Here’s why Bitcoin price can’t go higher than $87.5K

CointelegraphPublished on 2025-03-20Last updated on 2025-03-21

Abstract

key bull market trendlines that bulls are currently in the process of trying to flip to support at around $85,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) is being capped at $87,500 thanks to manipulation by one or more whales, new analysis says.


The latest market coverage by trading resource Material Indicators on March 20 reveals why BTC/USD is stuck in its current range.


“Spoofy the whale” gets blame for BTC price range


Bitcoin has managed to sustain $80,000 as support for more than a week while hitting two-week highs of $87,500 on March 20. 


Despite following broad volatility across risk assets, BTC/USD may have gone even higher were it not for maneuvers of large-volume trading entities on exchange order books.
Looking at global trading platform Binance, Material Indicators argued that shifting blocks of ask liquidity above price were keeping it pinned in a specific area — a classic manipulatory device known as “spoofing,” which has often been used by whales in the past.


“If you are wondering why Bitcoin price hasn't been able to rally past $87.5k yet, the reason is price suppression from Spoofy the Whale,” it summarized in a post on X.

BTC/USDT order book liquidity data. Source: Material Indicators/X

An accompanying chart shows that the liquidity in question currently sits at $89,000. It also tracks investor order classes, showing all but the largest “whale” transactions distributing.


Discussing the data, Material Indicators hinted that support at the recent multimonth lows of $76,000 was insufficient as a firm market floor.


Bitcoin bulls keep up battle for key trend lines


Meanwhile, popular trader Daan Crypto Trades said that the current low-timeframe area of interest at $84,000 was essential for bulls going forward.

“The bulls would want to hold on to the $84K-$85K region to keep the momentum. Otherwise you're at risk of visiting those lower liquidity clusters which then can end up in a full retrace as price is still choppy,” part of his own X post explained.


“Local market structure is trying to shift to a small uptrend but the bulls need to step in and keep it that way or it will just be a quick deviation/short stop hunt.”

BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Daan Crypto Trades paid additional attention to the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and exponential moving average (EMA), key bull market trendlines that bulls are currently in the process of trying to flip to support at around $85,000.

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Related Reads

Samsung Relies on Technology Cycles, SK Hynix on HBM, How Did Micron Win a Trillion-Dollar Market Cap?

Micron Technology, the third-largest memory chip maker alongside Samsung and SK Hynix, recently saw its market cap surpass $1 trillion. Founded in 1978 in Boise, Idaho, Micron survived brutal industry cycles while American peers and Japan's memory sector faltered. Its survival is attributed to a dual strategy: leveraging political and legal avenues for critical breathing room, coupled with relentless manufacturing cost control. Historically, Micron sought U.S. government intervention three times. In 1985, it filed an anti-dumping complaint against Japanese firms, leading to the U.S.-Japan Semiconductor Agreement. Ironically, this created an opening for Samsung, which later became its toughest competitor. In 2002, Micron turned "whistleblower" in a DRAM price-fixing investigation, escaping penalties while rivals were fined. In 2017, it sued China's Fujian Jinhua, contributing to its placement on a U.S. entity list, stifling a nascent competitor. However, a major strategic misstep occurred in 2013 with the acquisition of bankrupt Japanese firm Elpida. Integrating Elpida's mobile-DRAM-focused technology diverted resources, causing Micron to miss the critical early decade of development for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM)—the high-performance memory essential for AI chips like NVIDIA GPUs. By the time AI demand exploded in 2022, SK Hynix, which launched the first HBM in 2013, held about 85% of the HBM3 market, leaving Micron with roughly 3%. Micron now faces a triple squeeze. In the high-end HBM market, it lags significantly behind SK Hynix and Samsung. In the mid-to-low end DRAM market, it faces aggressive price competition from China's CXMT. Furthermore, a 2023 Chinese cybersecurity ban on its products slashed its revenue from China, a once-core market, from over 10% to just 7.1% by FY2025, causing it to exit China's data center server business. Beneath its political maneuvering lies Micron's core strength: exceptional manufacturing efficiency and cost control. Decades of engineering have yielded DRAM chips with a smaller cell area than rivals, meaning more chips per wafer and lower unit costs. This efficiency, not subsidies, has allowed it to withstand price wars. While political leverage bought time, Micron is now paying a "time debt" in the HBM race. It is racing to ramp up HBM3E production and develop HBM4, but catching up to competitors who started a decade earlier is a monumental challenge. Its future hinges on whether its expertise in cost control and political strategy can compensate for the lost time in a technology race where early-mover advantage is decisive.

链捕手21m ago

Samsung Relies on Technology Cycles, SK Hynix on HBM, How Did Micron Win a Trillion-Dollar Market Cap?

