12月4日:BTC、ETH、SOL 、VSN、HYPE行情分析

金色财经Publicado a 2025-12-04Actualizado a 2025-12-04

加密市场继续回暖。BTC已连续3日修复,重回93k,接近30日均线94k。这或许和美联储QT结束、宏观流动性宽松等利好有关。

CEX 山寨跟随大盘,昨天只有机器人赛道的sapien 拉翻倍了,其余都是弱势拉升,不过有数据的山寨还不错,比如 ena hype pump 等;

BTC

BTC93-93.8K 关键价格区间,阻力位动能减弱,震荡通道上涨,潜在的极速通道模型,三段式回踩反弹,前两次都是触及下跌趋势线附近下跌,这次呢?  

第一次下跌后反弹12%,耗时10天; 

第二次下跌后反弹10%,耗时一周; 

第三次下跌后反弹16%目前,耗时12天  

BTC现阶段还是围绕前期震荡区间93000附近,上方筹码密集区在96000附近,当前走降息反弹行情,反弹幅度较大,虽然有机会,但追高需谨慎。  

从清算地图上看,上方有清算96000附近需求,而下方有回踩9万、8.8万的需求,一般关键位都会反复磨后才会突破,关键位也是机会位。

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ETH

ETH这波属于4h级别主升浪上涨形态,也可以理解成w底 ,这波高点预计在分割线1.618附近,对标价格3380-3400区间,计划在这个位置进场做空,短期不要进场做空了。

目前ETH到比较强的压力了 ,来看有回调需求,没有做多的可以关注3120 -3080 。

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SOL

SOL一鼓作气,再而衰三而竭。前晚拉的最猛,昨晚次之,今天就有点拉不动了。触底123后反弹到146.85,目前为止还没有正常的回踩,而146.85处于1日boll上轨,不回踩140以下没有必要补仓。  

146.85上方的阻力点再就是150.75、157。如果146这里没有7个点以上的回撤,那么到150-154也会有8-11个点的回撤,因为150是个整数关口,不会一下两下站得稳,所以150.5-154这里会诞生一个做空机会。站稳144.25-141.85后,才会再上攻157。

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VSN

合规版 Web3 + RWA 基础设施L1,上了B安Alpha,日线长期在一个标准下降通道里充分换手,最近在通道上沿附近放量抬头,有明显“想走出通道”的迹象;这个节点叠加 Alpha 上线,属于典型的 结构 + 叙事 共振位——风险还在,但赔率开始变好看。

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HYPE

HYPE已出现明显顶背离,价格接近平行高点并伴随 MACD 动能衰竭。若同时与比特币和以太坊出现共振回调,则提供短线做空机会。但需注意此类币波动更高,仓位与风险管理更重要。

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航情瞬息万变,具体进出场位置根据实时去决定,每一波暴跌后迎来的都是星辰大海,对后续行情布局相当迷茫的可以关注甜梦,交硫葳:RFGH8689

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