Решение ФРС и судьба биткоина: чего ждать рынку?

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-07-17Last updated on 2025-03-17

Биток снова трясёт, и на этот раз виной тому не крупные продажи китов, а события связанные с решением ФРС по ставке. В понедельник крупнейшая криптовалюта просела до $83 191, притом что всю прошлую неделю он, итак, укатывался все ниже и ниже, редко стагнируя. Теперь все, кто в теме, в ожидании вердикта ФРС по ставкам.

Аналитики почти в один голос твердят: регулятор, скорее всего, оставит ставку без изменений, как и в январе. Но если ФРС чутка поменяет риторику, биток может показать мощное движение — вопрос только, в какую сторону.

Ключевые зоны для BTC:

$81K+ – если биток закрепится выше, это шанс на отскок.
$76K – пробой этой отметки и рынок может пережить очередные крупные продажи ликвидации.
$85-90K – если попадем в этот коридор и удержится, бычий настрой вернётся.

Также стоит обращать внимание на доллар. Индекс доллара (DXY) слабеет, а значит, инвесторы могут снова перелить свои средства в крипту. Дешёвый доллар — это как топливо для биткоина, но если ФРС решит закрутить гайки, это не будет иметь никакого значения.

Кроме ставок, в игре ещё и глобальная ликвидность. Центробанки по всему миру печатают деньги, пытаясь держать экономики на плаву. Если ФРС вдруг намекнёт на послабления, это может подогреть аппетит к рисковым активам, и тогда биткоин снова взлетит.

Пока биткоин не показывает какой-то устойчивости, альты тоже не в лучшей форме. Эфир за неделю просел на 9%, стагнируя у отметки в $1 900. Народ меньше пользуется сетью: раньше активных юзеров было 700К в день, сейчас – только 293К.

Другие топовые альты, такие как SOL, XRP, ADA и TRX, тоже переживают не лучшие времена. Многие верят, что если ФРС даст зелёный свет на снижение ставок в будущем, рынок может ожить и пойти в рост.

Ondo, the Leader in RWA Tokenization, is Entering the Perp DEX Arena

Ondo Finance, the dominant player in the real-world asset (RWA) tokenization space, is entering the perpetual futures (Perp) DEX arena with the launch of "Ondo Perps." This move signifies a strategic pivot from primarily being an asset issuer to becoming a comprehensive trading infrastructure provider. The platform uniquely focuses on tokenized traditional assets like stocks, indices (e.g., US 500), and commodities (gold, silver, oil), offering up to 20x leverage for 24/7 trading. A key differentiator is its planned multi-asset collateral system, which will allow users to employ tokenized stocks and bonds as margin, enabling sophisticated portfolio hedging and strategies. This approach leverages Ondo's existing strengths—deep institutional relationships, regulatory approvals, and a vast library of tokenized assets—to create a bridge between traditional finance liquidity and decentralized, permissionless trading. By integrating its asset issuance (Ondo Global Markets) with a proprietary trading venue, Ondo aims to complete the RWA financialization loop, transforming tokenized holdings from passive investments into productive capital for leverage and complex financial engineering. The launch positions Ondo Perps not just as another derivatives exchange, but as a foundational piece of next-generation infrastructure merging TradFi assets with DeFi-native execution.

Foresight News1h ago

Ondo, the Leader in RWA Tokenization, is Entering the Perp DEX Arena

Foresight News1h ago

Bitcoin’s recovery to $64K on hold? KEY metrics flash mixed signals after leverage wipeout

Bitcoin's recovery to $64K faces mixed signals after a late-June downturn triggered significant market adjustments. A sharp price decline to $57.8K led to substantial liquidations, wiping out leverage and shifting funding rates from negative to slightly positive, indicating improved sentiment without excessive speculation. This short squeeze reduced selling pressure, allowing a price rebound fueled by fresh long positions and the unwinding of crowded shorts. However, underlying demand metrics present caution. Exchange outflows have slowed, with reserves increasing from 2.25 million to 2.66 million BTC since October, suggesting reduced accumulation into long-term storage. While reserves remain below previous cycle peaks, this growing available supply could limit future rallies if not met with renewed demand. The recovery's sustainability now hinges on persistent spot buying and renewed investor accumulation amidst these conflicting signals.