链捕手21m ago

New AMD Paper Overturns Conventional Wisdom: FP4 Training Instability's Cause Is Not Insufficient Randomness

AMD's new research challenges the conventional understanding of FP4 training instability. While reducing precision from FP8 to FP4 promises doubled computational throughput and is supported by new hardware like NVIDIA Blackwell and AMD MI350 series, training large language models natively with FP4 has been notoriously unstable, often attributed to insufficient stochasticity. The paper "Pretraining large language models with MXFP4 on Native FP4 Hardware" demonstrates successful end-to-end FP4 pre-training of Llama 3.1-8B on AMD MI355X GPUs using the MXFP4 format, achieving a 9-10% overall speedup over FP8. Crucially, it identifies the root cause of instability: not randomness, but the accumulation of *structural micro-scaling errors* along the sensitive weight gradient (Wgrad) path. Through controlled experiments, researchers found that quantizing the Wgrad operation to FP4 caused significant convergence degradation. Counterintuitively, common stochasticity-based mitigation techniques like stochastic rounding and randomized Hadamard transforms worsened performance. In contrast, applying a *deterministic* Hadamard transform successfully stabilized training by ensuring consistent error patterns, reducing the extra token cost from 26-27% to just 8-9%. This work has significant implications: 1) It provides a clear diagnostic for low-precision training instability, steering focus towards structural errors. 2) It pushes FP4 from a primarily inference-focused format into the realm of viable training. 3) It leverages the open OCP Microscaling (MX) standard, promoting cross-vendor compatibility. The research marks a critical step towards more economical large model training by further pushing the boundaries of low-precision computation.

marsbit41m ago

New AMD Paper Overturns Conventional Wisdom: FP4 Training Instability's Cause Is Not Insufficient Randomness

marsbit41m ago

Will ONDO's 'Tokenization Narrative' Change After Its CEO's Unexpected Passing?

Ondo Finance founder and CEO Nathan Allman has passed away unexpectedly. Allman, a Brown University graduate with a background in private credit and Goldman Sachs' digital asset team, was a key architect of Ondo's pivot from DeFi structured yield products to becoming a leading Real-World Asset (RWA) protocol. He drove the strategy to tokenize traditional financial assets like US Treasuries (OUSG), yield-generating dollar assets (USDY), and US stocks/ETFs (Ondo Global Markets) for on-chain accessibility. The company announced that President Ian De Bode, a former McKinsey partner with a strong institutional strategy and operations background, will succeed Allman as CEO. While Allman's sudden departure presents a near-term challenge, testing market confidence and Ondo's continuity, the project is seen as more than a founder-driven narrative. It has an established product suite and a management team with deep traditional finance experience. The long-term impact hinges on the new leadership's ability to execute. De Bode's expertise in compliance, distribution, and institutional partnerships aligns with RWA's next phase of scaling infrastructure. The core question is whether Ondo can maintain its product momentum and institutional relationships. Ondo's native ONDO token represents governance and RWA narrative value, not direct revenue from the underlying assets. Its future as a "top tokenization play" will depend on the team's continued delivery of product growth, asset scale, and real-world demand, moving beyond the initial emotional shock.

marsbit1h ago

Will ONDO's 'Tokenization Narrative' Change After Its CEO's Unexpected Passing?

marsbit1h ago

Bankless Co-founder's Confession on Selling Off ETH: Ethereum Did the Right Thing, but 'ETH as Money' Has No Future

Bankless co-founder David Hoffman recently sold his remaining ETH holdings, sparking debate within the Ethereum community. In a detailed explanation, Hoffman clarifies that his decision was not based on bearish sentiment towards Ethereum itself, which he remains highly optimistic about, but rather on the conclusion that the "ETH is Money" narrative has largely run its course. Hoffman argues that for ETH to achieve its envisioned status as global money, Ethereum needed to execute flawlessly across multiple layers—governance, technology, and market dominance—in a highly coordinated manner. He acknowledges Ethereum's significant successes and current justified valuation but suggests the window for a major revaluation based on this monetary narrative is closing. The post examines several challenges: the strong correlation between L1 chain activity/fees and native token value; the perceived failure of the "strong version" of crypto (user-owned, egalitarian systems) versus the rise of a "weak version" (efficient ledger technology for traditional finance); and the possibility that ETH's momentum as money was uniquely tied to the distorted conditions of the 2020-2021 period. Crucially, Hoffman highlights a structural tension: Ethereum is architected as a "giver, not a taker," providing critical infrastructure like secure block space and tokenization at cost. This ethos benefits the broader ecosystem (applications, L2s) but doesn't prioritize extracting maximum value for ETH itself. The "ETH is Money" thesis required Ethereum to win a war of overwhelming market dominance—a war its design philosophy refuses to explicitly fight. Therefore, while he sees continued immense success for the Ethereum network and its ecosystem (following a "fat application" theory where value accrues to apps and L2s), Hoffman finds it increasingly difficult to foresee a structural upward revaluation for the ETH asset based on the monetary narrative. His capital reallocation reflects a belief that this particular investment thesis has played out.

Odaily星球日报1h ago

Bankless Co-founder's Confession on Selling Off ETH: Ethereum Did the Right Thing, but 'ETH as Money' Has No Future

Odaily星球日报1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片