Coinbase to acquire The Clearing Company in prediction markets push

cointelegraphPublished on 2025-12-22Last updated on 2025-12-22

Abstract

Coinbase has agreed to acquire The Clearing Company, an on-chain prediction markets startup, as part of its strategy to become an "Everything Exchange." The acquisition, expected to close in January, will expand Coinbase’s offerings beyond digital assets to include prediction markets spanning politics, sports, and culture. The Clearing Company, founded earlier this year and backed by Coinbase Ventures, recently applied to become a Derivatives Clearing Organization with the CFTC. Coinbase views prediction markets as a major growth opportunity, citing regulatory developments and potential tax advantages over traditional gambling. The move aligns with broader industry interest in event-based markets, with players like Polymarket and Kalshi also active in the space.

Coinbase has agreed to acquire The Clearing Company, an on-chain prediction markets startup that spans digital assets, politics, sports, and culture, as it expands its push to become an “Everything Exchange” offering a broad range of investment products.

In an announcement shared with Cointelegraph, Coinbase said it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire The Clearing Company, with the transaction expected to close in January. Financial terms of the deal were not disclosed.

The acquisition marks a rapid turnaround for The Clearing Company, which was founded earlier this year and counted Coinbase Ventures among its investors in a $15 million funding round alongside Union Square Ventures, Haun Ventures and several other venture firms and angel investors.

The Clearing Company is an on-chain prediction markets platform built by veterans of the cryptocurrency, prediction markets, and cloud infrastructure sectors. It was founded by Toni Gemayel, who previously worked with prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi. Its broader team brings experience from companies including Polymarket, 0x, Dune and Coinbase.

Coinbase unveiled the acquisition less than a week after announcing its entry into prediction markets as part of its broader “Everything Exchange” strategy in partnership with Kalshi.

At the same time, Coinbase stated it will begin offering stock trading, further broadening its product lineup beyond digital assets.

Taken together, the acquisition highlights how event-based markets are moving closer to the regulated financial mainstream, with cryptocurrency infrastructure increasingly serving as the backbone for emerging market types.

“The Everything Exchange is a unified platform to trade crypto, equities, and everything else people want to trade,” Max Branzburg, Coinbase’s vice president of product management, told Cointelegraph. “Prediction markets are an important part of that platform.”

A Coinbase spokesperson added that markets tied to real-world outcomes represent “a natural extension of modern financial infrastructure.”

Source: Haun Ventures

This momentum is unfolding alongside a shifting regulatory landscape. Last month, The Clearing Company applied with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission to become a Derivatives Clearing Organization, in a step that could further integrate prediction markets into established financial frameworks.

Related: Coinbase borrows Kalshi’s playbook, sues three states over prediction markets

Why Coinbase is betting on prediction markets

Coinbase’s push into prediction markets comes as the company increasingly views the sector as a major growth opportunity rather than a niche product.

In its latest market outlook report, which was covered by Cointelegraph, Coinbase identified prediction markets as one of the most important categories to watch through 2026, citing rising user engagement, regulatory clarity, and expanding real-world use cases.

In the report, Coinbase pointed to a tax provision in President Donald Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill,” which would limit the deductibility of gambling losses against winnings to 90%, down from the current 100%.

While the change may appear modest, Coinbase warned it could result in taxpayers being taxed on so-called “phantom income,” even in cases where net winnings are minimal or losses are incurred.

In this environment, Coinbase argued that prediction markets, which rely on contracts structurally similar to derivatives, could emerge as a more tax-efficient alternative to traditional sportsbooks and casinos, particularly if they are treated differently under the tax code.

Prediction market activity has surged since the 2024 US presidential election. Source: Coinbase

While prediction markets remain a relatively nascent industry, the space is already dominated by a handful of major players. Chief among them is Polymarket, a decentralized platform built on the Polygon network that allows users to trade on political, economic, and cultural outcomes using blockchain-based contracts.

