sentiment analysis from Santiment, as mentioned in the article, reveal about market sentiment for Bitcoin versus altcoins?

ASantiment's Weighted Sentiment analysis shows that Bitcoin is the only token with a positive sentiment score, while all other altcoins are in the negative zone below the 50-level mark.

Lecturas Relacionadas

Bitcoin Boom in Full Swing: Saylor's Latest Statement Fuels Buying Speculation

MicroStrategy's Executive Chairman Michael Saylor has fueled speculation about a new Bitcoin purchase by posting "Bitcoin Drive engaged" on August 2, accompanied by the company's customary purchase tracker. This aligns with his pattern of hinting at treasury changes ahead of weekly reports. The accompanying report showed MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings at 843,775 BTC, with an average cost of $75,653 per coin and an unrealized loss of -$10.58B. A similar signal preceded the company's July 27 announcement, strengthening expectations for a treasury update on Monday. However, MicroStrategy's real-time ledger reflects two recent Bitcoin sales totaling 3,588 BTC, reducing holdings from 847,363 BTC to the current 843,775 BTC. The company stated these sales funded preferred stock dividends and replenished its U.S. dollar reserve. Recent reports indicate the company made no Bitcoin purchases the week ending July 26 while increasing its dollar reserve to approximately $3.75B. The company faces financial headwinds after reporting an $8.33B operating loss for Q2 2026, including an $8.32B unrealized loss on its digital assets. Management may sell up to $1.25B more in Bitcoin to meet cash obligations. The expected Monday update will reveal if the "Bitcoin Drive" signal marks a return to accumulation as MicroStrategy balances its massive Bitcoin stash against growing cash commitments.

cryptonews.ruHace 1 hora(s)

Bitcoin Boom in Full Swing: Saylor's Latest Statement Fuels Buying Speculation

cryptonews.ruHace 1 hora(s)

Trading

Spot
活动图片