# Pre-DEX Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Pre-DEX", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

What? Lighter Is Not Airdropping Today

Prediction market Polymarket shows the probability of Lighter conducting an airdrop on December 29 has plummeted from 87% to 25% within days, causing significant community concern. Despite no official cancellation, market sentiment has cooled sharply. Lighter has not yet released its tokenomics, and its staging environment already shows LIT spot trading, though the duration of this testing phase remains unclear. The project recently initiated a severe Sybil detection campaign, removing points from bot and wash-trading addresses, with reallocated points distributed to the community. This aggressive, non-transparent approach—compared by some to LayerZero’s 2024 airdrop crackdown—has sparked backlash, with many users confused about the criteria and accusing the team of opacity. Additionally, market confidence in Lighter’s valuation is declining. Polymarket probabilities for Lighter reaching a $1B+ FDV on day one have dropped, though pre-market FDV sits around $3.3B. Concerns include massive airdrop sell pressure (25% of total supply, unlocked) and limited initial liquidity, as Lighter plans no immediate CEX listings. Despite this, some large traders remain bullish, with open interest on Hyperliquid showing balanced mix of whale positions.

marsbit12/29 11:14

What? Lighter Is Not Airdropping Today

marsbit12/29 11:14

What? Lighter Won't Airdrop Today

Rumors and market sentiment around a potential LIT token airdrop from the decentralized exchange Lighter have shifted dramatically, with prediction platform Polymarket showing the probability of an airdrop on December 29 plummeting from 87% to 25% in just four days. Despite earlier expectations, Lighter team has not released a detailed tokenomics model, and no official TGE or airdrop announcement has been made. Market uncertainty is compounded by Lighter’s aggressive anti-Sybil campaign, which has removed a significant number of suspected bot and wash-trading accounts—reportedly up to 70-90% of studio addresses—sparking community backlash. The lack of transparency in the screening process and unclear appeal mechanisms have further eroded trust. Additionally, concerns are rising over Lighter’s valuation. Pre-launch FDV estimates around $3.3 billion have been met with skepticism due to potential sell pressure from the airdrop (reportedly 25% of total supply, unlocked) and limited initial exchange listings. Despite this, some large traders remain bullish, with open interest on Hyperliquid showing balanced whale activity.

Odaily星球日报12/29 11:07

What? Lighter Won't Airdrop Today

Odaily星球日报12/29 11:07

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