谁在看好 Azuki?八大巨鲸动向分析

Foresight NewsPublished on 2023-06-29Last updated on 2023-06-29

Abstract

有人支付 5.3 万美元 Gas 费用参与 Elementals 发售,有人花费 150 万美元购入 Elementals,也有人频繁二级市场交易。

今日 Azuki Elementals 刷屏并引发社区争议,导致 Elementals 跌破发行价,Azuki 地板价一度跌破 9 ETH。
 关于 Azuki Elementals 的发售复盘和社区征讨笔者将不再赘述。本篇笔者将从巨鲸数据来窥探 NFT 领域中最能影响市场的参与者对 Azuki Elementals 的态度。
 根据 OpenSea 数据,截止撰稿时,Azuki Elementals(已开图)总量为 9456 枚,其中约 60% 的持有者持有 1 枚 Elementals NFT,约 38% 的持有者持有 2-10 枚,约 2.6% 的持有者持有 10 枚以上。

Azuki


Azuki Elementals 持有者分布情况,来源:OpenSea
 Azuki Elemental Beans(未开图)系列中,62% 的地址持有 1 枚,3.2% 的地址持有 10 枚以上。相比之下,Meebits 中 3.2% 的地址也持有 10 枚以上,Azuki 中 1.7% 的地址持有 10 枚以上,BAYC、Milady Maker、Doodles 中持有 10 枚以上的地址比例分别为 0.9%、3.4% 和 0.8%。由此可见,Elemental Beans 的巨鲸集中度仍相对较高。 

Azuki


Azuki Elemental Beans 分布情况,来源:OpenSea
 以下为笔者挑选的八大巨鲸今日的 Elementals 参与情况。这些巨鲸中,参与发售的地址尚未开始大规模抛售 Elementals,大多持观望或持续看好态度,也有一些未参与发售但在二级市场频繁交易的地址,这些地址要么不断套利,要么囤入自己看好具有某些属性的 NFT。当然,这些巨鲸释放的信号比较片面,也有很大可能会与市场走向相反。
Andrew Kang:Azuki Elementals 第一巨鲸(580 枚)
 根据 OpenSea 数据,Azuki Elementals 第一大持有者为 beanwhale.eth,持有 580 枚 Azuki Elementals NFT,占当前 Azuki Elementals 流通总量的 6.76%。该地址被 Nansen 标记为 Mechanism Capital 联合创始人 Andrew Kang。
Andrew Kang 一直是 Azuki 的坚定看好者,曾于前几日表示, Azuki 当前是前 3 大 NFT 系列,专注于时尚、技术创新(ERC721A、实体—NFT PBT)等,有望成为第一大系列。
那 beanwhale.eth 的 Azuki Elementals 从何而来?该地址在 4 天前(6 月 24 日 15:03)因持有 Azuki 获得了 290 枚未开图 Elemental Beans NFT 空投,并于今日凌晨 00:03 在一笔交易中用 580 枚 ETH 铸造了 290 枚 Elemental Beans NFT,平均铸造成本为 2 ETH。
目前 beanwhale.eth 已全部开图 Elementals。截止目前暂未看到其在二级市场进行过 Elementals 交易。
根据 NFTGo 数据,按 NFT 持有数量计算,Andrew Kang 的 NFT 投资组合中,Azuki 三大系列(Azuki Elementals、BEANZ 和 Azuki)的持有占比接近 75%,其中持有 299 枚 Azuki 和 436 枚 BEANZ Official。

Azuki


beanwhale.eth NFT 持仓分布情况,来源:NFTGo
0x1E193 地址:Elemental Beans 第一大巨鲸
蓝筹巨鲸 0x1E1936 地址当前持有 459 枚 Elemental Beans 和 26 枚 Azuki Elementals,暂列 Elemental Beans 第一大巨鲸。
6 月 24 日 15:02,0x1E1936 地址在一笔交易中获得 101 枚 Elemental Beans 空投,随后从 grails.grail.eth 和 grail.eth 等地址开始接收到多枚 Azuki 和 BEANZ 来参与预售,然后在今日凌晨 00:07 以 354 枚 ETH 铸造 177 枚 Elemental Beans,00:10 以 148 ETH 铸造 74 枚。
随后该地址抛售 14 枚 Azuki 获得 132 ETH,再于凌晨 04:44 再次铸造 62 枚 Elemental Beans(奇怪的是该笔交易方式为「Claim」,非「Airdrop」,并且没有耗费 ETH,可能为空投认领),之后于 05:28 在 Blur 上扫货 24 枚 Elemental Beans,均价 1.94 ETH。
该地址第一笔交易发生大约在 3 个月之前。当前仅持有 Azuki 生态 NFT 系列,包括 141 枚 Azuki 和 78 枚 BEANZ Official。

