Primitive Ventures: Why Are We Bullish On On-Chain Perpetual U.S. Stocks?

marsbit發佈於 2026-01-30更新於 2026-01-30

文章摘要

Primitive Ventures argues that on-chain perpetual contracts for US equities represent a pivotal convergence point for crypto and traditional finance, poised to absorb global liquidity. The trend is driven by crypto's innate preference for volatility and key infrastructure upgrades: crypto in-kind margin acceptance by CBOE/CME, DTCC's potential on-chain settlement integration, and the emergence of tokenized equities as collateral enabling systematic basis farming. The dynamic involves "onshore issuance, offshore distribution." While entities like Ondo focus on compliant tokenized stock issuance, demand flows to platforms with superior distribution and trading interfaces, predominantly on BNB Chain. On-chain perps attract global professional traders seeking 24/7 access, high leverage, cross-margin efficiency, and DeFi composability, bypassing traditional broker limitations. The stack is maturing with infrastructure (HIP-3/HyperCore, Orderly, Chainlink), trading platforms (Trade.xyz, Ostium), and terminal frontends (Based, Phantom). The future is a unified global "margin network" where diverse assets serve as interoperable collateral. However, the window is narrowing. The primary threat is not demand but regulatory approval of onshore products, which could rapidly shift activity back to established brokers (e.g., Robinhood with 0DTE options). With the SEC/CFTC actively studying perps and compliant entrants like Bitnomial emerging, offshore/on-chain players must quickly captur...

Author: YettaS, Investment Partner at Primitive Ventures

As gold and silver continue to hit new highs, Trade.xyz's daily trading volume approaches $2 billion, and Binance lists TSLA perpetual contracts with little hesitation, the trend is hard to ignore: Traditional financial assets are becoming the new gateway for the crypto market to absorb global liquidity.

Just a year ago, most CEX operators probably couldn't accept this fact: An on-chain trading venue is actually using TradFi assets as a wedge to begin eroding and reshaping the core territory of centralized exchanges.

We all know that crypto capital inherently prefers volatility; from a product structure perspective, equity perps are precisely at the convergence point of several key upgrades, which is the fundamental reason they stand out in this cycle:

  • As CBOE / CME gradually accept crypto in-kind margin this year, the liquidity and availability of crypto assets as collateral will significantly improve.

  • Once the DTCC establishes a direct on-chain connection, the settlement layer will begin to permeate on-chain, and stock assets will gain a native on-chain settlement channel from the source.

  • The truly interesting part then emerges: Tokenized stocks as collateral → Perpetual contract exchanges accept them → Institutions begin systematic basis farming.

Onshore Issuance, Offshore Distribution

The U.S. exports finance not by exporting financial institutions themselves, but by exporting "access." The petrodollar system distributed dollars globally, externalizing inflationary pressure; stablecoins replicated this logic by wholesale purchasing of U.S. Treasuries, turning the whole world into new dollar holders without the need for banks or brokers. On-chain stocks are the next step in this logic. From unbanked to unbrokered, dollar assets will once again complete their global倾销 (dumping).

CEXs saw the opportunity and potential threat early on, so they chose to expand first. Ondo and xStocks focused on the issuance side—connecting with brokers, custodying real stocks, minting 1:1 tokenized stocks on multiple chains—but it turned out that issuance itself doesn't automatically create a market.

The first wave of real demand came from traders unable to access the U.S. brokerage system and crypto-native users seeking exposure to U.S. stocks without relying on TradFi infrastructure. The issuers handled the heaviest compliance and custody work, but the flow of funds went to the side that truly controls trading attention and distribution capabilities. Offshore platforms embedded the products directly into their trading interfaces, and trading volume naturally aggregated there. Ultimately, we see the vast majority of tokenized stock trading volume concentrated on BNB Chain, accounting for over 80%.

If offshore spot unlocked retail demand, on-chain equity perps further attracted the flow of professional traders. These users are global trading participants who want to trade or hedge U.S. stocks without being constrained by broker access, trading hours, or jurisdictional limits.

