最近的加密圈,套用一个经典国产黑色幽默电影名字《疯狂的铭文》就可以形容。这两周我们正在做2023年的各个链游项目的访谈和总结,令人哭笑不得的是不止一个老板和我抱怨没人干活了, 都在冲铭文,稍微给点压力吧,就有年轻员工提出要辞职专心打铭文去...我咧嘴苦笑,一样一样,W Labs的工作群已经被铭文话题占领,就连现在发布固定月薪+NFT空投的MOD招聘都响应者寥寥,这要是在几个月前小伙伴们都要打破脑袋抢的工作。链游也算是最近很火的赛道了,可是和铭文的魔性相比,真的是小巫见大巫了。然后投研文章也没人写了,我写这篇也是没办法了只能自己继续提笔写了凑数,哈哈哈。
当然我自己也在冲啊,牛市来了,就是先把自己套一点,然后再研究,这样可以治疗懒癌。这篇就说说个人的观点,纯属瞎喷,完全不做投资建议。
一,铭文有什么特别之处?
对于用户来说,铭文有三大特性:公平发射,全流通,以小博大到极致。对于项目方,铭文有一大特性:表面上无项目方,法律风险低。但是这些特性随着最近铭文的赚钱效应在web3用户中的极致转播,已经越来越弱了。
第一点,最让人津津乐道的公平发射只存在今年上半年的Ordi那一批。目前刚起的铭文团队应该都是有统一好时间和做好批量机器人的吧,呵呵,这是人性,没毛病。
第二点,全流通已经被挑战了,昨天出了一个铭文就是50%留着给defi和gamefi做质押的。
第三点,以小博大本来是想着用几百张就花几刀的Gas博个几千刀的回报,而现在的Gas环境就是打一张要20-30刀,打个100张花了3000刀结果被别人抢先mint完而你在索引之外,然后3000刀Gas白花了。
第四点,不管是提前安排好机器人,还是找OTC商人一起炒作,这真的还不算项目方吗?
二,这轮牛市铭文还会继续火吗?
一个字,会。如果经过上次牛市的NFT小图片,还有上上次牛市的ICO,做个热度对比的话,应该就有个感性上的判断,目前的铭文炒作还没有到极致疯狂的时候。另外一点很重要:铭文作为截止目前本次牛市出现的唯一一个新资产类别,后续可以讲的故事很多。最后就是所有的加密圈的老矿工们目标都很一致,就是Gas得继续高啊,他们得赚钱,所以这些WEB3的老钱们会很旗帜鲜明的站队的。
后续铭文项目怎么冲?各自都有思路,我提供一些,仅供瓜友们参考:
2.1找到可以进入web3应用类的创新铭文项目,可以在meme属性上加实际赋能的;
2.2 短期内不要乱冲了,Gas都能坑死你,除非你是部署人的亲戚知道后面要怎么拉。重点找一些后续有强烈上所希望的吧,哪怕在二级市场买(WGGDAO瓜田社区VIP频道有总结了一些);
3.3 关注一些上古的老铭文,估计有新庄进入,比如BRC20的OXBT和Deed,前两天都是涨了4-5倍。研究了下基本面,他们代表了两种类型,OXBT是之前的大热项目,16000持有者,共识高,底部吸筹时间长;Deed是小盘,小庄家不用花太多资金就能控。
三,最后总结下个人对于铭文未来的看法
以小博大的第一波暴富机会已经没有了,不要老想自己成为默默挖矿BTC一年的中本聪,也不要做梦再来一次ORDI的机会,市场可能不断还有类似的暴富神话,其实就是庄家释放吸引眼球的消息,和普通玩家没有半毛钱关系。
倍数低一些的第二波Alpha机会依然存在,比如上所就可以释放大量流动性。Ordi上一波上Gate交易所时,最早冲到29U,大户们还只能场外20U出货,而现在Binance和Okex现货随便出。所以关注强上所预期的铭文吧,你懂的。
最后就是找到第一个能带给铭文实际赋能的项目,不管是defi,gamefi,socialfy或者XXXXfi,能把铭文在经济模型或者商业模型上带入到应用类项目的。W Labs研究这个已经快两个月了,有些成果,也希望在这块有新鲜想法的朋友们多交流。任何在这方面能跑出来的铭文项目,也许就是下一个ORDI,SATS和RATS。
下一波铭文的Alpha机会在哪里?
PanewsPublished on 2023-12-19Last updated on 2023-12-19
Abstract
对当下铭文热潮的几点思考。
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DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. 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