NYC council announces probe into ‘predatory marketing practices’ on prediction markets

cointelegraphPublished on 2026-08-12Last updated on 2026-08-12

Abstract

The New York City Council has launched an investigation into companies operating prediction markets, including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini. The probe will examine allegations of "false and deceptive" and "predatory" marketing practices, particularly through social media influencers, aimed at young adults and minors. The council aims to determine if new legislation, enforcement, or education measures are needed. This action adds to the regulatory tension surrounding prediction markets, as state gaming authorities often view them as illegal sports betting while the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) considers them regulated swaps. The companies responded by stating compliance with laws and a willingness to engage with the council.

The New York City Council launched an investigation into companies offering prediction market services, aiming to examine whether they used “false and deceptive marketing” through influencers to target young adults.

In a Wednesday notice, the council said Speaker Julie Menin sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase and Gemini Titan as part of an investigation into what they called “abusive marketing” through the platforms’ prediction market services. The probe will determine whether New York City officials need to consider additional measures against such marketing practices, including legislation, education and enforcement.

“Apps like Polymarket are expanding rapidly unchecked,” said Council Member Shekar Krishnan, who chairs the committee on oversight and investigations. “Their unprecedented reach is because they are preying on young adults and minors with deceptive and sometimes outright false marketing tactics that pull them in and wring them dry.”

The New York City investigation is the latest action in what many expect to become a legal showdown between US state and federal regulators over prediction market offerings like contracts tied to sporting events. While many state-level gaming authorities allege that companies are illegally offering sports betting, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) claims that the trades amount to “swaps” under its purview as a commodities regulator.

Cointelegraph reached out to Gemini for comment on the investigation but did not receive an immediate response. A Coinbase spokesperson said that the company “offers [its] customers access to federally regulated prediction markets overseen by the [Commodity Futures Trading Commission], and fully complies with applicable laws,” while a spokesperson for Polymarket said that it “look[s] forward to engaging with The New York City Council on this matter.”

Related: Judge stays CFTC’s case against US soldier over prediction market bets

Related Questions

QWhat is the primary focus of the New York City Council's investigation into prediction market companies?

AThe investigation is focusing on whether these companies used 'false and deceptive marketing' and 'abusive marketing' through influencers to target young adults and minors.

QWhich specific companies did NYC Council Speaker Julie Menin send letters to as part of this probe?

ALetters were sent to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan.

QAccording to the article, what is a key point of regulatory conflict regarding prediction markets in the US?

AThere is a conflict between state-level gaming authorities, who allege illegal sports betting, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which claims these trades are 'swaps' under its regulatory purview.

QHow did Coinbase respond to the NYC Council's investigation, according to the article?

AA Coinbase spokesperson stated that the company 'offers customers access to federally regulated prediction markets overseen by the CFTC, and fully complies with applicable laws.'

QWhat potential outcomes does the NYC Council's probe aim to determine?

AThe probe will determine whether New York City officials need to consider additional measures such as legislation, education, and enforcement against the marketing practices in question.

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