ambcrypto1h ago

Bitcoin’s recovery to $64K on hold? KEY metrics flash mixed signals after leverage wipeout

ambcrypto1h ago

Founder of Baixing.com: The Notion That Large Language Models Will Devour Everything, I Believe Half of It

Founder of Baixing.com: I Only Half-Believe the Saying “Large Language Models Will Devour Everything” Author: Wang Jianshuo, Founder of Baixing.com Many proclaim that large models are everything, but the author is skeptical. He argues that such sweeping claims often stem from a limited understanding of the future. Drawing parallels to past technologies like electricity and the internet—which were predicted to “devour everything” but didn’t—he suggests that large language models (LLMs) are better seen as a foundational base. Like electricity, this base is essential for modern development, but its real value emerges only when applied to specific scenarios through various “machines” or “tools” (e.g., Claude Code for programming, Claude Design for design). The author acknowledges that LLMs may indeed replace many existing software systems built on rigid rules, workflows, and forms (e.g., CRMs, SaaS tools), as these are precisely what LLMs excel at processing. However, he emphasizes that beyond software, elements like customer data, execution capabilities (e.g., booking a flight), trust, and physical-world interactions will not be “devoured.” Instead, he foresees that after streamlining existing software, LLMs will open up a larger space for innovative, next-generation applications. These new tools will likely feature fluid interfaces and rely less on fixed rules, unleashing greater creativity. The author cautions against short-sightedness, recalling how in 2004 many believed internet giants like Sina, Sohu, and NetEase would monopolize the market—only to be proven wrong by subsequent disruptions. In conclusion, while LLMs are a crucial foundation and a current focal point, the true mainstream of this wave lies in the diverse applications built atop them to solve concrete problems. The phrase “devour everything” is imprecise; the real opportunity lies in identifying and leveraging the areas where LLMs do bring transformative change.

marsbit1h ago

Founder of Baixing.com: The Notion That Large Language Models Will Devour Everything, I Believe Half of It

marsbit1h ago

Founder of Baixing.com: I Only Half Believe in the Notion that Large Language Models Devour Everything

The founder of Baixing Wang states that while large language models (LLMs) are an extremely important foundational technology—akin to electricity or the internet—he only "half believes" the notion that they will "consume everything." He argues that LLMs provide a base layer of intelligence, but real-world value and transformation come from integrating this intelligence into specific applications and devices designed for particular scenarios—like how electricity powers various appliances from washing machines to TVs. He agrees LLMs will likely consume or replace a significant portion of existing rule-based, workflow-driven software (e.g., many SaaS systems, CRMs), as these are precisely what LLMs excel at handling. However, numerous other elements—such as customer data, execution capabilities (e.g., booking a flight), trust, and physical-world interactions—will not be consumed. Wang emphasizes that after LLMs absorb certain software layers, they will open up a much larger space for innovation: new types of "streaming" software with less rigid interfaces, where fixed rules are managed by AI. This next wave of applications built on top of the stable LLM foundation is where the true mainstream opportunity lies. He cautions against the short-sightedness of declaring any technology as all-consuming, drawing parallels to past premature predictions about internet giants monopolizing the web. The key is to find opportunities within the areas LLMs do transform.

链捕手1h ago

Founder of Baixing.com: I Only Half Believe in the Notion that Large Language Models Devour Everything

链捕手1h ago

Will Noah Doe’s Satoshi BTC claim ‘disrupt entire industries’? Defendants say…

Noah Doe, along with two other pseudonymous plaintiffs, is suing in New York to claim legal ownership of 39,069 allegedly abandoned and dormant Bitcoin wallets, containing approximately 3.8 million BTC. Their argument hinges on posting abandonment notices via the Bitcoin blockchain and deeming wallets inactive after a 90-day non-response period as abandoned property. Defendants, including the listed wallet addresses, are seeking to dismiss the case. They argue that inactivity alone does not prove abandonment, as long-term holding is common, and that Noah Doe cannot be a legitimate "finder" without possessing the private keys. They warn a ruling for the plaintiffs would disrupt digital asset industries and undermine property rights. The argument was complicated when one of the named "dormant" wallets, linked to Satoshi and holding 35.55 BTC since 2011, recently moved 15 BTC, demonstrating active control.

ambcrypto2h ago

Will Noah Doe’s Satoshi BTC claim ‘disrupt entire industries’? Defendants say…