Dogecoin buzz returns, price stays weak – Traders, watch THIS level closely

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-12-28Last updated on 2025-12-28

Abstract

Dogecoin has seen a significant resurgence in social media engagement, driven by mentions on Reddit and X related to sweepstakes, market activity, and price movements. Despite this increased buzz, its price remains weak and stuck in a bearish trend. On-chain data indicates a network-wide accumulation phase, with holders continuing to accumulate DOGE and reduced sell pressure, as shown by the quiet Age Consumed metric. However, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio remains near a six-month low, reflecting substantial unrealized losses for investors. The meme coin has been trading in a narrow consolidation range between $0.122 and $0.133. A break above $0.135 could signal a bullish shift, but the overall sentiment remains fearful. Analysts caution that even if short-term bounces occur, the broader market outlook—including Bitcoin's unlikely return to all-time highs—suggests continued downward pressure. Traders are advised to sell into strength rather than expect a significant recovery in the near term.

Dogecoin was one of the leading crypto assets driving social media engagement, noted Santiment.

In a post on X, the analytics platform observed that Dogecoin, alongside Bitcoin [BTC], Ethereum [ETH], and ZCash [ZEC], saw the highest rise in social media engagement.

Dogecoin was trending because it was being mentioned on Reddit for sweepstakes events offering DOGE prizes, as well as skepticism regarding the meme’s status, and on X (formerly Twitter) for market activity and price movements.

Based on the memecoin sector price action, assets such as Dogecoin [DOGE] were not forefront in investors’ minds. Do the onchain metrics indicate sustained bearish pressure, or is there hope for a recovery?

Dogecoin exhibits a network-wide accumulation phase

The increased social media engagement was accompanied by a rise in Mean Coin Age over the past two months. Santiment data showed that DOGE was being accumulated among holder addresses, though the price action remained firmly bearish.

In fact, the Age Consumed Metric, which spikes higher if older, dormant tokens move en masse, has remained quiet since mid-November. This further strengthened the idea that sell pressure was fading.

Moreover, the MVRV reached a six-month low in mid-December and has not improved much since then. It suggested a chunk of investors were facing deep losses.

On average, holders over the past six months were sitting on 36% unrealized loss, the metric showed.

Has Dogecoin begun to consolidate?

The 1-day chart showed that DOGE formed a range between $0.122 and $0.133. The longer-term trend was strongly bearish, but the price action of the past ten days was encouraging with this range formation.

A move back above the local high at $0.135 would signal a bullish structure shift.

Investors should be wary even if Dogecoin climbs back above $0.135. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric showed a capitulation phase underway for the memecoin.

If the 2021-2022 downtrend were to repeat, the NUPL has much deeper depths to explore.

Sentiment across the market was fearful.

A Bitcoin [BTC] recovery back to all-time highs and beyond is unlikely. Dogecoin traders should remain bearishly biased despite the onchain accumulation, and use price bounces to sell.


Final Thoughts

  • Dogecoin showed accumulation onchain, according to the MVRV and age consumed metrics.
  • Even so, traders and investors should sell into strength, as a recovery to ATHs is unlikely in the coming weeks and months.

Related Questions

QAccording to Santiment, which crypto assets saw the highest rise in social media engagement?

ADogecoin (DOGE), Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and ZCash (ZEC).

QWhat on-chain metrics suggest that Dogecoin is in a network-wide accumulation phase?

AThe rise in Mean Coin Age and the quiet Age Consumed Metric since mid-November suggest accumulation and fading sell pressure.

QWhat price level on the 1-day chart would signal a bullish structure shift for Dogecoin?

AA move back above the local high at $0.135 would signal a bullish structure shift.

QWhat does the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric indicate about the current state of Dogecoin investors?

AThe NUPL metric shows that a capitulation phase is underway, with the average holder over the past six months sitting on a 36% unrealized loss.

QWhat is the overall trading advice for Dogecoin traders based on the article's conclusion?

ATraders should remain bearishly biased and use price bounces to sell, as a recovery to all-time highs is considered unlikely in the coming weeks and months.

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