Market Expert Reveals Why Ethereum Is A Better Bet Than Solana

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-06-04Last updated on 2026-06-04

Abstract

A market analyst argues that Ethereum (ETH) is a better long-term investment than Solana (SOL) despite recent price declines for both. While acknowledging Ethereum's weak price structure, falling network fees, and Solana's rapid growth in application fees, the analyst highlights key bullish factors for ETH. These include Ethereum's dominant share of on-chain stablecoin value (approximately $161.8 billion, or 50.7% of the total) and growing institutional interest, exemplified by BlackRock's recent filing for ERC-20 products on the Ethereum blockchain. The analyst projects that if the stablecoin market grows to $3 trillion by 2030 as forecasted, and Ethereum maintains its significant market share, over $1.5 trillion in value could be anchored to its network. This potential, coupled with the prospect of institutional asset tokenization, supports bullish long-term scenarios for Ethereum's market cap, ranging from 400% to 2,400% growth by 2029.

A crypto market expert has shared reasons why believes that despite the ongoing bearishness in the market right now, Ethereum (ETH) is still a better investment than Solana (SOL). Over the past few months, Ethereum has been in a slump, with its price falling below key support levels and underperforming the broader market. Meanwhile, Solana has seen its fair share of declines, plummeting by over 10% this past week. Despite the weakness across both assets, the analyst still picks Ethereum over Solana, citing ETH’s bullish drivers beyond price action and market trends.

Why Ethereum Is A Better Investment Than Solana

Emperor Osmo, a market analyst on X has presented a compelling case for why Ethereum remains a stronger bet than Solana despite ETH crashing more than 9.5% in the past week to trade near $1,870 at the time of writing. The analyst said he understands why many market participants and investors have turned bearish on the ETH price, pointing to weak price structure and declining network fees.

Osmo noted that Ethereum’s fee revenue has fallen sharply, while Solana continues to close the gap. According to him, Solana has generated about $3.859 billion in annual app fees compared to Ethereum’s $3.868 billion. The difference now stands at only $9 million after years of ETH maintaining a dominant lead.

The analyst also highlighted that Solana’s app fees are growing by roughly 9.5% per month, while ETH;s are declining by about 6.4%. Despite these trends, the analyst believes one key metric continues to support Ethereum’s long term bullish outlook. He revealed that the second largest cryptocurrency is currently sitting on about $161.8 billion in stablecoins, representing roughly 50.7% of all stablecoin value onchain.

Osmo also pointed to growing institutional interest in Ethereum’s ecosystem. He noted that BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, recently filed permissioned ERC-20 treasury products on Ethereum, picking the ETH blockchain above all others.

In addition, the analyst referenced projections from the U.S. Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, that the stablecoin market could eventually grow to $3 trillion by 2030. Based on those figures, Osmo argued that if Ethereum maintains its substantial stablecoin market share, more than $1.5 trillion in value could eventually be anchored to the network.

As a result, he believes that even if ETH’s current price reflects concerns around slowing fees and weak market structure, it does not represent its potential value backed by stablecoin growth and long term network retention.

Analyst Outlines Bull, Base, And Bear Case Scenarios For ETH

In an accompanying chart, Osmo mapped out bull, base, and bear case scenarios for Ethereum if it captures a significant slice of institutional stablecoin AUM. The analyst frames ETH’s potential upside against a projected $3 trillion stablecoin market, with retention hinging on whether the blockchain can ship what institutions need.

Source: Token Terminal

His bull case projects tokenized funds driving a 2,400% surge in ETH’s circulating asset market cap by December 2029. The base case puts that figure at 1,150%, while even the bear case holds upside at 400%.

ETH bears pull price below $2,000 | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QAccording to the analyst Emperor Osmo, what is the main reason Ethereum is considered a better investment than Solana despite its recent price slump?

AThe analyst believes Ethereum's long-term bullish outlook is supported by its massive stablecoin holdings, which represent about 50.7% of all onchain stablecoin value, and growing institutional interest, such as BlackRock filing ERC-20 treasury products on Ethereum.

QWhat key metric does Emperor Osmo highlight where Solana is closing the gap with Ethereum?

