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XRP's RSI divergenceBitcoin's comeback is shallow for now
 
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Dogecoin (DOGE) Uptrend Attempt Is Fuelless, XRP Paints Severe RSI Divergence, Bitcoin (BTC) Recover

World Cup Predictions: 100,000 USDT DailyBTC Prophet: 20-Day 380 Million HTX ChallengeTradFi Trading Strategies Sharing ChallengeBitcoin may not be done capitulating – Why a $50K bottom is still in pl

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Bitcoin may not be done capitulating – Why a $50K bottom is still in play

Conviction in a risk-off market is often the hallmark of long-term strength.

Bitcoin’s [$BTC] current setup reflects that conviction. Technically, $BTC has posted three straight quarterly losses, with an average decline of around 20% each quarter. It’s the first three-quarter losing streak since the 2022 bear market, leaving more than 50% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply underwater and putting long-term holders (LTHs) firmly in focus.

The logic is simple: LTHs now control 78% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply. In other words, a large share of the underwater supply is held by investors who have held $BTC for more than five months, covering the rally to its $126,000 all-time high and the subsequent correction to around $60,000. That makes their conviction a key factor in shaping Bitcoin’s Q3-Q4 outlook.

￼Source: CryptoQuant

Notably, what’s standing out is that long-term holders aren’t selling into the weakness.

Instead, they’re absorbing it. Despite the correction, LTH supply reached a record high in June, reinforcing the view that these investors continue to accumulate rather than exit. Historically, Bitcoin has tended to bottom when long-term holders begin to capitulate. So far, this cycle is unfolding differently.

That said, long-term holders remain highly sensitive to macroeconomic developments, as they tend to price in the broader economic outlook when positioning their portfolios. From that perspective, Bitcoin’s capitulation phase may not be over yet.

Bitcoin may not be done capitulating – Why a $50K

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