Mapping The Bitcoin Bottom: Here’s How Low Price Could Go Before It Recovers

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-02-24Last updated on 2026-02-24

Abstract

A crypto analyst, Jussy, warns that Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a bearish trend similar to its 2022 cycle and may not have reached its final bottom. The analysis compares the current market structure to 2022, where a double top formation and a subsequent bear flag pattern preceded a major breakdown. Following an identical pattern in 2025, Bitcoin formed a double top above $120,000, broke down sharply, and is now in a consolidation phase resembling the 2022 bear flag. The analyst predicts a further decline of approximately 38% from the $74,320 support level, potentially driving the price down to around $46,199. The final projected bottom is an even deeper low of $28,301 before any meaningful recovery can begin.

Bitcoin (BTC) could be gearing up for further losses, as a crypto analyst has issued a severely foreboding forecast. According to his analysis, Bitcoin’s current structure shows a predominantly bearish trend, with price expected to reach a bottom below $30,000 before any potential reversal to the upside.

Bitcoin Repeats 2022 Style Bear Market

Crypto market analyst Jussy has published a new Bitcoin chart analysis on X, warning that the market may not have reached its final bottom yet. The chart compares the current weekly structure to Bitcoin’s 2022 cycle, showing nearly identical price behaviour following a double top formation and a bear flag that led to a major breakdown.

In 2022, Bitcoin first printed a double top near the upper resistance zone above $60,000. It was then rejected from the rounded top structure, reversing into a sustained downside trend. After this, the price experienced a sharp breakdown, followed by a three-week consolidation phase that developed into a bear flag pattern.

That consolidation acted as a brief pause before a bearish continuation, with BTC ultimately collapsing by another 38.96% from the bear flag range. Consequently, the final leg down erased roughly $11,095, carrying the price into a long-term support zone where the market finally hit a bottom and began to stabilize ahead of a recovery.

Source: X

Interestingly, Jussy argues that the current Bitcoin cycle is now reproducing the same bear market structure seen in 2022 almost perfectly. The right side of the chart shows that BTC formed a similar double-top pattern above the $120,000 region in 2025, only to roll over and break down sharply. This correction pushed the price below the key horizontal level near $74,321, which previously acted as support.

Following this drop, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase that closely resembled the 2022 bear flag. The structure slopes downward, reflecting a major price compression following the first large wick to the downside. According to Jussy, Bitcoin is now in the third week of this consolidation window, the same point in time where the 2022 market transitioned into its final price crash.

The Bottom Target

Using the same percentage decline from the 2022 breakdown, Jussy has predicted how low the Bitcoin price could fall before it attempts a notable recovery. His chart suggests that BTC has already begun its descent from the bear flag pattern, initially crashing below the $100,000 region and now trading near $65,000.

Now, the analyst projects another corrective move of approximately 38% from the former support level around $74,320, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price down to roughly $46,199. The blue line below this zone in the price chart represents Bitcoin’s final downside target. Jussy predicts an even deeper decline to $28,301, marking BTC’s price bottom before any meaningful recovery takes hold.

BTC fails to reclaim $70,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QAccording to analyst Jussy, what is the primary trend shown by Bitcoin's current structure?

AAccording to analyst Jussy, Bitcoin's current structure shows a predominantly bearish trend.

QWhich past market cycle is the analyst comparing the current Bitcoin price action to?

AThe analyst is comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the 2022 bear market cycle.

QWhat specific pattern did Bitcoin form in 2025 that is similar to its 2022 behavior?

AIn 2025, Bitcoin formed a similar double-top pattern above the $120,000 region.

QWhat is the first, more conservative price target predicted by the analyst for the Bitcoin bottom?

AThe first, more conservative price target predicted for the Bitcoin bottom is approximately $46,199.

QWhat is the deeper, final downside target price that Jussy predicts Bitcoin could fall to?

AThe deeper, final downside target price that Jussy predicts is $28,301.

Related Reads

Anthropic Starts Poaching Scientists? $27K Weekly Onsite Stipend to Fix Claude's Expert-Level Errors

Anthropic has launched a new STEM Fellow program, offering $3,800 per week for a three-month, in-person residency in San Francisco. The role targets experts from science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) fields—machine learning experience is helpful but not required. Instead, Anthropic values scientific judgment and a willingness to learn quickly. Fellows will work with Claude models and internal tools under the guidance of an Anthropic researcher. Example projects include a materials scientist identifying errors in Claude’s reasoning or a climate scientist integrating atmospheric modeling software with Claude. The goal is to have experts "tell Claude where it's wrong" and improve its scientific capabilities. This initiative is part of Anthropic’s broader strategy to strengthen its scientific ecosystem, following earlier programs like the AI Safety Fellows and AI for Science programs. The company acknowledges that current AI models, while powerful, still produce high-confidence errors and lack end-to-end research autonomy. The program aims to embed domain expertise directly into model development, turning scientists into "high-level reviewers" for AI. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has previously emphasized AI’s potential to accelerate scientific breakthroughs, particularly in biology and healthcare. The company believes that the next phase of AI competition will depend not on scaling parameters, but on integrating human expertise to refine model accuracy and reliability.

marsbit29m ago

Anthropic Starts Poaching Scientists? $27K Weekly Onsite Stipend to Fix Claude's Expert-Level Errors

marsbit29m ago

On the Eve of X Money's Launch, Musk Dismantles the Referee First

"X Money Launches After Dismantling Regulator: Musk's 9-Day Power Play" In February 2025, a team from the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE), led by Elon Musk, entered the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) headquarters. Shortly after, the CFPB was effectively dismantled—its funding frozen, activities suspended, and nearly 90% of staff laid off. This move came just nine days after X announced a partnership with Visa and as X Money prepared to launch. The article contrasts this with the decade-long regulatory battles faced by companies like Coinbase and PayPal. Coinbase spent over $75 million in political contributions and endured a major SEC lawsuit to operate legally. PayPal complied with strict state and federal rules for its stablecoin PYUSD, including 100% reserve requirements and monthly audits. However, Musk’s approach was different. After the CFPB introduced a rule placing large digital payment apps under federal oversight, Musk tweeted "Delete CFPB." Within months, the rule was revoked by Congress. Meanwhile, DOGE operatives gained "god-tier" access to CFPB databases, potentially obtaining sensitive competitive information from rivals like Apple, Google, and PayPal. The article also highlights a "suspicious exemption clause" in the GENIUS Act, which allows private companies like X to issue stablecoins with fewer restrictions. Senator Elizabeth Warren questioned whether Musk, who was a senior presidential advisor during the Act’s drafting, influenced this clause. X Money offers a 6% APY on deposits, despite FDIC warnings that stablecoin users are not insured. As X Money launches to 600 million monthly users, the article questions the fairness of a system where Musk can bypass regulations that others spent years and millions to comply with. The dismantling of the CFPB and the alleged regulatory advantages raise concerns about the future of equitable rule-making in the U.S. financial system.

marsbit38m ago

On the Eve of X Money's Launch, Musk Dismantles the Referee First

marsbit38m ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片