当 Base 遇见 Solana:链间战争结束,流量战争开始

深潮Published on 2025-09-25Last updated on 2025-09-26

终极叙事,把桥做成“功能”,而非“摆设”。

作者:Charlie Liu

正如我最近写过的 稳定币新战场:Stripe 和 Circle 的 Layer 1 之争, 链间战火已经从 Coinbase和Robinhood 之间的 L2 烧到了 Circle 和 Stripe之间的 L1 。

但这次不一样。

Base 公布与 Solana 的官方互通路径,不只是“资产能跨过去”这么简单,而是把“选哪条链”降级成后台设置,把“谁掌控从意图到成交的默认路线”升级成一门可投资、可运营的生意。

在一个新 L1/L2 频出、稳定币交易量暴走、RWA与 DAT 抬头、挑战者交易所蚕食份额的市场里,这是一笔关于“流量工程”的长期下注。

两个“操作系统”,为何彼此需要

这不是“Base 是什么 / Solana 是什么”的科普题。关键在于各自最擅长什么、又放弃了什么。

Base 把分发、身份和以太坊结算力绑在一起,形成“合规入口 + EVM 资产”的巨大漏斗;代价是对极致低延迟的交互并不占优。

Solana 把吞吐和用户体验做到极致;代价是离 EVM 原生资金、机构分发半步之遥。

换句话说,Base 抱住了“人”和“钱”的入口,Solana 抓住了“手感”和“速度”。

一条把这些差异当“特性”而不是“矛盾”的桥,本质上是在做“工作负载的优化分配”。

身份、合规、治理与深度资金留在 Base;需要手速和顺滑体验的高频环节上 Solana;路由在后台自动安排,不要求用户改钱包、也不逼团队改技术栈。

两边的取舍不必被抹平,反而可以在同一条用户旅程里复利。

为什么不只是前端体验的升级

表层看,这是一个被官方“正名”的双向通道:让 SOL 能在 EVM 流里像本地资产一样被调用,也让 Base 侧资产在 Solana 上自然表达。

更重要的是立场——这不是给极客的侧门,而是面向大众的“默认通路”。

当桥接被产品化、内嵌进钱包与支付路径,用户无需换环境,做同一件事,只是后台走了更合适的车道。

对市场结构的影响,往往是降低切换成本、压缩点差、加深真正可成交的流动性池,利润也自然向“掌控最后一公里路由”的一侧靠拢。

护城河从技术参数,变成“流量路由权”

投资人应该把它看成支付网络,而不是单纯的“某条链”。整个体系的“价值积累”在意图的源头和自动路由的节点。

Coinbase 的法币入口、Base 的钱包路径,天然握着上游分发权;Solana 的执行面,则吃下高频场景的超额收益。谁能定义默认路径——钱包、入金口、聚合器——谁就更能建起收费站。

这件事在当下尤其重要:稳定币已是加密里增长最快的业务,圈外巨头开始做“支付型 L1”,而不同链之间的路由则成了新游戏的重中之重。

从投资视角,估值逻辑会离开单纯的TPS 崇拜,靠近“谁握住了默认路径与结算终局”。

激励并不冲突

对创业团队,这个桥接意味着“分发不用迁移,体验不用妥协”。

对投资人,它提供了一条“单用户 LTV 复利”的现实路径:一端是可信分发与 EVM 资本承接,另一端是稳定、低摩擦的执行回路。

RWA 与 DAT的崛起需要这两头同时在线:运营要像自动化系统一样可预测,审计要像财报附注一样看得懂。

ETH 与 SOL 之所以成了资产侧与体验侧的双中心,就在于这组“分发 × 执行”的组合拳够顺;未来再叠加一两条“支付型 L1”作为流量卫星,也不会割裂用户故事。

