【重磅解读】BTC融资利率创新低,底部看向1.4万美元下方

火币资讯Published on 2022-11-11Last updated on 2022-11-14

Abstract

BTC融资利率低迷,市场仍然在调整中。

1、BTC处在破位边缘

虽然近期BTC价格跌幅较大,最低触及到15588美元的低点,但是典型的支撑或许在更低点位出现。从前期2019年以来的价格表现来看,BTC或许会试探2019年6月24日的最高13970美元的支撑效果。或者是,BTC或许会在2020年9月对应的12000美元寻求支撑。 目前来看,BTC放量震荡期间,价格走势仍然有较大的波动潜力,因此可关注筑底进程。

2、BTC融资利率低迷

BTC近期抛售压力明显增强,从融资利率的表现来看,已经表明投资者的抛压意愿非常强烈。数值上,近期从1月9日开始的BTC融资利率维持在-0.03、-0.116和-0.085。这说明,短期内BTC的融资利率仍然没能回复到正常水平。因此,可继续关注BTC向下的回撤空间,减少抄底资金,以便应对价格震荡。

3、BTC接收地址数强势反弹

随着BTC接收地址数快速上行,表明投资者在短期内大量接收被抛售的BTC。数值上,BTC在11月的接收地址数反弹至76.6万的峰值水平,是近1年来的最高值附近。因此,至少从恐慌性交易来看,有更多投资者在抄底BTC。不得不说,BTC价格目前低于1.8万美元,已经吸引力更多交易者入市抢筹。

4、ETH融资利率同样下挫

与BTC不同的是,ETH近期的融资利率大幅度回撤,这已经是年内的第二次。与前期9月中旬不同的是,本次融资利率最低达到了-0.062附近,相对9月15日的-0.199低了许多。近期ETH仍然被投资者急速抛售,融资利率再次低迷,预示着ETH价格继续处在超卖状态。

5、 LTC放量反弹

随着交易量放大,LTC在11月2日开始的反弹中放量上涨,尽管出现了近期的回调表现,但是成交量并未收缩。短线涨幅较大,LTC在3个交易日内的最大涨幅达到了34%,预示着LTC底部越来越近。等待LTC短期放量结束后,常态化加一下更容易确认底部信号。

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