加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

Odaily星球日报Published on 2023-11-10Last updated on 2023-11-10

Abstract

过去一周选中的46个币有90%的币在30日均线上方,市场维持在上升趋势中。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

贝莱德提交现货以太坊 ETF 申请,ETH 在 11.9 应声上涨 12.35% 

纳斯达克已向美国 SEC 提交贝莱德拟议的现货以太坊 ETF“iShares Ethereum Trust”申请,该 ETF 将以 Coinbase Custody Trust Company 作为托管人,使用 CME CF Ether-Dollar 参考利率。

此外,灰度、Ark Invest、ProShares 和 Valkyrie 等其他资产管理公司也已提交现货以太坊 ETF 申请。

随后 ETH 在 11.9 应声上涨 12.35% 

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

数据来源:https://www.coinglass.com/zh/LiquidationData

11.9 除 ETH 外多个加密货币包括 BTC 的价格冲高后急跌插针,多头爆仓激增至 1.987 亿美元,空头爆仓 1.5554 亿美元

比特币减半距离今天(2023.11.10)还有约 158 天

减半倒计时:https://www.nicehash.com/countdown/btc-halving-2024-05-10-12-00?_360safeparam=1289146171

市场技术与情绪环境分析

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

情绪分析组成

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

技术指标价格走势

过去一周 BTC 价格上涨 5.04% ,ETH 价格上涨 17.8% 。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图是 BTC 过去一周的价格图

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图是 ETH 过去一周的价格图

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

表格显示过去一个周的价格变化率价量分布图(支撑阻力)

价量分布图(支撑阻力)

过去一周价格 BTC 在向上突破随后有较大回调,ETH 在向上突破后持续有二次突破

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图是 BTC 过去一周的密集成交区分布图

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图是 ETH 过去一周的密集成交区分布图

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

成交量与未平仓量

过去一周 BTC 与 ETH 都在 11.9 交易量有明显增加;未平仓量持续上升。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图最上方 BTC 的价格走势,中间是成交量、最下方是未平仓量、浅蓝色是 1 天均值,橘色是 7 天均值。其中 K 线的颜色代表当前的状态,绿色是价格上升有成交量支持,红色是在平仓,黄色是在缓慢累积仓位,黑色是拥挤状态。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图最上方 ETH 的价格走势,中间是成交量、最下方是未平仓量、浅蓝色是 1 天均值,橘色是 7 天均值。其中 K 线的颜色代表当前的状态,绿色是价格上升有成交量支持,红色是在平仓,黄色是在缓慢累积仓位,黑色是拥挤状态。

历史波动率与隐含波动率

过去一周 BTC 与 ETH 历史波动率在 11.9 最高,隐含波动率 BTC 下降,而 ETH 上升。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

黄色线为历史波动率,蓝色线为隐含波动率,红点是其 7 日平均

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

事件驱动

美东时间 11 月 3 日周五晚,非农数据公布值为 150 K,小于预测的 180 K,公布后一天价格缓慢上升,关注下周 11.14 的 CPI 数据公布。

情緒指標

动量情绪

过去一周比特币/黄金/纳指/恒指/A 50 中,比特币与纳指最强势,而表现最差的为黄金。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图为不同资产过去一周的走势

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

放贷利率_借贷情绪

过去一周 USD 放贷年化收益平均为 16.7% ,利率稳定。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

黄色线为 USD 利率的最高价,蓝色线为最高价的 75% ,红色线为最高价的 75% 的 7 天平均值

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

表格显示 USD 利率过去不同持有天数的平均收益

资金费率_合约杠杆情绪

过去一周 BTC 资费平均年化收益为 11.4% 

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

蓝色线为币安上 BTC 的资金费率,红色线为其 7 日平均

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

表格显示 BTC 的资费过去不同持有天数的平均收益

市场宽度_整体情绪

过去一周选中的 46 个币有 90% 的币在 30 日均线上方,市场维持在上升趋势中。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图为['btc', 'eth', 'bnb', 'ltc', 'bch', 'doge', 'matic', 'sol','link','uni', 'enj','gala', 'mana', 'axs', 'dydx', 'fet' ,'gmx', 'xlm', 'xrp', 'ada', 'trx', 'sol', 'dot', 'avax', 'shib', 'atom', 'xmr', 'etc', 'ldo', 'hbar', 'apt', 'vet', 'qnt', 'vet','crv', 'aave', 'algo', 'ftm', 'ape', 'neo', 'sand', 'eos', 'xtz', 'rndr', 'theta', 'mkr']在 30 日均线上方的占比

市场相关性_一致性情绪

过去一周选中的 46 个币中相关性上升至 0.8 左右,不同品种间产生一致的行情。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

上图蓝色先为比特币价格,绿色线为['btc', 'eth', 'bnb', 'ltc', 'bch', 'doge', 'matic', 'sol','link','uni', 'enj','gala', 'mana', 'axs', 'dydx', 'fet' ,'gmx', 'xlm', 'xrp', 'ada', 'trx', 'sol', 'dot', 'avax', 'shib', 'atom', 'xmr', 'etc', 'ldo', 'hbar', 'apt', 'vet', 'qnt', 'vet','crv', 'aave', 'algo', 'ftm', 'ape', 'neo', 'sand', 'eos', 'xtz', 'rndr', 'theta', 'mkr']整体的相关性

市场热点_社交媒体情绪

过去一周热度最高分别的是 LDO/ETH。

加密市场情绪研究报告(11.3–11.10):贝莱德提交现货以太坊ETF申请,ETH应声上涨12.35%

数据来源: https://lunarcrush.com/categories/cryptocurrencies

总结

交易情绪持续高涨,ETH 的 ETF 申请使其价格强势拉升,与其相关的 LDO 也成为舆论热点,本周 ETH 的隐含波动率上升;价格走势方面,BTC 涨到最高 37972 后急跌插针多头爆仓金额激增,而 ETH 在 ETF 的消息后大涨;事件方面,非农数据不及预期,关注 11.14 号的 CPI 数据公布。

Twitter: @DerivativesCN

Website: https://dcbot.ai/

Medium:https://medium.com/@DerivativesCN

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