Take HIP-3 as an example; it provides professional traders with a trading interface to systematically conduct basis trading, capture cross-market dislocations, and cover stocks, crypto assets, and indices simultaneously. With the叠加 (overlay) of potential airdrop incentives, trading volume continues to刷新 (refresh) new highs.

The Golden Window for On-Chain Stock Perpetuals

Once a现货锚点 (spot anchor) exists, perpetual contracts almost always become the most efficient trading tool, for reasons that are as direct as ever:

  • 7×24 hour trading,不受 (not subject to) market hour restrictions

  • Cross-margin with all assets, extremely capital efficient

  • High leverage allows true risk appetite to be释放 (released)

  • Composable into DeFi strategies

  • Provides a clear collateral path for RWA / tokenized assets

The entire tech stack is rapidly taking shape:

Infrastructure

  • HIP-3 / HyperCore: High-performance orderbook engine, supports any perp market

  • Orderly: Unified omnichain orderbook, anyone can launch a perp with no code

  • Chainlink: Stock price oracle (core data layer)

Platforms (Where trading happens)

  • Trade.xyz: Based on HIP-3, currently the largest equity perp DEX

  • Ostium: FX / Commodities / Stocks,偏向 (leaning towards) CFD structure

  • Ventuals: pre-IPO market (HIP-3)

  • Felix / Vest / Aster / Architect: Each has its focus on settlement, coverage, and distribution

Terminals (Current upstream traffic entry points)

  • Based: Multi-asset interface aggregating Hyperliquid, HIP-3, and prediction markets

  • Phantom / Metamask-like frontends: Convert wallet traffic into trading behavior

Looking forward, the focus is shifting from "tokenization" to "monetary velocity." The real on-chain GDP will be generated here. The ultimate winners won't just be players who can mint on-chain wrapped assets, but those trading venues that, at scale, can convert any asset into usable collateral and provide the deepest liquidity and the cleanest matching / risk engine.

Imagine the future as a globally unified "collateral network": Bitcoin, U.S. stocks, gold, U.S. Treasuries are no longer locked in their respective systems but can be used as collateral like building blocks at any time; perpetual contracts become the most universal risk expression tool; stablecoins play the role of cash; various trading and arbitrage strategies run automatically 7×24 on-chain, constantly combining. Assets are no longer "held" but are continuously called upon.

Racing Against Time

The window is open, but time is not on the side of on-chain equity perps. The biggest threat is not demand, but the formal approval of onshore products. History has repeatedly shown that once regulators nod, distribution回流 (flows back) to the existing brokerage system in an extremely short time. 0DTE options are the most direct example: after approval, they were quickly absorbed and dominated by Robinhood.

More importantly, the countdown has begun. The SEC and CFTC are systematically studying perpetual derivatives and their market structure and risks, which usually means regulatory boundaries are being actively defined. Meanwhile,

  • Bitnomial became the first CFTC-compliant perp

  • Coinbase also launched 5-year futures with a funding mechanism,几乎 (almost) indistinguishable in trading behavior from perps.

The reason offshore and on-chain players can still lead is simply that the products haven't been standardized yet. Once the rules take shape, the advantage will quickly disappear. Those who truly have a chance are not those waiting for certainty, but those who, while the window is still open, quickly lock in users and liquidity, and shape the rules while running and coordinating with regulators. Time is not a background variable but the core constraint determining victory or defeat, and the countdown has already begun.

Just as Tether used crypto's distribution power to quietly push the dollar globally back in the day, today's on-chain economy is essentially doing the same thing—leveraging the liquidity and trading tools of the crypto market to deliver U.S. stocks and American assets in a form with higher frequency, higher leverage, and higher liquidity to a broader set of participants. On-chain is not对抗 (fighting against) off-chain; it is rewriting the operating methods of the existing system with faster speed and stronger capital efficiency. The real watershed lies in whether one can timely capture this mechanism and complete the cognition and layout of the new continent on-chain.

