Rasio Laba terhadap Rugi yang Direalisasikan XRP Anjlok – Apa yang Harus Diharapkan Pasar

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-06-10Last updated on 2026-06-10

Abstract

Beberapa metrik kunci XRP mulai berubah arah, turun drastis seiring dengan kinerja bearish yang berlanjut dari harga altcoin tersebut. Rasio Profit terhadap Kerugian Terealisasi (Realized Profit to Loss Ratio) XRP telah anjlok tajam ke level 0,38 dalam kerangka waktu 90 hari, yang mencerminkan intensitas fase pasar bear saat ini. Penurunan ini menunjukkan bahwa untuk setiap dolar kerugian yang direalisasikan di pasar, hanya 38 sen keuntungan yang diambil, suatu pembalikan total dari puncak sebelumnya di mana pengambil keuntungan mendominasi. Tren ini menandakan kapitulasi intens, di mana sebagian besar peserta yang memindahkan koin melakukannya dengan kerugian. Meski demikian, perdagangan spot XRP justru meningkat, dipimpin oleh investor besar atau "paus" sejak Juli 2022. Kelompok ini cenderung aktif dalam fase akumulasi. Di sisi lain, sentimen investor bergeser dengan tanda-tanda penarikan XRP dari pertukaran mata uang kripto, seperti yang terlihat di Upbit Korea. Secara historis, penurunan cadangan XRP di Upbit sering diikuti dengan rally harga, sehingga analis berpendapat pemulihan mungkin akan terjadi jika tren penarikan ini berlanjut.

Beberapa metrik kunci XRP mulai berubah arah, turun drastis seiring dengan kinerja bearish yang sedang berlangsung dari harga altcoin tersebut. Seiring dengan meningkatnya tekanan penurunan, Rasio Laba terhadap Rugi yang Direalisasikan mengalami penurunan tajam ke level yang mencerminkan intensitas fase pasar bear saat ini.

Profitabilitas Investor di XRP Terkena Dampak

Harga XRP masih terperangkap di bawah $1,2, karena tekanan bearish kembali ke pasar menyusul kenaikan singkat. Investor masih merasakan dampak dari aksi penurunan yang terus-menerus dari altcoin terkemuka ini, yang memicu pergeseran dalam dinamika pasar.

Mengingat penurunan harga yang signifikan ini, Rasio Laba terhadap Rugi yang Direalisasikan XRP turun secara nyata ke level negatif. Seperti terlihat pada bagan yang dibagikan oleh Glassnode, sebuah platform analitik data on-chain yang populer, metrik pada kerangka waktu 90 hari telah turun menjadi 0,38, menunjukkan penurunan profitabilitas di kalangan investor.

Selain itu, perubahan suasana pasar dan perilaku investor tercermin dalam penurunan ini karena semakin banyak transaksi yang diselesaikan dengan kerugian dibandingkan dengan yang direalisasikan dengan keuntungan. Selama periode ini, titik balik atau tekanan jual lebih lanjut sangat mungkin terjadi, yang akan sangat penting untuk pergerakan besar berikutnya yang mungkin terjadi.

Menurut platform tersebut, untuk setiap dolar kerugian yang direalisasikan di pasar, hanya 38 sen keuntungan yang diambil. Pada puncak tahun 2025, rasio ini mencapai level 50, yang menyiratkan bahwa para pengambil keuntungan mengungguli penjual rugi dengan faktor 50x, tetapi dinamika kunci itu kini sepenuhnya terbalik.

Sumber: Bagan dari Glassnode di X

Glassnode menyoroti bahwa ketika rasio turun jauh di bawah 1, itu mencerminkan pasar di mana sebagian besar peserta yang memindahkan koin melakukannya dengan kerugian. Tren ini merupakan indikasi yang jelas dari ciri kapitulasi yang intens.

Meskipun kinerja harga melemah, perdagangan spot XRP justru semakin meningkat. Data menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan perdagangan spot ini dipimpin oleh investor besar atau paus besar, dan telah mempertahankan dominasi ini sejak Juli 2022.

Aspek penting dari perkembangan ini adalah bahwa trader ini sering kali memimpin perdagangan pasar spot dalam periode fase akumulasi daripada membuat pesanan signifikan selama fase kenaikan harga. Selain itu, Glassnode menyoroti bahwa kelompok ini telah memimpin perdagangan spot dengan sangat aktif sejak Oktober tahun lalu.

Penarikan Berlangsung di Bursa Kripto

Sentimen dan perilaku investor XRP mengalami pergeseran kunci seiring dengan altcoin mulai meninggalkan bursa kripto. Salah satu bursa utama di mana tren ini terlihat adalah platform perdagangan terkemuka asal Korea, Upbit.

Cadangan tampaknya sedikit menurun, tetapi dengan halus. CW mencatat bahwa pada periode ketika cadangan XRP di Upbit tumbuh, hal itu umumnya bertepatan dengan tren bearish. Sementara itu, ketika cadangan di platform menurun, altcoin telah menunjukkan reli yang signifikan. Akibatnya, analis data tersebut meyakini bahwa pantulan bisa terjadi di depan mata jika tren ini berlanjut.

XRP diperdagangkan pada $1,11 di bagan 1D | Sumber: XRPUSDT di Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QApa yang ditunjukkan oleh penurunan tajam rasio Realized Profit-to-Loss XRP?

APenurunan tajam Rasio Realized Profit-to-Loss XRP hingga 0,38 (di bawah 1) menunjukkan bahwa mayoritas investor yang sedang memindahkan koin XRP melakukannya dengan merugi. Ini merupakan indikasi pasar sedang mengalami fase kapitulasi yang intens, dimana transaksi yang direalisasikan rugi jauh lebih banyak dibandingkan transaksi yang mengambil keuntungan.

QSiapa yang didorong memimpin peningkatan perdagangan spot XRP meskipun kinerja harganya melemah?

APeningkatan perdagangan spot XRP saat ini dipimpin oleh investor besar atau 'paus' (big whales). Kelompok investor besar ini telah mendominasi perdagangan spot sejak Juli 2022 dan cenderung aktif berdagang selama fase akumulasi.

QBagaimana perilaku investor XRP terhadap penarikan dari bursa kripto, khususnya di Upbit?

AInvestor XRP sedang menarik aset mereka dari bursa kripto, terlihat dari penurunan cadangan XRP di bursa seperti Upbit di Korea. Tren ini dianggap sebagai sinyal positif karena secara historis, penurunan cadangan di Upbit sering bertepatan dengan rally harga XRP.

QApa arti rasio Realized Profit-to-Loss sebesar 0,38 bagi pasar XRP?

ARasio Realized Profit-to-Loss sebesar 0,38 berarti untuk setiap $1 kerugian yang direalisasikan di pasar, hanya ada $0,38 keuntungan yang diambil. Ini merupakan pembalikan total dari kondisi puncak 2025, yang menunjukkan tekanan jual dan sentimen pasar yang sangat bearish.

QApa yang mungkin terjadi pada harga XRP berdasarkan tren penarikan dari bursa dan aktivitas paus?

ABerdasarkan kombinasi tren penarikan XRP dari bursa (terutama Upbit) dan aktivitas perdagangan spot yang dipimpin paus selama fase akumulasi, analis berpendapat bahwa sebuah pemulihan harga (bounce) atau rally mungkin akan segera terjadi jika tren ini berlanjut.

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953 Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.01Updated 2024.12.03

What is XRP 2.0

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