# Risk Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Risk", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Solana's Two Leading Lending Protocols Clash, Foundation Steps In to Mediate

Jupiter Lend and Kamino, the two leading lending protocols on Solana, are embroiled in a public dispute over Jupiter’s “risk isolation” claims. The conflict began when Jupiter promoted its lending product as having isolated risk between pools, but critics—led by Kamino—argue Jupiter’s design actually allows cross-contamination through rehypothecation (reusing collateral across pools). Kamino’s co-founder publicly accused Jupiter of misleading users, prompting community backlash. Jupiter later deleted earlier promotional content and acknowledged the description was inaccurate. The debate centers on differing interpretations of “risk isolation,” with Jupiter defending its model as a balance between safety and capital efficiency. Multicoin Capital, a Kamino investor, escalated the situation by accusing Jupiter of incompetence or intentional deception. In response, the Solana Foundation urged both sides to collaborate rather than compete internally, highlighting the larger opportunity in expanding the DeFi lending market overall. The clash reflects growing tension as Jupiter Lend rapidly gains market share in a shrinking TVL environment, turning former allies into rivals in Solana’s competitive lending landscape.

Odaily星球日报2 days ago 05:09

Solana's Two Leading Lending Protocols Clash, Foundation Steps In to Mediate

Odaily星球日报2 days ago 05:09

2025 Tether Financial Analysis: An Additional $45 Billion in Reserves Needed to Maintain Stability

The article analyzes Tether's financial stability in 2025, arguing it functions as an unregulated bank rather than a simple payment operator. It applies a banking regulatory framework (Basel Capital Framework) to assess if Tether holds sufficient capital (its ~$6.8B in excess reserves) to cover potential losses from its asset portfolio. The core issue is whether Tether's total capital is adequate for its risk-weighted assets (RWAs). Its $181.2B in assets are largely in low-risk instruments (~77%), but ~13% is in volatile commodities like gold and Bitcoin. The analysis estimates Tether's RWAs between $62.3B and $175.3B, depending on the conservative treatment of its Bitcoin holdings. Under a baseline scenario, Tether's capital ratio is near minimum regulatory requirements. However, compared to well-capitalized banks, it may need an additional ~$4.5B in capital to support its current $USDT issuance. A more punitive treatment of Bitcoin could imply a deficit of $12.5B-$25B. Tether's counter-argument points to substantial group-level profits and equity (~$20B+), but these are not legally committed to the token entity and are invested in illiquid ventures like mining and AI. The article concludes that the sufficiency of Tether's capital is a complex, structural question without a definitive answer, dependent on asset risk weightings and the firm's willingness to mobilize group resources in a crisis.

marsbit2 days ago 07:31

2025 Tether Financial Analysis: An Additional $45 Billion in Reserves Needed to Maintain Stability

marsbit2 days ago 07:31

Solana's Two Leading Lending Protocols Clash, Foundation Steps In to Mediate

Summary: Over the weekend, a public dispute erupted between Solana's two leading lending protocols, Jupiter Lend and Kamino, centered on the definition of "risk isolation." The conflict began when Kamino's co-founder, Marius Ciubotariu, accused Jupiter Lend of misleading users. He argued that Jupiter's early marketing claimed its lending pools were "risk-isolated," preventing cross-contamination between assets. However, Kamino contends that Jupiter Lend's design, which allows for the rehypothecation (re-use) of collateral across pools, creates a risk of contagion, contradicting its marketing. In response, Jupiter's COO, Kash Dhanda, admitted the initial "zero contagion risk" social media posts were inaccurate and apologized. The debate highlights a core disagreement on the definition of "risk isolation." Jupiter and its supporters argue the term has design flexibility, noting that while pools share a liquidity layer, each has independent parameters. Kamino and its allies insist that any rehypothecation negates true risk isolation. The dispute escalated when Tushar Jain, a partner at Kamino investor Multicoin Capital, strongly criticized Jupiter, accusing the team of being either incompetent or deliberately misleading. In contrast, Solana Foundation President Lily Liu urged for cooperation, emphasizing that the Solana lending market is much smaller than Ethereum's and that internal conflict only helps competitors. The clash is seen as an inevitable result of intense competition. Kamino was long the Solana lending leader, but Jupiter Lend has rapidly gained significant market share. In a tighter market with reduced liquidity and heightened safety concerns, the competition between the two protocols has become increasingly fierce.

