Bitcoin Finds Relief As Futures-Driven Sell-Side Activity Declines Sharply, A Major Shift Incoming?

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-01-14Last updated on 2026-01-14

Abstract

Bitcoin's price has rebounded above $94,000, reigniting bullish sentiment as futures-driven selling pressure declines sharply. The BTC Net Taker Volume metric shows a tenfold decrease from its recent peak of $489 million, indicating reduced sell-side activity. While sellers still slightly dominate, the trend is approaching positive territory, potentially setting the stage for a bullish reversal. Additionally, Bitcoin's realized volatility has compressed to around 23%, a critical level that historically precedes significant price movements. BTC is currently trading near $94,890, up over 3% in 24 hours, with trading volume surging 61%.

With the latest bounce on Tuesday, the Bitcoin price has moved back above the $94,000 level, which appears to have reignited bullish sentiment across the market. A confirmed indication of the renewed bullish sentiment is the recent drop in selling pressure from investors and the futures market.

Futures Market Sellers Are Stepping Back

The cryptocurrency market is showing upward strength with Bitcoin reclaiming resistance levels that previously halted its upside attempts. While the price of BTC is trending upwards once again, selling pressure on the flagship asset from the futures market is declining sharply.

Following weeks of aggressive short positioning and high funding rates that exacerbated downward movements, indicators currently reflect a substantial cooling of sell-side activity. As outlined by Darkfost, a market expert and author at CryptoQuant, the selling pressure has now divided by 10 after reaching a monthly average peak of $489 million in the BTC Net Taker Volume metric.

This shift in sentiment is a sign that open interest is returning to normal, liquidations have slowed, and traders are reducing rather than increasing their negative wagers. Although this does not guarantee an immediate rise in BTC’s price, it alleviates one of the biggest headwinds that has affected prices in recent sessions.

BTC sell-side pressure is declining | Source: Chart from Darkfost on X

The Bitcoin Net Taker Volume metric provides a net volume, which aids in determining who is controlling the futures order books. Furthermore, it is simpler to identify changes in trend and trading activity when the data is smoothed using a monthly average. Currently, Darkfost highlighted that sellers are still slightly dominating the orders, with over $51 million worth of trades.

While the metric has not yet flipped into positive territory, the data shows that it is gradually approaching it. According to the expert, it is quite encouraging when traders begin to change their approach, especially considering the significant impact futures volumes have on price action.

It is worth noting that the BTC price action has experienced a stable trend since the decline in selling pressure kicked off. Thus, if Net Taker Volume were to turn positive once more, it would undoubtedly set off a bullish reversal for Bitcoin.

Is Bitcoin Volatility Heading For Rock Bottom?

As the bullish sentiment returns to the market, the ongoing volatility is starting to fade, leading to a period of low risk. Axel Adler Jr., another author at CryptoQuant, has shared an update revealing that BTC’s realized volatility has compressed significantly, reaching approximately 23%, a level that statistically rarely persists for long.

In the past, these compression regimens have resulted in a dramatic range expansion. With realized volatility now sitting at 23.6%, compression has reached a critical threshold, bringing BTC to a crucial stage that could play a role in its next move.

At the time of writing, the price of BTC was trading at $94,890, indicating a more than 3% increase in the last 24 hours. Its trading volume has also increased significantly, rising by nearly 61% over the past day.

BTC trading at $95,256 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QWhat key metric indicates a sharp decline in futures-driven sell-side activity for Bitcoin?

AThe BTC Net Taker Volume metric, which showed a drop from a monthly average peak of $489 million to around $51 million, indicating selling pressure has divided by 10.

QAccording to the article, what is the significance of the Net Taker Volume potentially turning positive?

AIf the Net Taker Volume turns positive, it would set off a bullish reversal for Bitcoin, indicating buyers are dominating the futures order books.

QWhat current Bitcoin price level is mentioned as reigniting bullish sentiment?

AThe Bitcoin price moving back above the $94,000 level is mentioned as reigniting bullish sentiment.

QWhat does the current level of Bitcoin's realized volatility (23.6%) suggest, according to Axel Adler Jr.?

AIt suggests that volatility has compressed to a critical threshold that rarely persists for long, and historically, such compression has resulted in a dramatic range expansion, indicating a potential significant price move is imminent.

QWhat are the observed market changes that accompany the decline in sell-side pressure from the futures market?

AThe decline in sell-side pressure is accompanied by open interest returning to normal, liquidations slowing down, and traders reducing their negative wagers (short positions).

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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