“单体 vs. 模块”争论,退出主舞台

务虚的原教旨争论让位于务实的运营探讨。

哪些环节必须站在以太坊的结算与合规阴影下,哪些环节必须在 Solana 的低延迟跑道上,稳定币要在两边穿梭——答案不是意识形态,而是现实的使用价值。

对于产品经理们,把这个桥接可以当内部 API 来做产品。一个余额,多条车道,费用透明、时间敏感。发币与经济模型,直说“治理在哪、体验在哪”,别让激励和路由打架。

对于做市商们,可以把跨运行时的头寸统一一本账;平衡更便宜、可触达的场景更多,终端点差自然收紧。

对于钱包与on-ramp入口们,护城河不再是“谁更便宜”,而是“谁的默认路径更好用”。

当你握住默认,稳定币支付、DeFi 与消费类应用就能被自然打包,用户也不需要“理解桥”。

L1/L2 之战:从“地盘战争”变成“交通工程”

给投资人的三个在第一性原理上的提示:

第一,基础设施的生态已经加进了支付巨头自建 L1,这会把流动性需求分散到更多目的地,单一“赢家通吃”的概率下降。

第二,稳定币是需求引擎,名义量还会再上一个数量级;不能成为一等稳定币通道的链,再漂亮也容易边缘化。

第三,交易所的利润结构正在被挑战者重写。像 Hyperliquid 这样的 perp DEX 靠执行与体验拿走一部分增量;当 Base ↔ Solana 成为原生路径,去“点差最紧、延迟最稳”的地方会更容易,这条趋势还会加速。

那这波变化怎么验证?看三组可能出现的现象。

其一,Base 的活跃度与 TVL 与 SOL 计价流的相关性增强,Solana 原生应用开始自然对接 EVM 资金而不再“补课”。

其二,入金口与钱包默认采用跨运行时路由,跨生态转账更少绕道 CEX。

其三,RWA 与 DAT 的披露里,越来越多“双栖设计”:治理与结算重心在 ETH/Base,交互与留存重心在 SOL,随着支付型 L1 的落地再加一两条“稳定币重镇”的分发卫星。

终极叙事:把桥做成“功能”,而非“摆设”

用户买的是“好用的体验”,不是“酷炫的桥接”。

当互通被做成“可观测、可依赖、对用户隐形”的产品,我们终于可以把“选链”从用户手里拿回来,交给后台路由。

对投资人,这意味着从“平台独占”转向“网络与路由”的定价世界——价值更稳地沉淀在掌控意图、身份与默认路径的那一层。

Base × Solana 的连接是这个世界的早期样本:它也许不会宣布 L1–L2 战争结束,但会把边界模糊到足以让“流量,而非领土”决定价值归属。

Related Reads

Warsh's First Day in Office, Markets Deliver a 'Wake-up Call': Rate Hike Expected This Year

On his first day in office, newly inaugurated Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh received a stark market warning, with expectations now fully pricing in a 25-basis-point interest rate hike this year. The shift was triggered by hawkish remarks from Fed Governor Waller, who stated that inflation is now the key policy "driver" and that the odds of a hike or cut are evenly split. This sent short-term Treasury yields higher. Waller signaled a significant pivot in his stance, citing disappointing inflation and labor data. He suggested removing "easing bias" language from Fed statements and did not rule out future rate increases if inflation fails to recede, though he noted immediate action isn't warranted without signs of unanchored inflation expectations. Chairman Warsh faces immediate pressure at his first FOMC meeting in June. With the preferred inflation gauge at a three-year high, analysts warn that failing to hike could be interpreted as an implicit easing of policy. The geopolitical situation in the Middle East is adding to existing price pressures. The market's expectation for a hike contrasts sharply with earlier forecasts for multiple cuts. While long-term Treasury yields have been contained by lower energy prices recently, analysts note they remain under structural upward pressure. Warsh's swearing-in at the White House highlights political scrutiny over Fed independence. However, the market has made it clear that inflation is the most urgent challenge, leaving the new chairman little time to settle in.

marsbit5h ago

Warsh's First Day in Office, Markets Deliver a 'Wake-up Call': Rate Hike Expected This Year

marsbit5h ago

Has Microsoft Lost Its Way in the AI Race, and Can Copilot Bring It Back on Track?

