经济学家Alex Krüger表示，2020年3月的风格复苏可能正在重演——原因如下

币界网Published on 2024-08-08Last updated on 2024-08-08

币界网报道：

宏观经济学家Alex Krüger并不认为加密货币注定会陷入长期熊市。

在一个新话题中，Krüger告诉他在社交媒体平台X上的17.9万粉丝，在周末价格突然暴跌后，数字资产正面临三种可能的历史情景。

第一种情况发生在2020年3月，当时加密货币价格因冠状病毒而暴跌，但在两个月内恢复，引发了该行业历史上最大的牛市之一。

第二次是在2021年5月，比特币（BTC）在4月份创下历史新高后暴跌了30%以上。加密资产的价格继续下跌，直到7月下旬，该行业在11月扭转了走向新高的道路。

第三次发生在2022年5月，当时Terra生态系统内爆，加密资产价格连续六个月暴跌。

Krüger认为第三种情况是最不可能的，并预测加密货币将遵循第一种选择的快速复苏路径，尽管“预计不会出现2020-21年的疯狂表现”

他还指出，他不认为美国经济正走向衰退，这将进一步推动加密货币价格下跌。

“我们刚刚看到整个世界都经历了加密货币式的杠杆式抛售。就是这样。生活还在继续。除非未来出现衰退，这在目前是可能的，但不太可能。

在这种情况下，这只是第一个样本。这意味着，选择你的阵营：衰退或没有衰退。并采取相应行动。我属于不衰退阵营。将极度关注美国所有就业数据点。我们现在正处于一个“糟糕的经济数据对价格不利”的交易环境中。”

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