Azuki


来源:NFTGo
luggis.eth:最大预售购买者
根据 OpenSea 数据,截止撰稿时,luggis.eth 持有 126 枚 Azuki Elementals(排名第三)和 295 枚 Elemental Beans(排名第四)。
luggis.eth 是最大的 Azuki Elementals 预售购买者,共耗费 150 万美元购入 Elementals,其中,在凌晨 00:04 以 414 ETH 铸造 207 枚 Elemental Beans,随后于 00:10 以 400 ETH 铸造 200 枚 Elemental Beans。
以下是 NFTGo 汇总的 luggis.eth 的 NFT 投资组合。

Azuki


来源:NFTGo
除此之外,luggis.eth 子域名 vault.luggis.eth 目前还持有 207 枚 Azuki、254 枚 BENZ Official、 141 枚 Elemental Beans。
christian2022.eth:愿出价 4000 万美元收购 Azuki
接下来要观察的是大户 christian2022.eth 地址,该地址属于 NextGen Digital Venture 合伙人 Christian,目前暂列 Azuki Elementals Beans 第二大巨鲸(356 枚),也是第二大 Elementals 预售购买方。
根据 NFTGo 数据,当前其还持有 703 枚 BEANZ Official、39 枚 Azuki、以及 54 枚 Azuki Elementals 等。christian2022.eth 今日半开玩笑称,愿出价 4000 万美元收购 Azuki。推荐阅读《专访打算收购 Azuki 的 NFT 巨鲸:我加仓了,NFT 不会亡

Azuki


来源:NFTGo
christian2022.eth 于今日凌晨 00:02 以 78 ETH 在预售中铸造 39 枚 Azuki Elementals Beans,随后 00:10 以 664 ETH 铸造 332 枚 Azuki Elementals Beans,之后在 09:04 Claim 铸造 39 枚 Azuki Elementals Beans。
suicide.eth:参与预售时支付高达 5.3 万美元交易费用
suicide.eth 是第四大 Elementals 预售参与者,用 272 ETH 铸造了 136 枚 Azuki Elementals Beans,值得注意的是,其还支付了高达 5.3 万美元(约 28.6 ETH)的交易费用。
suicide.eth 在今日凌晨抛售 7 枚 Elementals Beans,随后将 104 枚 Elementals Beans 转至另外两个地址。截止撰稿时 suicide.eth 持有 16 枚 Elementals Beans。

Azuki


来源:Etherscan
黄立成:频繁操作 Azuki 系列,以 36 ETH 购入青蛙属性 Elemental #19481
黄立成(machibigbrother.eth)未参与 Elemental 预售,不过在今日频繁操作 Azuki 系列 NFT,截止撰稿时持有 344 枚 Azuki Elemental Beans(第三大巨鲸)。
值得注意的是,黄立成在今日以 36 ETH 购入带有青蛙属性的 Elemental #19481,创该 NFT 系列当前最高成交价。

Azuki


dingaling.eth:以 244 ETH 铸造 122 枚 Elemental Beans NFT
早期 BAYC 参与者 dingaling.eth 也是 Azuki 大户,当前持有 122 枚 Azuki、167 枚 Azuki Elementals 和 63 枚 Elemental Beans。dingaling.eth 在凌晨 00:09 以 244 ETH 铸造 122 枚 Elemental Beans NFT。
@pimpcapital:第九大 Azuki Elementals 巨鲸
蓝筹巨鲸 PimpCapital(0x66666...66666)当前持有 50 枚 Azuki Elementals(第九大巨鲸)。
值得一提的是,TeamAzuki 团队当前还持有 107 枚 Elemental Beans NFT,位列排行榜第十。

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