摩根大通:以太坊表现优于比特币的四大原因

marsbitPublished on 2025-08-21Last updated on 2025-08-21

速览:

  • 以太坊在近几周的表现优于比特币,摩根大通分析师将这一走势归因于四个主要因素。
  • 其中包括:预期中的现货以太坊 ETF 质押获批、企业金库的购入、美国证交会(SEC)工作人员的澄清缓解了对流动性质押代币的担忧,以及实物赎回机制提高了 ETF 的效率与流动性。

以太坊在近几周的表现超过比特币,摩根大通分析师指出,主要驱动因素包括交易所交易基金(ETF)资金流入、企业金库采纳、监管明朗化以及 ETF 结构性改进。

摩根大通董事总经理 Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou 带领的分析团队在周三的报告中提到,以太坊 ETF 在 7 月份录得创纪录的 54 亿美元流入,与比特币 ETF 当月的资金流入相当。分析师指出,虽然现货比特币 ETF 在 8 月出现小幅资金流出,但现货以太坊 ETF 仍在持续吸引资金。

自美国 7 月通过 GENIUS 法案稳定币立法以来,以太坊的表现尤其优于比特币,投资者也在期待 9 月份可能出台的又一项具有里程碑意义的加密市场结构法案。

摩根大通

四大因素

摩根大通分析师指出,以太坊近期优于比特币的表现背后有四个关键因素。

首先,市场预计美国证券交易委员会(SEC)将批准 现货以太坊 ETF 的质押功能,这将使资产管理公司能够为投资者创造质押收益,而无需个人投资者持有 至少 32 枚 ETH 的门槛。

第二,企业金库已开始增持以太坊,目前大约有 10 家上市公司在资产负债表上持有 ETH,占当前流通 ETH 总量的 2.3%。分析师表示,其中一些企业预计会运行验证者节点以获取被动质押收入,而另一些则可能通过流动性质押和去中心化金融(DeFi)策略来追求收益。

第三,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)在工作人员层面给出澄清,暗示流动性质押代币可能不会被视为证券。分析师指出,这缓解了机构层面的担忧,尽管相关表态尚未被正式写入法律。

第四,SEC 最近批准了现货比特币和以太坊 ETF 的 实物赎回机制,这将允许机构直接用加密资产赎回 ETF 份额,而无需先转换为现金。摩根大通分析师表示:“这将提升效率、降低成本并增强 ETF 的市场流动性,同时在投资者大额赎回时减少被迫清算的风险。”

展望未来,分析师认为,与比特币相比,以太坊在 ETF 和企业金库采纳 方面仍有更大的增长空间。目前,企业和机构持有的 ETH 规模仍落后于 BTC,若采纳趋势持续,将有望带来更多资金流入。

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