Vitalik:预测市场是继媒体与社交网络之后的“第三种信息系统”

比推Published on 2025-10-23Last updated on 2025-10-23

在今天的 #ETHShanghai 2025 峰会上,Vitalik与万向区块链董事长肖风Buterin展开圆桌对话对话。

Vitalik Buterin 表示,预测市场的潜力远超投资工具,它可能成为社会认知体系中的“第三种媒体”。

他以美国大选期间的 Polymarket 为例指出:许多原本对加密持批评态度的知识分子,也通过预测市场了解事件的真实影响。“当我看到这种跨圈层的使用时,我意识到——这是一种真正的成功。”

Vitalik 认为,预测市场能过滤掉传统媒体与社交媒体中的偏见,让价格成为最真实的信号。

未来,随着 AI 的介入,预测市场将从宏观事件拓展到微观互动,例如预测一篇文章的受欢迎程度。

视频链接:https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1g4sazHEWs/?spm_id_from=888.80997.embed_other.whitelist&t=98.84579348100085&bvid=BV1g4sazHEWs

说明: 比推所有文章只代表作者观点,不构成投资建议

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