非农数据将出 Sol 有望飙升在即将到来的牛市中大放异彩

金色财经Published on 2024-09-06Last updated on 2024-09-06

  • Solana 的表现更像是以太坊的波动版本。

  • Pump.Fun 和机构影响了 SOL 的价格。

Solana [SOL]有望在即将到来的牛市中大放异彩，如果比特币 [BTC]上涨，其有可能超过其他山寨币。

Solana 被誉为最用户友好的加密货币之一，使其成为增长的有力竞争者。然而，尽管 SOL 潜力巨大，但它仍面临牛市支撑带的阻力。

技术分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 在X上指出，Solana 的行为与以太坊 [ETH]的行为相似，这表明如果当前趋势继续下去，SOL 可能会回落至之前的上升楔形模式。

这表明 Solana 的关键时刻即将到来。预计 10 月对 SOL 和更广泛的加密货币市场来说都是有利的月份，因为从历史上看，自加密货币诞生以来，这一直是一个强劲的时期。

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尽管有一些横向走势，但人们仍然倾向于在 SOL 中建立多头仓位，并且有可能获利，尽管这仍然是一项有风险的交易。

如果 SOL 长时间保持在其上升三角形的重新测试区域以下，则价格可能在出现显着上涨之前下跌。

Solana 的波动率指数

除了这些技术见解之外，Solana Volmex 隐含波动率指数 (SVIV) 的推出还增加了另一层分析。截至发稿时，衡量 SOL 14 天预期波动率的 SVIV 为 87。

这一高波动率指数表明市场预计价格将出现大幅波动，要么上涨，要么下跌。

虽然这种波动可以吸引希望利用这些走势获利的交易者，但它也增加了意外大幅亏损的风险。

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随着比特币价格走高，Solana 可能会从这些市场条件中受益，但建议谨慎行事。

链上数据分析

根据 Artemis 的数据，链上数据进一步使 Solana 的前景变得复杂。尽管 SOL 在每日活跃地址中继续占据主导地位，表明网络活动活跃，但机构活动似乎并不乐观。

根据 Lookonchain 的数据，一家机构今年售出了 695,000 SOL，价值约 9950 万美元。该机构每周平均售出 19,306 SOL，总销售额近 1 亿美元。

尽管进行了这些出售，该机构仍持有 188 万 SOL，价值约 2.5589 亿美元，这些 SOL 已被质押。这种抛售压力可能是 Solana 近期价格挣扎的原因之一。

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Solana 价格与 Pump.Fun 代币发行价格对比

此外，Pump.Fun 代币的推出对 SOL 的价格产生了显著影响。分析价格图表时，可以明显看出 SOL 的上涨势头在这些 memecoin 推出时停止了。

Pump.Fun 已出售其相当一部分收入，包括 264,373 SOL，平均价格为 157.5 美元，导致 Solana 的价格大幅下跌。

这引起了投资者的担忧，因为这些代币的抛售压力给 Solana 带来了沉重的压力。

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Solana 质押产品

不过，Solana 仍有希望，因为币安 [BNB]最近宣布推出其 Solana Staking 产品 BNSOL，计划于 2024 年 9 月下旬推出。此外， JitoSOL TVL首次超过 1300 万SOL 。

该产品将允许用户质押 SOL 代币、获得动态奖励并保持对其资产的控制，这可能会对 Solana 的未来价格产生积极影响。

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在这些新的质押机会和更广泛的市场复苏潜力的推动下，Solana 可能会出现复苏。

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