Виталик Бутерин поддержал ставки на исход войны на Ближнем Востоке

investing.ruPublished on 2024-10-01Last updated on 2024-10-01

Речь идет о ставках на возможные действия сторон конфликта на Ближнем Востоке: что будет делать израильская армия в Ливана, когда прекратится огонь, начнутся ли более крупномасштабные военные действия в этом году.

Некоторые участники рынка оказались обеспокоены, что такие прогнозы «превращают военный конфликт в футбольный матч, на который можно делать ставки». Виталик Бутерин заявил, что с точки зрения трейдера Polymarket — это сайт ставок, а со стороны зрителя — новостной сайт. По словам сооснователя Эфириума, речь идет не о зарабатывании денег на плохих вещах, а о создании среды, в которой слова имеют последствия, — без оглядки на правительственных или корпоративных цензоров.

«В Твиттере и Интернете есть разные люди, которые делают злонамеренные или неточные прогнозы о конфликтах. Поэтому возможность воочию увидеть мнения людей, которые оценивают вероятность события в 2% или 50%, является ценной функцией. Это поможет людям оставаться в здравом уме», — прокомментировал Бутерин.

Представитель поставщика оракулов на блокчейне Chainlink Зак Райнс (Zach Rynes) выразил опасения о развитии рынка предсказаний, связанных с убийствами — чтобы добиться определенного результата, люди могут предпринимать реальные действия, угрожающие жизни или общественному порядку. Райнс уверен, что любой рынок прогнозов, связанный с влиятельным событием, может провоцировать действия в реальном мире, даже если это не было специальным намерением.

Бутерин пообещал выступать против таких рынков. Сооснователь Эфириума предположил, что платформы прогнозов еще далеки от подобных масштабов. Однако, чтобы избежать возможных негативных последствий, Polymarket стоит ввести ограничения.

«Для меня красная линия заключается в следующем: выступает ли рынок в качестве стимула совершать плохие вещи, чтобы люди могли торговать инсайдерской информацией», — пояснил Бутерин.

В сентябре Бутерин высказался в пользу индивидуального стейкинга, заявив, что тот способен повысить децентрализацию блокчейна и снизить вероятность «атак 51%». Недавно основатель Cardano Чарльз Хоскинсон (Charles Hoskinson) назвал Бутерина диктатором, на котором, по словам Хоскинсона, держится вся концепция Эфириума.

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