Microsoft, once seen as an early AI frontrunner due to its investment in OpenAI, is navigating a strategic shift amid increased competition. Its initial reliance on OpenAI’s GPT models has been complicated by OpenAI’s growing ambitions as a direct competitor, rapid advancements from rivals like Claude and Gemini, and the disruptive rise of AI agents, which challenge its traditional SaaS business model. These factors contributed to stock declines and slower-than-expected adoption of its flagship Copilot products. In response, CEO Satya Nadella has taken a hands-on role in product development, signaling the urgency of change. Microsoft is pivoting from a model-centric strategy to a "model-agnostic" enterprise platform approach. It aims to become the foundational layer connecting various AI models—from OpenAI, Anthropic, or its own new "Superintelligence" team—with enterprise workflows, data, security, and cloud services. Recent organizational changes merged consumer and enterprise Copilot teams to accelerate innovation, exemplified by new products like Copilot Tasks and Copilot Cowork. However, this transformation comes at a high cost. Microsoft faces massive capital expenditures, potentially reaching ~$190 billion by 2026, to support AI infrastructure. While its platform strategy shows early signs of traction with growing Azure AI revenue, it must balance startup-like agility with the reliability expected by enterprise clients. The core challenge is no longer being the sole AI winner but defending its position as the essential enterprise software entry point amidst rapid technological commoditization and the shift towards always-on AI agents.

marsbit6h ago

Has Microsoft Lost Its Way in the AI Race, and Can Copilot Bring It Back on Track?

marsbit6h ago

Why Haven't Forex Stablecoins Taken Off?

Why FX Stablecoins Never Took Off: A Path Forward via Synthetic FX Despite the explosive growth of stablecoin-powered digital banking, which has seen ~$6B in VC investment and a 24x surge in crypto card spending in under a year, a major limitation persists: these banks are essentially dollar-only accounts. This leaves 95-99% of global accounts, which are denominated in non-USD currencies, underserved. Attempts to create native foreign currency (FX) stablecoins (like EURC) have largely failed, with total FX stablecoin TVL at ~$600M compared to $400B for USD stablecoins—a 700x gap. These FX tokens face critical challenges: fragile pegs due to low liquidity, limited exchange/FinTech acceptance, poor on/off-ramps, complex regional compliance, and a chicken-and-egg adoption problem. The article argues that the solution lies not in competing with entrenched USD stablecoin networks (USDT/USDC), but in adopting a synthetic FX model inspired by traditional finance. Specifically, it advocates for Mark-to-Market Non-Deliverable Forwards (NDFs)—cash-settled FX derivatives that allow users to maintain underlying USD stablecoin holdings while having their account balance and P&L denominated in a foreign currency. This approach offers key advantages: strong oracle-based pegs, retention of deep USD stablecoin liquidity and yield, superior on/off-ramps, scalability to any currency with a reliable feed, and capital efficiency. It mirrors how modern institutional FX markets operate. Primary use cases for on-chain NDFs include: 1. **Digital Banks/Wallets:** Enabling multi-currency accounts for international users without leaving the USD stablecoin ecosystem, boosting deposits and retention. 2. **FX Carry Trade Vaults:** Offering access to sovereign interest rate differentials (e.g., earning yield on BRL) in a more stable and scalable format than crypto-native products like Ethena. 3. **Global Enterprise Payments:** Allowing merchants to receive payments in local currency equivalents while settling in USD stablecoins, similar to services offered by Stripe for fiat. The conclusion is that synthetic FX, not native FX stablecoins, is the viable path to integrating foreign exchange into the growing stablecoin digital banking landscape, potentially unlocking the next phase of institutional DeFi and multi-trillion-dollar global adoption.

链捕手6h ago

Why Haven't Forex Stablecoins Taken Off?

链捕手6h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of SOL (SOL) are presented below.

活动图片