Kalshi has also emerged as a leading centralized player, operating under US regulatory oversight. Meanwhile, publicly traded sports betting company DraftKings has entered the prediction markets space, with plans to eventually offer crypto-linked contracts.

DraftKings would join a growing list of companies signaling interest in the sector, including Bitnomial Clearinghouse, a derivatives clearing organization, and crypto exchange Gemini.

Related: Polymarket shows stronger retention than most DeFi, wallets and exchanges

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat is the main reason for Coinbase's acquisition of The Clearing Company?

ACoinbase is acquiring The Clearing Company to expand its push into prediction markets as part of its broader strategy to become an 'Everything Exchange' offering a wide range of investment products.

QWhen is the acquisition of The Clearing Company by Coinbase expected to be finalized?

AThe transaction is expected to close in January, though the specific financial terms of the deal were not disclosed.

QWhat regulatory step did The Clearing Company take recently to integrate prediction markets into established financial frameworks?

AThe Clearing Company applied with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to become a Derivatives Clearing Organization.

QAccording to Coinbase, why could prediction markets emerge as a more tax-efficient alternative to traditional sports betting?

ACoinbase argues that prediction markets, which use contracts similar to derivatives, could be more tax-efficient if treated differently under the tax code, especially in light of a proposed provision that would tax 'phantom income' from gambling even with minimal net winnings or losses.

QName two major existing players in the prediction markets space mentioned in the article.

ATwo major players mentioned are Polymarket, a decentralized platform on Polygon, and Kalshi, a centralized platform operating under US regulatory oversight.

Related Reads

GPT-5.6 Countdown: Abandon the Illusion of a Single API, Computational Iteration Can't Outpace a Single Page of Compliance

In mid-June, three seemingly independent industry events—the compliance-driven throttling of Fable 5, the open-sourcing of GLM-5.2, and the leaked release timeline for GPT-5.6—are pushing the global AI industry toward a watershed moment. These shifts signal a fundamental restructuring of the industry's underlying logic. First, **"usability" has substantially overtaken "advanced capabilities"** as the primary weight, pushing the global large language model (LLM) supply chain into a "dual-track" phase of controlled closed-source and local open-source coexistence. Second, **the competitive moats of closed-source giants are shifting**. Their technical focus is moving from "language intelligence" toward "spatial intelligence (world models)"—a domain heavily reliant on computing power. Third, faced with常态化 transnational compliance risks, **a "model-agnostic" decoupled design has become a survival necessity for application-layer developers to maintain business continuity.** The article details how Anthropic's Fable 5, despite its advanced engineering feats, was restricted for non-U.S. citizens within 72 hours of launch, highlighting how geopolitical compliance can instantly limit even the most advanced models. In response, the open-source camp, exemplified by Zhipu AI's MIT-licensed GLM-5.2, is gaining market share by offering stable performance improvements and significant cost advantages (up to 70% savings for enterprises), while achieving full adaptation with domestic semiconductor platforms. Meanwhile, closed-source leaders like OpenAI are pivoting. The anticipated GPT-5.6 reportedly shifts focus from language to spatial intelligence and world models, aiming to rebuild a generational gap in areas like 3D understanding, simulation, and industrial design that demand immense compute. The core conclusion is that the LLM supply chain's logic has changed. Enterprises must now evaluate infrastructure based on a composite of technical performance and policy compliance. For developers, complete reliance on a single closed-source API poses unacceptable risk. Implementing a truly model-agnostic architecture—enabling swift switches to compliant, locally deployable open-source alternatives—is no longer just good practice but a fundamental baseline for business continuity.

marsbit2h ago

GPT-5.6 Countdown: Abandon the Illusion of a Single API, Computational Iteration Can't Outpace a Single Page of Compliance

marsbit2h ago

Is the 'Token Subsidy War' Among AI Giants Almost Over?

