XRP 跌至 0.60 美元 但杯柄形态预示即将反弹

金色财经Published on 2024-09-23Last updated on 2024-09-23

原文来源:加密阿瑶

XRP 最近在 0.60 美元处遭遇拒绝,但 4 小时图上的杯柄形态表明可能上涨至 0.70 美元。

周末,XRP 短暂收复 0.60 美元的水平,这是 9 月份以来的首次。在这一波上涨中,它在周六创下了 0.6129 美元的一个月高点。

然而,该代币很快进入了修正阶段,从这些涨幅中回落。截至撰写本文时,XRP 徘徊在 0.59 美元左右,略低于0.60 美元的心理障碍。事实证明,这一阻力区是 XRP 的主要障碍。

XRP 突破杯柄形态

继最新进展之后,市场分析师 Steph 在 YouTube分析中指出,XRP 在周末反弹期间突破了 4 小时图上经典杯柄形态的颈线。图表数据显示,自 9 月 15 日以来,XRP 一直在努力突破这一水平。

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有趣的是,当前的价格走势表明该突破水平正在重新测试。如果 XRP 能够维持四小时收盘价在 0.59 美元至 0.60 美元区间上方,则可以确认看涨趋势的延续。然而,未能守住这一支撑位可能会导致进一步的下行走势。

Steph 认为,这一形态指向 0.69 美元至 0.70 美元的目标,可能比当前价格上涨 17.7%。这一价值将代表 XRP 的 6 个月高点。然而,分析师警告不要自满,因为短期内可能会出现波动性和流动性陷阱。

XRP 阻力位和流动性风险

根据 Steph 的说法,XRP 必须首先突破0.64 美元至 0.65 美元的区域,这与 0.786 斐波那契水平相吻合。该水平此前曾触发拒绝点,尤其是今年早些时候的 4 月和 8 月。

如果 XRP 成功突破该区域,下一个重要目标将是0.70 美元大关,完成杯柄形态的隐含突破。

然而,Steph 警告称,流动性风险可能会影响市场的走势。XRP 的清算热图显示,空头头寸大量积累,价值超过 5200 万美元的流动性处于 0.66 美元左右。如果触发这些空头头寸,随着流动性被追逐,价格可能会飙升。

摩根律师对 XRP 困境的看法

与此同时,法律专家比尔·摩根 (Bill Morgan) 讨论了 XRP 与 0.60 美元阻力位的持续斗争。他指出,XRP 未能维持近期突破表明可能跌破 20 日 EMA。

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摩根援引《投资》杂志的分析,解释称 0.60 美元的水平历来都是强劲阻力位,若不能持续突破该水平,则可能导致进一步盘整。

尽管长期 XRP 爱好者继续期待创下历史新高,但 Morgan 建议投资者应保持谨慎。据他介绍,除非 XRP 能够果断突破 0.60 美元并保持下去,否则任何即时的价格飙升都可能是短暂的。

此外,CryptoQuant数据显示,自 9 月 11 日以来,币安的 XRP 储备一直在增加。值得注意的是,在过去 12 天内,这一数字已从 29.41 亿飙升至 29.83 亿。不过,市场昨日略有下跌。

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942 Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.01Updated 2024.12.03

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