marsbit2 days ago 10:22

Solana's Two Leading Lending Protocols Clash, Foundation Steps In to Mediate

marsbit2 days ago 10:22

Solana Lending Internal Conflict: The Power Struggle Behind Foundation Mediation

Over the weekend, a public dispute erupted between Solana's two leading lending protocols, Jupiter Lend and Kamino. The conflict originated from Jupiter's earlier marketing claims that its lending product featured "risk isolation," implying that different lending pools would not be exposed to cross-contagion in the event of an asset failure. However, after Jupiter Lend launched, the market observed that its design did not align with the conventional understanding of risk isolation. The protocol allows for the rehypothecation (re-use) of collateral across pools to improve capital efficiency, which critics argue creates potential channels for risk contagion. Kamino's co-founder, Marius Ciubotariu, publicly accused Jupiter of misleading users with false advertising and subsequently blocked a migration tool from Kamino to Jupiter Lend. The core of the debate lies in differing interpretations of "risk isolation." Jupiter and its supporters argue their model offers a balanced approach with independent pool configurations, while Kamino and its allies insist that any form of rehypothecation negates true risk isolation and constitutes a failure in disclosure. The dispute drew reactions from key ecosystem players. Multicoin Capital, an investor in Kamino, strongly criticized Jupiter, accusing the team of either incompetence or intentional deception. In contrast, the Solana Foundation President, Lily Liu, called for unity, urging the two projects to focus on growing the overall market share against competitors like Ethereum rather than engaging in internal conflict. The clash is seen as an inevitable result of intensifying competition in a shrinking market. Jupiter Lend has been rapidly capturing market share from the formerly dominant Kamino since its launch. In a tighter, post-market-crash environment where safety is a paramount concern, Kamino seized on a perceived vulnerability in Jupiter's product design to launch a competitive attack. The incident highlights the fierce battle for dominance in Solana's DeFi lending sector.

比推Yesterday 16:55

Solana Lending Internal Conflict: The Power Struggle Behind Foundation Mediation

比推Yesterday 16:55

Don't Be Fooled by the Rebound! Bitcoin Could Retest Lows at Any Moment | Exclusive Analysis

**Bitcoin Weekly Analysis: Beware of a Potential Secondary Pullback** Last week, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, forming a weekly doji candle with a slight gain of 0.03% and a wide 12.36% range. The price action perfectly validated the pre-defined key level of $89,000. Our analyst successfully executed two short-term trades based on this framework, resulting in a total gain of 6.93%. **Technical Outlook:** The weekly chart indicates Bitcoin is on the verge of entering a bear market, with momentum indicators pointing south. The daily chart shows a weakening bullish rebound within a broader bearish structure. **Price Projections for the Week (Dec 8-14):** The market is expected to remain range-bound. Key resistance levels are identified at $91,000, $94,000-$96,500, and $98,500-$100,000. Crucial support zones lie at $85,500-$87,500, $83,500, and around $80,000. **Trading Strategy:** A core medium-term short position (65% allocation) is maintained. For short-term swings (30% allocation), two scenarios are outlined: * **Scenario A (Rebound & Short):** Sell into strength if the price rallies to the $91,000-$94,200 or $98,500 resistance zones, with a stop-loss above $100,000. * **Scenario B (Dip & Buy):** Buy a potential bounce if the price drops to the $83,500-$80,000 support area, with a stop-loss below $80,000. **Macro Focus: The Fed's "Super Week":** This week's price action is heavily dependent on the Federal Reserve's policy decision. While a December rate cut is widely expected, the crucial factor for Bitcoin and risk assets will be the Fed's "dot plot" guidance for 2025 rate cuts. A hawkish dot plot (signaling fewer cuts) could trigger a pullback toward $85,000. A dovish signal (more cuts anticipated) could fuel a rebound above $90,000. Chairman Powell's commentary will be key to short-term volatility.

marsbitYesterday 19:49

Don't Be Fooled by the Rebound! Bitcoin Could Retest Lows at Any Moment | Exclusive Analysis

marsbitYesterday 19:49

When Tether No Longer Clings to the Dollar...

Tether, the issuer of the world's largest stablecoin USDT, is shifting its reserve strategy in anticipation of lower interest rates. While its business model thrived during high-rate periods—earning billions from U.S. Treasury holdings—future Fed rate cuts could reduce its interest income significantly. To adapt, Tether has diversified into gold (over 100 tons) and Bitcoin (over 90,000 BTC), which together make up 12-13% of its reserves. These assets historically perform well in low-rate, high-liquidity environments, potentially offsetting lost Treasury yield. However, rating agencies like S&P have expressed concern, downgrading Tether’s stability rating due to increased exposure to volatile assets like Bitcoin and reduced transparency. The key challenge remains maintaining USDT’s dollar peg while navigating this new macroeconomic phase.

比推17h ago

When Tether No Longer Clings to the Dollar...

比推17h ago

30-Year Wall Street Veteran: What Horse Racing, Poker, and Investment Legends Taught Me About Bitcoin

Based on his father's lessons from horse racing, a 30-year Wall Street veteran applies a probabilistic, Bayesian thinking framework to investing. The core principles are: do your own research to set independent odds, focus on where capital is actually flowing (not just narratives), and bet significantly only when you identify a major mispricing between your assessment and the market's. Applying this to Bitcoin, he sees a fundamental case for 3:1 or 5:1 odds, while observing that most wealthy, institutional investors price it at 100:1 or zero, with minimal allocation. This creates a rare asymmetric opportunity, reminiscent of the "smart money" principles of investors like Stan Druckenmiller and Paul Tudor Jones, where low positioning is often a key signal as strong fundamentals. He advises a position size based on individual age, time horizon, and risk tolerance, noting that AI's deflationary yet disruptive force may accelerate the need for a digital, belief-based monetary asset like Bitcoin. The key is to separate the decision-making process from the outcome and act decisively only when research, odds, and positioning align.

深潮4h ago

30-Year Wall Street Veteran: What Horse Racing, Poker, and Investment Legends Taught Me About Bitcoin

深潮4h ago

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