相關問答

QWhy does Primitive Ventures believe on-chain perpetuals for US stocks are gaining traction in the crypto market?

APrimitive Ventures attributes the rise of on-chain perpetuals for stocks to crypto's inherent preference for volatility, key infrastructure upgrades like CBOE/CME accepting crypto in-kind margin, and the potential for DTCC to establish direct on-chain connections. These factors enable tokenized stocks to be used as collateral, attracting institutional basis farming and global liquidity.

QWhat is the significance of the 'offshore distribution' model for tokenized stocks mentioned in the article?

AThe 'offshore distribution' model refers to platforms outside strict US jurisdiction that focus on distributing and trading tokenized stocks, capturing demand from users unable to access US brokerages or seeking crypto-native exposure. This model has concentrated over 80% of trading volume on BNB Chain, demonstrating that distribution, not just issuance, drives market growth.

QWhat advantages do on-chain equity perpetuals offer over traditional trading methods?

AOn-chain equity perpetuals offer 24/7 trading unrestricted by market hours, high capital efficiency with cross-margin across all assets, high leverage to match risk appetite, composability into DeFi strategies, and a clear path for using RWA/tokenized assets as collateral.

QWhat are the main threats to the growth of on-chain equity perpetuals according to the article?

AThe primary threat is the potential approval and rapid adoption of onshore regulated products by established brokers, as seen with 0DTE options on Robinhood. Regulatory bodies like the SEC and CFTC are already studying perpetual derivatives, and once rules are standardized, the current advantage could quickly diminish.

QHow does the article describe the future vision of a 'global margin network'?

AThe future is envisioned as a globally unified 'margin network' where assets like Bitcoin, US stocks, gold, and US Treasuries are not siloed but can be used interchangeably as collateral. Perpetual contracts serve as the universal tool for risk expression, stablecoins act as cash, and various trading/arbitrage strategies operate 24/7, continuously composing and utilizing assets rather than just holding them.

你可能也喜歡

印度最大资管 SBI 上市,交易数据能看出什么信号?

印度最大资管公司SBI Funds Management于7月21日上市,完成约10亿美元发行,获得约42倍认购,但首日收盘价仅较发行价上涨约6.3%。这组交易数据释放出复杂信号:一方面,强劲的认购倍数验证了印度市场对大体量优质资产的需求依然存在;另一方面,温和的首日涨幅(远低于上市前灰市约16%的溢价预期)表明,市场虽有买盘,但拒绝无条件追高,定价趋于理性。 此次IPO被视为印度IPO市场的一个关键“价格锚”和风向标。其成功意味着IPO窗口正在重新打开,但窗口优先面向那些品牌力强、现金流稳定、能清晰阐述长期增长逻辑的公司(如后续可能推进的NSE、Reliance Jio等项目)。SBI的案例显示,强资产可以发行,大资金愿意承接,但估值不能仅依赖稀缺性和故事。 另一个值得关注的变量是极低的承销费率(据报道约0.01%),这导致部分国际大行退出。这并非“华尔街看空印度”,而是反映了如SBI这类强势发行人议价能力的提升。它们倚重自身品牌、母行渠道和本土分销网络,降低了对外部投行销售的依赖。本土券商则更愿意以较低费用换取项目资源。但这种低费率模式若被弱势发行人复制,可能带来定价质量下降等风险。 SBI的高认购得益于印度资管行业渗透率提升的长期叙事,但其温和涨幅也提醒市场,行业增长虽稳定(年复合增长率预计16%-18%),但仍受股市表现、利率环境等多因素影响,投资者不愿提前支付过高溢价。 总之,SBI的上市标志着印度IPO市场有条件重启。其真正意义将在后续大型项目(如Jio、NSE)的推进中得到检验:它们能否在合理估值下成功发行,将决定当前市场信心的成色,以及发行人议价权上升是否是结构性趋势。

marsbit34 分鐘前

印度最大资管 SBI 上市,交易数据能看出什么信号?

marsbit34 分鐘前

交易

現貨
活动图片