ETF资金大幅外流的利空已经结束?比特币有望连续第五个月上涨

金十Published on 2024-01-30Last updated on 2024-01-30

据加密货币投资公司CoinShares称,由于灰度比特币信托基金(GBTC)资金外流,最近加密货币价格曾出现大跌。这可能也是欧洲和加拿大数字资产产品资金外流的原因。所幸该基金资金流出速度放缓,且富达现货比特币ETF(FTTC)的资金流入进行了抵消。

CoinShares在1月28日的一份报告中解释道,GBTC总计出现50亿美元的资金流出,导致近期数字货币价格下跌,而且可能会引发其他地区的相关产品进一步出现资金流出。

CoinShares数据显示,1月22日至26日交易周期间,瑞士和德国的数字资产产品受到的打击最为严重,分别流出5980万美元和3170万美元。来自巴西的数字资产产品是上周唯一的主要资金流入,流入额为1030万美元。全月来看,加拿大数字资产产品本月流出量最大,达2.098亿美元,其次是德国和瑞典的产品,分别为1.245亿美元和3420万美元。

与此同时,CoinShares指出,美国现货比特币ETF交易的第二个完整周就出现了近5亿美元的资金外流。虽然9只“新”现货比特币ETF的流入量接近18亿美元,但这还不足以弥补GBTC转换为ETF后单周超过22亿美元的流出量。然而,CoinShares指出,该基金的流出量开始减少。最新的GBTC流出量较1月26日的2.55亿美元下降了近25%,较1月22日的单日流出峰值6.41亿美元下降了70%。摩根大通分析师指出,GBTC资金外流对比特币造成了价格下行压力,但补充称“应该基本上已经过去了”。

另外据报道,1月29日,富达现货比特币ETF的单日资金流入量达到2.08亿美元,首次超过GBTC除了推出当日以外的资金流出量。与此同时,根据彭博ETF分析师James Seyffart分享的数据,1月29日美国9只新现货比特币ETF的交易量总计达到9.941亿美元,几乎是GBTC交易量5.7亿美元的两倍。

在此背景下,比特币有望连续第五个月上涨,这将是该代币自疫情期间由宽松货币政策推动的反弹以来最长的连续上涨趋势。根据彭博社汇编的数据,连续五个月上涨将是自2020年10月至2021年3月的六个月连涨以来最长的一次。该代币在2021年11月创下近69,000美元的历史新高。

彭博社汇编的数据显示,迄今为止,10只现货比特币ETF总共吸引了8.17亿美元的净资金,从交易和流量指标来看,这是史上最成功的ETF。

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