XRP Price Alert: The RSI Setup That Led To A 60,000% Surge Has Returned

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-06-10Last updated on 2026-06-10

Abstract

Amid XRP's recent sell-off to $1, market watchers note the return of a rare monthly RSI signal that previously preceded massive rallies—like the 60,000% surge in 2017. The RSI is now around 41.6, described as a deep oversold level seen only four times in 13 years. While past signals led to gains between 1,000% and 60,000%, analyst Sam Daodu cautions that those astronomical percentages started from extremely low prices and are unlikely to repeat from today's higher base. A more plausible outcome, according to the report, would be a recovery to the cycle high near $3.65—roughly a 3x move—over the next couple of years. For a move significantly beyond that, fundamental catalysts like the CLARITY Act and genuine ETF demand would be needed. Even if the bottom is in, the report suggests the full rally could take until 2027 to develop.

Amid the recent sell-off that pushed the XRP price to test the key $1 support level, a small window of optimism has started to show up again. The token is beginning to align with a rare monthly relative strength index (RSI) setup that—according to past cycles—has appeared before major, explosive rallies.

According to market expert Sam Daodu, the last three times this signal flashed—in 2017, 2020, and 2022—XRP went on to rally dramatically afterward. The gains in those periods ranged from 1,000% to 60,000%. However, there’s an important caveat: those enormous percentage outcomes started from extremely low price levels.

XRP Price Watch

Sam Daodu identified that XRP’s monthly RSI has fallen to about 41.6. In the report’s framing, that reading is not just low—it’s described as the lowest ever. The RSI level is characterized as a deep-oversold zone that XRP has only reached four times in 13 years.

In theory, oversold conditions can sometimes mark the beginning of a turn, which is why the signal has drawn attention again after the XRP price tested $1. Still, Daodu’s view includes a reality check about expectations.

While the earlier examples of significant price increases may be inspiring, they were driven by market conditions that are not easily replicated. For example, when the XRP price was under a penny in 2017, the subsequent rally carried it to $3.84 — a five-figure percentage gain.

The report argues that simply applying the same percentage-gain math to today’s higher price base would imply XRP reaching prices in the hundreds of dollars—something Daodu suggests is not realistic in the current cycle.

The Next Rally Could Stretch To 2027

So the question becomes: if the pattern “holds,” what outcome is plausible rather than fantasy? In the report’s estimate, reclaiming the $3.65 cycle high over the next year or two would be roughly a 3x move from current levels.

That kind of recovery is presented as believable, assuming broader market sentiment turns in crypto’s favor. Going substantially higher, such as $5 or beyond, is described as requiring more than just a technical bounce for the XRP price.

The report ties that possibility to fundamental catalysts, specifically noting that it would depend on the CLARITY Act passing and exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand genuinely expanding, not only RSI strength returning.

Even if the XRP price bottom is already in, the report suggests the rally that follows could take until 2027 to fully develop. It also adds that a flat price through the summer wouldn’t necessarily break the pattern, because the monthly RSI setup is designed to play out gradually over a longer timeline.

The daily chart shows XRP’s recovery to $1.13 after last week’s crash. Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com

Related Questions

QWhat is the rare technical signal that has reappeared for XRP according to the article, and what historical precedents are cited?

AThe article states that XRP is beginning to align with a rare monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) setup that has fallen to a deep-oversold zone, around 41.6. Historically, this signal appeared three times before major rallies: in 2017, 2020, and 2022, after which XRP saw gains ranging from 1,000% to 60,000%.

QWhy does market expert Sam Daodu caution against expecting a repeat of the 60,000% surge from the current price level?

ADaodu cautions that the enormous percentage gains in the past (like 60,000%) started from extremely low price levels, such as when XRP was under a penny in 2017. Applying the same percentage math to today's higher price base would imply unrealistic prices in the hundreds of dollars for the current cycle.

QWhat is presented as a more plausible price target for XRP in the next 1-2 years if the pattern holds?

AThe report estimates that a plausible outcome, if the pattern holds and broader market sentiment improves, would be for XRP to reclaim its cycle high of $3.65. This would represent roughly a 3x move from the price levels mentioned in the article.

QAccording to the article, what fundamental developments would be required for XRP to move substantially beyond the $3.65 target, such as reaching $5 or more?

AThe report states that moving substantially higher than $3.65 would require more than just a technical bounce. It would depend on fundamental catalysts, specifically the passing of the CLARITY Act and a genuine expansion in exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand.

QWhat is the suggested timeline for a potential rally to fully develop, even if the price bottom is already in?

AThe article suggests that even if the price bottom for XRP is already in, the subsequent rally could take until 2027 to fully develop. It adds that a flat price through the summer wouldn't necessarily break the pattern, as the monthly RSI setup plays out gradually over a longer timeline.

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