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BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestCheck In to Win a 20g Gold Bar Bitcoin Price Flashes Warning as Nearly Half of Supply Sits at a Loss Close to 9 million BTC – roughly 45–

Bitcoin Price Flashes Warning as Nearly Half of Supply Sits at a Loss

Close to 9 million BTC – roughly 45–46% of the circulating supply – are currently held at a loss, a threshold that has historically preceded either violent capitulation or the opening of a late-cycle accumulation window.

The last time this metric touched comparable levels was January 2023, in the wreckage of the FTX collapse, when extended consolidation followed rather than a swift reversal.

Whether the current setup resolves the same way or breaks differently is the question every trader holding a BTC position needs to answer right now.

Key Takeaways:

Metric Reading: ~9 million BTC (45–46% of supply) are underwater, with short-term holders carrying $113.9 billion in unrealized losses.

Historical Context: Similar readings appeared in January 2023 (post-FTX), mid-2022, and mid-2018 – each preceded further drawdowns of 25% or more before stabilization.

Current Price: Bitcoin is trading near $65,200–$66,689, approximately 47% below its October 2025 all-time high above $126,000.

Key Levels: $63,000 is the immediate floor that cannot break; $69,000 is the realized price of 1-month holders and the first meaningful resistance.

What to Watch: ETF weekly flow totals, whale wallet activity, and whether the Bitcoin Impact Index (currently 57.4) accelerates deeper into its “high impact” zone.



Bitcoin Price Flashes Warning as Nearly Half of Su

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Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeHTX Community Spring Creation ContestPost To Earn BonusAave debuted its v4 upgrade on Ethereum after two years of development, introducing a system tha

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

Aave debuted its v4 upgrade on Ethereum after two years of development, introducing a system that separates lending markets while sharing liquidity, aiming to expand DeFi into real-world assets and institutional use cases.
The roll-out comes amid governance tensions within the Aave ecosystem over decentralization and revenue distribution, even as the protocol pushes forward with technical upgrades and broader ambitions beyond crypto-native lending.

Aave, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms, debuted its long-awaited v4 upgrade on Ethereum, aiming to push DeFi beyond crypto trading and into broader financial markets.

The upgrade has been in development for about two years and is designed to make it easier to use Aave for a wider range of lending and borrowing activities, including those tied to real-world assets.


Aave rolls out v4 on Ethereum, aiming to expand De

Kingdom of Bhutan signals dumping more Bitcoin The Royal Government of Bhutan has transferred another batch of Bitcoin ($BTC), signaling possible selling as the asset continues to witness capital outf

Kingdom of Bhutan signals dumping more Bitcoin

The Royal Government of Bhutan has transferred another batch of Bitcoin ($BTC), signaling possible selling as the asset continues to witness capital outflows.

On-chain analytics show the move involved roughly 375 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $25.19 million at the time of the transfer. The amount was moved to an intermediary wallet previously linked to outflows toward Galaxy Digital, according to on-chain data retrieved from Arkham on March 31.

Bhutan Kingdom Bitcoin transactions. Source: Arkham

This latest activity adds to a wave of large transfers throughout March. Earlier, the government moved 973 Bitcoin worth about $72 million over two days, followed by 519.7 Bitcoin valued at $36.75 million to external wallets, including those linked to trading firms.

Another 123.7 Bitcoin transfer worth $8.5 million on March 27 underscores the accelerated pace.

Overall, these transactions have pushed total 2026 outflows above $152 million, with net sales estimated at around $120 million after accounting for some inflows.

Bhutan Bitcoin holdings

As of press time, the kingdom's Bitcoin holdings stood at approximately $714.08 million, equivalent to 10,769 $BTC, representing about 0.051% of the total supply of Bitcoin.

The valuation reflects a 25% decline over the past three months, highlighting the impact of recent market movements on the kingdom's digital asset reserves.

Bhutan began mining Bitcoin in 2019 using surplus hydropower, turning excess clean energy into a strategic

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Kingdom of Bhutan signals dumping more Bitcoin Th

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeHTX Community Spring Creation ContestPost To Earn BonusThat identity still faces tests. Bitcoin has to show that scarcity alone can support large and d

That identity still faces tests. Bitcoin has to show that scarcity alone can support large and durable value through changing macro regimes. It has to show that its correlations with risk assets can loosen enough over time to sustain reserve-like demand. It has to absorb the fact that governments increasingly welcome blockchain-based dollars while offering far less enthusiasm for Bitcoin-based payments.

Those are real constraints. They also sharpen the core analytical question. The issue is no longer whether Washington embraces crypto in the abstract. The issue is which part of crypto Washington wants to scale.

That identity still faces tests. Bitcoin has to sh

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BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge Google Drops Quantum Bombshell - Bitcoin, Ethereum Easier to Break than Previously Thou

Google Drops Quantum Bombshell - Bitcoin, Ethereum Easier to Break than Previously Thought

Amid renewed focus on the Quantum Computing (QC) threat for crypto encryption algorithms, Google has another update: major digital currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are even more vulnerable to Quantum attacks than previously thought. Both networks use Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC) based on the Elliptic Curve Discrete Logarithm Problem (ECDLP) for security.

According to a blog post by Google Research titled "Safeguarding cryptocurrency by disclosing quantum vulnerabilities responsibly", the tech giant predicts that it will require much less QC resources to beat the elliptic cryptographic standards adopted by both Bitcoin and Ethereum. Based on the latest estimate, fewer than 500,000 qubits will be required to compromise large sections of these networks.