AEmperor Osmo highlights that Solana is closing the gap in annual app fee revenue. Currently, the difference is only $9 million, with Solana generating about $3.859 billion compared to Ethereum's $3.868 billion.

QWhat are the projected growth trends for app fees on Ethereum and Solana according to the article?

AAccording to the article, Solana's app fees are growing by roughly 9.5% per month, while Ethereum's app fees are declining by about 6.4% per month.

QWhat potential future market size for stablecoins does the analyst reference, and what implication does this have for Ethereum?

AThe analyst references a projection from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent that the stablecoin market could grow to $3 trillion by 2030. If Ethereum maintains its substantial market share, more than $1.5 trillion in value could be anchored to its network.

QWhat are the three scenarios (bull, base, bear) outlined by the analyst for Ethereum's potential market cap growth by December 2029?

AThe analyst's scenarios for Ethereum's circulating asset market cap growth by December 2029 are: a bull case projecting a 2,400% surge, a base case projecting a 1,150% surge, and a bear case projecting a 400% surge.

Related Reads

Who Funds the Agents?

**Summary: Who Funds AI Agents?** OpenAI recently shut down a feature allowing AI agents to shop for users, highlighting the challenge of creating a secure and regulated environment for agent-driven transactions. While payment infrastructure exists, a crucial governance layer—defining spending limits, fraud detection, tax handling, and return policies—is largely missing. The potential is enormous: AI agents already processed $73M across 176M transactions last year, with McKinsey forecasting this could grow to $3-5T in global consumer commerce by 2030. The core competition isn't just about processing payments, which can be very cheap (especially with crypto-based settlement), but about controlling the rules that govern agent spending. Key players like Stripe and Coinbase are racing to dominate this governance layer. Stripe's acquisition of wallet provider Privy allows it to set spending policies, identity checks, and human-in-the-loop approvals directly at the wallet level. Similarly, Coinbase's stack, including its x402 protocol and AgentKit, embeds governance rules. This vertical integration across settlement, wallet, and governance layers is becoming the dominant strategy. Control over the governance layer is where significant future value lies. If agents handle trillions in transactions, even a small fee for managing compliance, fraud prevention, and policy enforcement could generate billions in annual revenue. The companies that successfully integrate across the payment stack will capture value from idle agent balances, transaction fees, and governance services, positioning themselves as the foundational banks of the AI agent economy.

marsbitJust now

Who Funds the Agents?

marsbitJust now

A Nation Blocks Chips, a Giant Buys a Nuclear Power Plant: Why It's Time to Seriously Consider DeAI

**Title: Great Powers Blockade Chips, Giants Buy Nuclear Plants: Why It's Time to Seriously Consider DeAI** In May 2026, the US closed loopholes for Chinese firms to acquire advanced NVIDIA chips via overseas subsidiaries. That same month, Kenya halted a $1B geothermal data center project involving Microsoft, fearing its immense energy consumption. Meanwhile, Huawei announced mass production of its Ascend AI chip. These disparate events underscore a new reality: the competition for computing power ("compute") has escalated beyond the tech industry, becoming a geopolitical and infrastructural battleground. A new era of oligopoly is forming, with control over the AI stack—from GPU chips (NVIDIA) and cloud platforms (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) to foundational models (OpenAI, Anthropic)—concentrating in a few Western "AI Octopus" corporations. This centralization creates systemic risks: pricing power and platform lock-in for users, infrastructure fragility, and a widening "compute divide" that threatens to marginalize nations without independent AI capacity. An "AI Iron Curtain" is deepening through export controls. In response, some nations like Saudi Arabia and the UAE are investing heavily to buy compute power, aiming to transition from oil to AI economies. The EU seeks to triple its compute capacity by 2030 to reduce dependency. However, the spending gap is vast, with four US tech giants alone planning ~$750B in AI capex for 2026. The race is increasingly constrained by energy, with AI tasks consuming up to 1000x more power than web searches, pushing firms to even acquire nuclear plants. This landscape is fueling interest in Decentralized AI (DeAI). It proposes a third way: using open protocols to coordinate a global network of idle GPUs, independent developers, and data centers, creating an AI infrastructure without a single controlling entity. Leveraging blockchain and cryptographic verification, DeAI aims to break market concentration, disperse energy demands, reduce geopolitical dependencies, and enhance transparency. While still nascent in performance and stability, DeAI's core promise is not immediate superiority but providing a crucial alternative architecture to resist monopoly, censorship, and centralized power. As specialized AI hardware costs fall and open-source models flourish, the window to build this foundation is open. The very existence of such competition serves as a vital check against the inevitable abuse of concentrated power.

