Will AI Really Cause an Economic Collapse in 2028? New Metrics Reveal Another Possibility
A response to Citrini Research's "2028 Global Intelligence Crisis" paper argues against its prediction of an AI-induced economic collapse. The author posits that while AI will destroy the income side of the economy (wages, jobs), it will simultaneously and more rapidly destroy the cost side, leading to a "deflationary prosperity." Traditional economic metrics like GDP and unemployment rates are becoming obsolete in this new "post-human economy." The key measure of future prosperity will be "intelligence output per unit energy," which is exponentially increasing. This transition, though potentially turbulent, is not a crisis but a radical evolution. AI and automation are also seen as necessary to fill a looming demographic gap from a declining global workforce. The new economy will shift value creation towards uniquely human traits like empathy, creativity, and connection, which are not captured by traditional indicators.
比推02/25 12:37