Google Drops Quantum Bombshell - Bitcoin, Ethereum

BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge Bitfarms targets zero bitcoin on the balance sheet as it pivots to AI The company is ac

Bitfarms targets zero bitcoin on the balance sheet as it pivots to AI

The company is actively selling bitcoin and redeploying capital into AI-focused data centers as part of a broader transformation away from mining.

After selling some of its bitcoin holdings in 2025, Bitfarms (BITF) reportedly still holds 1,827 coins.

On its fourth-quarter earnings call, management indicated its intention to eventually sell off all of its BTC holdings.

The company is pivoting away from bitcoin mining towards a 2.2 GW AI and HPC data center pipeline, alongside a U.S. re-domiciliation and rebrand to Keel Infrastructure.

Bitcoin miner Bitfarms (BITF) continued its exit from the bitcoin business, confirming it has already begun selling portions of its holdings, with plans to continue doing so as it pivots toward AI infrastructure.

The company generated $28.2 million in realized gains from bitcoin sales in 2025, signaling active disposals during the year. While the company has not disclosed the exact number of coins sold, management made clear that further sales are planned. According to BitcoinTreasuries.net, Bitfarms currently holds 1,827 BTC.
In time, we will have no bitcoin,” said CEO Ben Gagnon on the company's fourth-quarter earnings call Tuesday. He added that Bitfarms will sell bitcoin “opportunistically into strength” and is continuing to run mining operations to “maximize free cash flow before selling the miners.” The approach points to a gradual wind-down rather than an immediate liquidation.

Bitfarms targets zero bitcoin on the balance sheet

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EVERY BITCOIN DEATH CROSS WAS THE BEST BUY SIGNAL IN HINDSIGHT. 2015: -63%. Then 10,000%. 2018: -58%. Then 2,000%. 2022: -41%. Then 650%. Fourth one forming now. $77K Ichimoku is the line. For bears: 

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BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestCheck in continuously for 7 days Crypto News Today: Pepeto Toward Launch While Dogecoin Price Prediction Waits For Elon Musk To Push DOGE

Crypto News Today: Pepeto Toward Launch While Dogecoin Price Prediction Waits For Elon Musk To Push DOGE Past $10



Final exchange testing is now live for the Ethereum based crypto Pepeto according to the latest crypto news, and the presale just crossed $8.5 million moving faster than any previous round this project has seen. The on-chain movement building around Pepeto shows the same early wallet patterns that were visible around Dogecoin well before small holders turned into millionaires.

This article examines what the Dogecoin price prediction numbers actually reveal, and why the crypto news trail keeps leading back to the Ethereum based new crypto Pepeto as the strongest entry of 2026.



Crypto News Today: Pepeto Toward Launch While Doge

BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestJoin HTX Square to Define Web4Chainalysis adds 'natural language' AI agents to its blockchain investigation platform Leading blockchain a

Chainalysis adds 'natural language' AI agents to its blockchain investigation platform


Leading blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis is adding artificial intelligence agents to its platform, lowering the technical know-how needed for launching plain-language investigations into crypto financial relationships.

"This is a really important moment for reducing the barrier to entry to blockchain intelligence," Chainalysis co-founder and CEO Jonathan Levin told CoinDesk in an interview. Not only law enforcement officers, but also more people from traditional finance increasingly need to understand the movement of digital assets over blockchain transactions.

"We're at this moment where you need to be able to access that intelligence without all of the history of working in crypto for a long time," Levin said. The new tool to assemble custom AI agents will be embedded in his company's platform and allow non-technical requests to build tailored investigations backed by the depth and breadth of approach needed for serious investigation, including audit trails and standards of evidence.

The agents, said to be rolling out over the summer, can help users identify what analysis they'll need and which transactions may be relevant, Levin said, and the work will be informed by some 10 million investigations conducted within the Chainalysis Reactor software. This is not just a chatbot, he emphasized.

The Chainalysis announcement comes quickly on the heels of competitor TRM Labs' similar announcement that its users now have agentic support, suggesting that a new AI era is starting for blockchain analytics. The criminal operations they analyze have already begun using AI themselves.

Chainalysis is the top analytics partner for law enforcement agencies that increasingly need to figure out how criminals are moving assets across blockchains and across borders.

"People can actually bu

Chainalysis adds 'natural language' AI agents to i

BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestCheck in continuously for 7 daysEditor's Note: While the market continues to debate whether a recession is imminent, this article shifts 

Editor's Note: While the market continues to debate whether a recession is imminent, this article shifts its focus to the underlying constraints. Currently, the interplay between energy shocks, geopolitics, and monetary policy is reshaping a more complex macroeconomic environment. In this environment, central banks no longer possess clear reaction functions; traditional interest rate hikes or cuts are simultaneously ineffective, and policy space is effectively locked up.

The article redefines a recession from an "economic outcome" to a "strategic state." It not only compresses growth and employment but also weakens a country's negotiating power, capital attractiveness, and external credibility, thereby losing initiative in global power struggles. Therefore, governments are replacing monetary tools with fiscal, diplomatic, and even geopolitical measures, essentially buying time for declining growth and avoiding being forced to negotiate during a recession.

Within this framework, the core of the market is no longer the interest rate path itself, but rather "who can escape the constraints and who remains trapped." This difference is first reflected in the foreign exchange and interest rate markets and further transmits to asset prices and capital flows. When valuations continue to rise despite slowing growth, it may not be due to improved fundamentals, but rather to policy expectations that a recession will not be allowed.  When energy, capital, and power intertwine again, macroeconomic issues are no longer merely economic problems, but a systemic game that transcends policy boundaries.

The following is the original text:

This report is not making predictions, but rather attempting to reconstruct a possible structure: if the current energy shock continues to spill over and evolves into a global recession, what structure will this process present?

This recession is 

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