解析GraFun活动交互策略:获DWF与Floki支持,注册地址破200万

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-09-23Last updated on 2024-09-23

Abstract

分析10万链上地址数据,平均BNB持仓积分1539分。

原创 | Odaily星球日报(@OdailyChina

作者|南枳(@Assassin_Malvo

解析GraFun活动交互策略:获DWF与Floki支持,注册地址破200万

9 月 2 日,Pump 类平台 GraFun 推出了注册与存款活动。一天后,官方宣布已有 50 万名用户进行了注册。此后在 9 月 20 日,GraFun 宣布获得了 DWF Labs 和 Floki 的支持,社区开始大范围推广这一项目,当前注册地址突破 239 万个。

用户完成活动后将获得 GRA(官方暂未说明是代币或者积分),而 GRA 的主要获取方式是在钱包内持有 BNB。这一活动将在两天内结束,当前的积分分布情况如何?末班车是否还来得及?Odaily 将于本文解析链上数据尝试解答这一问题。

解析GraFun活动交互策略:获DWF与Floki支持,注册地址破200万

协议机制速览

GraFun 本质为 PumpFun 类项目,在 Bonding Curve 机制上进行了修改。GraFun 披露,其内盘的 Bonding Curve由 DeXe Protocol 所设计,命名为 Fair Curve

DeXe 表示,传统的 Bonding Curve 由于购买价格的差异非常大,存在价格操控和 Rug 频发的问题。而在 GraFun 的 Fair Curve 模型中,交易者购买的一部分代币将分配给由代币持有者管理的 DAO 金库,旨在减少流通量,降低早期购买者砸盘的风险。

解析GraFun活动交互策略:获DWF与Floki支持,注册地址破200万

在这一模型下,早期买家购买价格更低,但同时向 DAO 贡献了更大的份额(即变相提高早期买家的价格)。随着越来越多的参与者加入,代币价格上涨,发送到 DAO 的部分逐步减少。

代币内盘交易完成并在 DEX(如 PancakeSwap)添加流动性后, 42.5% 的代币供应量将保留在 DAO 中,由社区控制,可用于激励、流动性、上市等长期操作。但 DeXe 暂未披露社区能够通过什么途径和流程操作这一部分代币。

解析GraFun活动交互策略:获DWF与Floki支持,注册地址破200万

积分活动

基本要求

GraFun 的注册阶段需完成钱包链接和验证 Telegram 账号步骤,由于 Telegram 为强制步骤,所以是否能够分号取决于用户拥有多少 Telegram 账号

完成注册后,基础任务包括邀请新用户、订阅 YouTube、修改 Telegram 账户名称等,适合持有大量 Telegram 账号,但资金量有限的用户。

而最关键的积分获取来源为在钱包内持有 BNB:

BNB 持仓规则

注册完成后,在钱包内持有 0.05 枚以上的 BNB 即可获得 GRA(无需存入协议),积分每小时结算一次。注册后,BNB 在钱包内存放的时间越长,额外 GRA 激励将越来越高。官方披露的 BNB 和 GRA 对应关系如下

  • 0.05 BNB = 6.2 GRA/小时;

  • 0.1 BNB = 8.3 GRA/小时; 

  • 0.5 BNB = 15.9 GRA/小时; 

  • 1 BNB = 20.7 GRA/小时; 

  • 10 BNB = 42 GRA/小时;

显然,随着 BNB 持仓量的增加,GRA 的获得效率地增长快速放缓,因此多号效率明显更高但取决于用户是否能够批量注册/购买 Telegram 账号

此外,二者之间的函数关系 Odaily 拟合约为 f(x)= 19.58 ⋅ x^( 1/3),例如持仓 100 个 BNB 则每小时获得 89.5 GRA,计划进一步精算的读者可进行参考。

积分情况详解

Odaily 抽取了 10 万个在 9 月 21 日进行过交易的不重复钱包地址,利用官网 API 调取这 10 万个钱包是否拥有 GraFun 积分,得到共有 1612 个钱包有这一积分,将积分划分为“基本任务积分”和“BNB 持仓积分”两类,其中:

  • 基本积分达到 900 分的地址共有 890 个(占比 55.2% ),其次为 300 分共 203 个(占比 12.6% ),前三名分别为 127200 分、 32000 分、 24000 分。平均分为 1018 分。

  • 1612 个钱包中, 548 个没有 BNB 持仓,仅做了基本注册和社媒任务。1064 个地址存入了 BNB,截止 9 月 22 日 21: 00 平均持有 1539 分,分布情况如下图所示。假设要在 48 小时内达到这一积分,单号需要存入 4.39 枚 BNB((1539/48/19.58)^ 3),若能够分 5 个号操作,则仅需要 0.05 × 5 = 0.25 枚 BNB 即可。

解析GraFun活动交互策略:获DWF与Floki支持,注册地址破200万

  • 进一步地, 10 万个不重复钱包地址大约经历了 17500 个区块(7 小时), 1612 个地址平均积分为 2034 分,而这一活动已持续了 20 天,因此总积分预估为 20 × 24/7 × 1612 × 2034 = 2.24 亿,读者可根据这一总积分预测自己的份额占比

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