marsbit54m ago

A Nation Blocks Chips, a Giant Buys a Nuclear Power Plant: Why It's Time to Seriously Consider DeAI

marsbit54m ago

Outpoll Review: A Prediction Market Platform Built for Active Traders

Outpoll Review: A Prediction Market Platform Built for Active Traders In recent years, prediction markets have grown from a niche sector to a mainstream arena, attracting billions in trading volume and institutional capital. However, the user experience and tools for traders have not kept pace. Outpoll, a new global prediction market platform, aims to fill this gap by providing enhanced trading infrastructure for active and professional traders. Built on standard prediction market principles, Outpoll allows users to trade on the outcome of specific events. It uses fully collateralized contracts with USDC settlement, charges a competitive 0.1% fee per trade, and provides clear settlement rules upfront to minimize disputes. A key focus for Outpoll is its professional-grade trading tools. The platform supports limit and market orders, as well as take-profit and stop-loss orders for open positions—features uncommon in prediction markets. For automated trading, Outpoll offers comprehensive REST and WebSocket APIs, enabling portfolio management, price arbitrage, and integration with existing tools. The platform also features a creator-led market model, where approved experts and community leaders can create and manage markets for niche topics under platform supervision. Its integrated interface combines news feeds directly with trading functions, allowing users to monitor events and manage positions seamlessly. Outpoll launched with a native Android app (available on Google Play) and plans an iOS version later this year. In summary, Outpoll distinguishes itself with trader-focused tools, practical APIs, transparent and collateralized markets, integrated news, and an expanding creator program. For active traders, its advanced order types and API access alone make it a platform worth watching. Outpoll is now globally accessible via outpoll.com and Google Play.

marsbit1h ago

Outpoll Review: A Prediction Market Platform Built for Active Traders

marsbit1h ago

Bitwise: Crypto Becomes a Contrarian Investment, Three Logics to Understand the Current Market

**Summary** Matt Hougan, Bitwise's CIO, analyzes the current crypto market through three key lenses, arguing it has shifted from a momentum-driven to a contrarian investment. **1) Crypto Becomes a Contrarian Play:** The market is weak, with major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum down significantly. Capital has moved to hot sectors like AI, leaving crypto as an "unloved" asset class. This transforms crypto investing from trend-following to a test of patience and fundamental analysis. Investors now favor projects with solid fundamentals (e.g., Hyperliquid) over speculative ones. **2) Regulatory Overhang:** The uncertain fate of the U.S. CLARITY Act, a major crypto regulatory framework, is a key headwind. With its passage in 2024 seen as far from guaranteed (estimates range from 30-55%), institutional capital remains on the sidelines, choosing less risky alternatives like AI stocks. The market needs clarity—whether the bill passes or fails—more than any specific outcome to move decisively. **3) Capital Rotates to New Fundamentals:** This cycle differs from past bear markets where money fled to Bitcoin. Now, capital seeks smaller assets with strong use cases. While major cryptos fell in May 2024, tokens like Hyperliquid (+72%), Zcash (+50%), and XLM (+44%) rallied on their specific fundamentals. This rotation confirms the new contrarian, fundamentals-driven logic and signals the bear market may be in its later stages. **Conclusion:** Short-term pressure persists due to regulatory uncertainty and competition from AI narratives. Investing in crypto now requires a contrarian mindset—acting against the crowd and focusing on fundamental value. Patience and targeting high-quality projects based on their merits are essential for capturing long-term gains.

marsbit1h ago

Bitwise: Crypto Becomes a Contrarian Investment, Three Logics to Understand the Current Market

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ETH (ETH) are presented below.

活动图片