Bitcoin Looks Stronger When Measured Against Equities’ Decline – Insights

bitcoinistPublished on 2025-04-06Last updated on 2025-04-07

Abstract

Bitcoin is facing critical selling pressure amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, with bulls unable to reclaim the $90,000 level and bears...

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is facing critical selling pressure amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, with bulls unable to reclaim the $90,000 level and bears repeatedly failing to break below the $81,000 support. The market remains caught in a tight range, reflecting broader investor caution as global financial conditions remain unstable. Tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and risk-off sentiment continue to weigh on high-volatility assets like Bitcoin, dampening bullish momentum.

However, some analysts argue that the worst may already be behind. According to crypto analyst Daan, when adjusting for the S&P 500’s decline, Bitcoin is now down less than 10% from its all-time highs — a significantly more resilient performance than headline numbers suggest.

This perspective highlights the importance of viewing Bitcoin in context with traditional markets, especially on higher timeframes where the correlation often becomes more apparent. While BTC remains under pressure in the short term, the relative strength against equities could be a sign of underlying resilience. If macro conditions begin to stabilize, Bitcoin may be well-positioned for a recovery as capital rotates back into risk assets.

Bitcoin Holds Strong As Equities Slide: Recovery On The Horizon?

Bitcoin is facing a crucial test as it continues to hold above critical demand levels despite intense volatility in global financial markets. While panic selling gripped investors last week, the cryptocurrency managed to show relative strength. The S&P 500 lost 10% of its value in just two days during the Thursday and Friday trading sessions—its sharpest two-day decline in years—triggering widespread fear across risk assets. Yet, Bitcoin did not break below its key support zone near $81,000 and remains within striking distance of reclaiming the $90,000 level.

This relative stability is giving bulls renewed hope for a recovery rally. According to Daan, most of Bitcoin’s decline this year has been tied to weakness in equities. When adjusted for the S&P 500’s performance, Bitcoin is now down less than 10% from its all-time highs—a notable show of strength in a market defined by uncertainty.

BTCUSDT/SPX correlation chart | Source: Daan on X
BTCUSDT/SPX correlation chart | Source: Daan on X

Daan emphasizes the importance of analyzing Bitcoin relative to traditional financial indices like the SPX. On higher timeframes, BTC and equities often show meaningful correlation, and when stocks suffer, crypto tends to follow. However, BTC’s current resilience suggests it may be ready to decouple—or at least outperform—in the next leg of the cycle. As macroeconomic tensions persist, this comparison could become increasingly valuable for gauging Bitcoin’s true strength amid broader volatility.

Price Action: BTC Consolidates Above $81K level

Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,000 after several days of tight consolidation between the $81,000 support and the $88,000 resistance level. The market remains indecisive, with bulls attempting to hold critical ground while facing continued macroeconomic headwinds. Despite brief attempts to push higher, BTC has failed to break out, and price action continues to reflect caution and fading momentum.

BTC trading below the 200-day EMA & MA | Source: BTCUSDT Chart on TradingView
BTC trading below the 200-day EMA & MA | Source: BTCUSDT Chart on TradingView

For bulls to regain control and validate a recovery rally, Bitcoin must decisively reclaim the $90,000 level. Doing so would not only restore bullish sentiment but also confirm the continuation of the broader long-term uptrend that began in late 2023. Without a breakout, however, uncertainty will continue to dominate.

The $81,000 level remains the most important support for now. A clean breakdown below this zone in the coming week could trigger a sharp sell-off and confirm a deeper correction phase. With global markets still rattled by economic tensions and volatility in equities, Bitcoin’s next move is likely to set the tone for the crypto market. Traders and investors are watching closely as BTC hovers at a pivotal price range that could determine its direction for the rest of the quarter.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

Related Reads

Pope Issues First AI Encyclical: 40,000 Words, 10 Key Points, Clarifying AI Anxiety

Pope Leo XIV's historic encyclical "Magnifica Humanitas," released in May 2026, marks the Catholic Church's first major document addressing artificial intelligence. The 40,000-word text moves beyond theological abstraction to confront practical AI anxieties affecting society. It argues that AI is no longer a mere tool but an embedded environment influencing daily decisions in areas like employment, healthcare, justice, and information, often without users' awareness. The encyclical presents ten core concerns. It highlights that the central issue isn't just regulation, but who holds the underlying *power*—control over data, compute, and platforms—often concentrated in private entities. It warns that even developers cannot fully explain AI systems, creating accountability gaps. While AI can simulate human interaction and creativity, it cautions against treating it as a moral agent capable of bearing true responsibility or forming genuine relationships. Key risks identified include AI's role in opaque decision-making for jobs or welfare, the amplification of persuasive disinformation, and the potential for education to focus on tool use over critical thinking. The document stresses that work has value beyond efficiency, and AI should enhance human capabilities, not merely replace roles. It firmly states that irreversible decisions, especially involving life and death, must remain under human judgment. Ultimately, the encyclical frames AI's challenge as anthropological, not just technological. As AI simulates uniquely human capacities like judgment and creation, it forces a re-examination of what makes human action meaningful: our capacity for responsibility, vulnerability, and bearing real consequences. The Pope concludes that technology is never neutral; its development and deployment are shaped by human values and choices, making an inclusive, ethically grounded dialogue essential for its future.

marsbit7m ago

Pope Issues First AI Encyclical: 40,000 Words, 10 Key Points, Clarifying AI Anxiety

marsbit7m ago

Retail Investors' 'Lead Brother' Serenity vs. Newly Minted Stock God Leopold: How Are the Two Top Hunters Mining AI's 'Physical Limits'?

The article profiles two prominent figures, Serenity and Leopold Aschenbrenner, who are gaining attention for their unconventional investment strategies focused on the physical constraints of the AI boom, moving beyond mainstream software narratives. Serenity, an anonymous online trader, advocates a "shiso leaf" theory. He targets small-cap companies with monopolies on critical, overlooked components in the AI hardware supply chain, such as specific semiconductor materials. His deep, technical analysis of bottlenecks in areas like co-packaged optics (CPO) has reportedly yielded massive returns, though his anonymity and focus on illiquid micro-cap stocks pose significant risks for followers. Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher, founded a multi-billion dollar hedge fund. His macro thesis argues that physical infrastructure—power grids, land, data centers—is the true bottleneck for AI growth, lagging far behind chip production. Consequently, his fund employs an infrastructure arbitrage strategy: heavily investing in storage and compute infrastructure companies while placing massive bearish bets (put options) against major semiconductor stocks, betting their valuations will correct as physical constraints become apparent. While their methods differ—Serenity drills into microscopic supply chain details, while Leopold takes a macroscopic, infrastructure-focused view—both share a core belief: the real power and investment alpha in the AI era lie in controlling scarce physical resources, not just software. The article concludes by noting the inherent risks in both approaches, such as liquidity issues for micro-caps and timing risks for macro bets, but suggests they signal a broader market re-evaluation of AI's foundational assets.

marsbit9h ago

Retail Investors' 'Lead Brother' Serenity vs. Newly Minted Stock God Leopold: How Are the Two Top Hunters Mining AI's 'Physical Limits'?

marsbit9h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片