The article discusses the ongoing "token subsidy war" among AI giants like OpenAI and Anthropic, questioning whether it's nearing its end. It reveals that current AI subscription prices are heavily subsidized, with some plans offering tokens at up to 70 times the actual cost to attract and retain heavy users, especially developers and enterprises. This strategy mirrors past internet-era subsidy battles, but with a key difference: AI tokens lack "lock-in" effects. Unlike ride-hailing or food delivery apps, users can easily switch between AI providers as APIs become standardized, making it difficult for companies to raise prices post-subsidy. The piece highlights a structural asymmetry in the competition. Giants like Google, with massive advertising revenue, can afford to subsidize tokens indefinitely, akin to using "tokens as a weapon." In contrast, venture-backed companies like OpenAI and Anthropic face pressure to become profitable, especially as they approach IPO. The article cites Google Ventures founder Bill Maris, who suggests Google could slash token prices by 80%, putting immense pressure on competitors. Two potential endgames are presented: the "internet service" model (subsidize, monopolize, then raise prices) and the "utility" model (tokens become a standardized, low-margin commodity like electricity). Given the low switching costs, the latter seems more likely. The competition may not have a single winner but could instead accelerate AI's evolution into a foundational, infrastructure-level technology, akin to a public utility. For now, users continue to benefit from heavily subsidized token costs.

marsbit2h ago

Is the 'Token Subsidy War' Among AI Giants Almost Over?

marsbit2h ago

Beyond the Stadium: The Profitable Games Surrounding the World Cup

"Beyond the Pitch: The Profit Game Around the World Cup" The FIFA World Cup transcends being a sporting spectacle, evolving into a massive global arena for speculation and profit-seeking. The 2026 tournament has amplified this dynamic, creating a multi-layered ecosystem of financial opportunism alongside the football. **Prediction markets** have surged into the mainstream. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi saw trading volumes for World Cup contracts soar, attracting new users with their financial trading model and high-profile, chain-based wealth stories that overshadow traditional sports betting in terms of growth and narrative. However, **traditional sportsbooks** remain the dominant force, leveraging established user habits, legal markets, and comprehensive product offerings to handle the vast majority of speculative wagers, with projections suggesting record-breaking betting volumes. Capital markets also react. **"Concept stocks"** in countries like South Korea and Japan experience volatile price swings based on team performance and anticipated fan spending on items like chicken, beer, and viewing parties, effectively becoming a stock market reflecting fan sentiment. The **ticket resale market** has become a sophisticated arena for arbitrage. Prices fluctuate wildly based on team draws and star power, with sellers sometimes listing tickets they don't yet own in a practice akin to short-selling, while FIFA's own "Right to Buy" tokens add another layer of speculative trading. **Collectibles and merchandise** offer another avenue. Panini sticker albums, with their inherent scarcity and nostalgic value, can become high-value collectibles. Limited-edition or locally themed jerseys command significant premiums on secondary markets, and even counterfeit vendors profit from fans' desire for affordable match-day identity. The **cryptocurrency** space has seen a frenzy of speculative, unauthorized World Cup-themed meme coins on chains like Solana. These tokens, often exploiting team names and player imagery, experience extreme pump-and-dump cycles, creating stories of massive gains for a few early entrants and steep losses for many others. Finally, an entire industry thrives on **providing information and tools** to other speculators. Developers create platforms like SeatSidekick to track ticket inventory and prices, while paid Telegram groups and subscriptions sell betting tips and predictions, monetizing the widespread desire for an informational edge. In essence, the World Cup has become a compressed, global laboratory for speculation. While the games determine champions on the field, a parallel, complex network of financial transactions—spanning prediction contracts, bets, stocks, tickets, collectibles, crypto, and information services—settles its own scores in the global market.

marsbit3h ago

Beyond the Stadium: The Profitable Games Surrounding the World Cup

marsbit3h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

How to Buy PUSH

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Push Protocol (PUSH) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Push Protocol (PUSH) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Push Protocol (PUSH)After purchasing your Push Protocol (PUSH), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Push Protocol (PUSH)Easily trade Push Protocol (PUSH) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

3.7k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy PUSH

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of PUSH (PUSH) are presented below.

活动图片