В BitMEX оценили вероятность ликвидации биткоин-резервов MicroStrategy

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2020-09-25Last updated on 2024-10-25

«Крайне маловероятно», что рыночные условия вынудят MicroStrategy продать свои резервы в первой криптовалюте. К такому выводу пришли специалисты BitMEX Research.

MicroStrategy Bonds – When Liquidation?

We look at MSTR's outstanding bonds & look at their structure. We assess the possibility MSTR could be forced to sell Bitcoin. We argue that forced liquidations are unlikely, based on the current debt structurehttps://t.co/mQK4ODuUlM
— BitMEX Research (@BitMEXResearch) October 24, 2024

Аналитики обратили внимание на достижение котировками компании нового исторического максимума. Начало заметного роста (после периода застоя с начала 2000-х) совпало с переходом MicroStrategy к стратегии покупки биткоина на баланс в августе 2020 года.

Данные: MarketWatch.

С того момента фирма накопила крупнейшие корпоративные резервы в первой криптовалюте в размере 252 220 BTC. Компания потратила на приобретение цифрового золота ~$9,9 млрд при текущей оценке активов в более чем $17 млрд.

С определенного момента MicroStrategy перешла к активному использованию долгового капитала через размещение конвертируемых облигаций для привлечения средств на покупку биткоина.

Данные: BitMEX Research.

Эксперты BitMEX опровергли опасения инвесторов касательно возможной ликвидации компанией крипторезервов для погашения обязательств. При нынешней капитализации в более чем $43 млрд у MicroStrategy нет необходимости в подобных шагах, полагают аналитики. Сумма задолженности по бондам составляет примерно $4,25 млрд.

Однако они обратили внимание на историю биткоин-траста от Grayscale. Структура торговалась с премией к цене базового актива, но после преобразования в январе 2024 года в ETF испытала отток средств. Согласно SoSoValue, процесс не прекращается.

Данные: SoSoValue.

Если в какой-то момент премия в котировках MicroStrategy превратится в скидку, то для акционеров станет выгодной ликвидация биткоин-резервов фирмы. Но подобное для развитие событий аналитики считают «крайне маловероятным» — для этого цена криптовалюты должна упасть до $15 000.

Правление Microsoft предложило акционерам поддержать «оценку возможных инвестиций» корпорации в цифровое золото. Основатель MicroStrategy Майкл Сэйлор обратился к главе софтверной компании Сатье Наделла с советом, как «заработать еще один триллион долларов для акционеров».

Hey @SatyaNadella, if you want to make the next trillion dollars for $MSFT shareholders, call me. pic.twitter.com/NPnVvL7Wmj
— Michael Saylor⚡️ (@saylor) October 25, 2024

Напомним, Сейлор заявил о намерении трансформировать MicroStrategy в биткоин-банк с капитализацией в $1 трлн.

Некоторые связали эти планы с его поддержкой хранения криптовалют в крупных финансовых учреждениях. Бизнесмен отверг опасения сообщества на фоне критики.

Оказался не отцом. Как Майкл Сэйлор настроил против себя биткоин-сообщество

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