分析师:比特币价格触及 66,000 美元,出现“熟悉的看涨气息”

marsbitPublished on 2024-09-26Last updated on 2024-09-27

由于中国股市经历了十六年来最好的一周,BTC 价格活动让市场观察者兴奋不已。比特币受中国经济刺激政策推动,创下两个月新高,重返66000美元上方。

分析师:比特币价格触及 66,000 美元,出现“熟悉的看涨气息”

BTC/USD 1 小时图。资料来源:TradingView

比特币跟随中国股市因刺激措施而飙升

Cointelegraph Markets ProTradingView的数据追踪了 Bitstamp 上 BTC 价格的新高,达到 66,194 美元。

本周迄今,BTC/USD已上涨 3%,并受到中国金融政策的额外影响。中国推出的一系列刺激措施使上证综合指数创下 2008 年以来的最佳单周表现。

交易资源 Kobeissi Letter在 X 的回应中写道:“这种感觉非常熟悉。”

自美联储于 9 月 18 日宣布降息 50 个基点的政策宽松措施以来,标准普尔 500 指数屡创历史新高。

当天公布的关键美国宏观数据——8月份个人消费支出(PCE)指数基本符合预期。

“美联储下次会议将在11月举行,市场希望再次降息50个基点,”Kobeissi继续谈论这个话题。 

尽管科贝西认为“9月份不需要降息50个基点,未来也不需要再次降息”,但芝加哥商品交易所集团(CME Group)的美联储观察工具数据显示了市场需求。

分析师:比特币价格触及 66,000 美元,出现“熟悉的看涨气息”

美联储目标利率概率。资料来源:芝商所

受欢迎的比特币和加密货币交易商 Skew 将 PCE 结果描述为对于市场表现来说“相当不错”。

他告诉X 的追随者:“密切关注本周收盘时的收益率和美元。”

BTC 价格支撑位仍维持在 65,000 美元

与此同时,比特币本身在从两个月高点小幅回落后继续保持关键支撑位。Skew 在另一篇有关全球最大交易所币安交易活动的帖子中指出:“价格再次与卖出流动性发生冲突,一些被动卖出价格在 65.8 万美元左右。”他补充说,买入流动性正从下方转向 63,000 美元。

帖子继续说道:“因此,我前几天就注意到,如果市场保持强劲,势头超过 65,000 美元,现货订单簿中的卖价深度可能会转变为买价深度。” 

“我们可以看到,这种情况正在发生,接受者从 65,000 美元开始吸收卖出流动性,而更多的被动买家流入市场。”

交易套件 DecenTrader 的联合创始人 Filbfilb 透露,BTC 多头与空头仓位的比例“非常低”,这可能是未来看涨价格走势的额外迹象。

附图显示,类似的情况发生在 BTC 价格上涨之前。

在讨论了其他各种有希望的指标数据后, 他总结道:“我认为比特币有一种特别熟悉的看涨气息。”

“目前,从技术上讲,我们缺少一个更高的高点来对这些要求产生影响,让我们看看 FOMO 是否会发挥作用。”

分析师:比特币价格触及 66,000 美元,出现“熟悉的看涨气息”

BTC 多头/空头比率。资料来源:Filbfilb/X

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