After posting Q2 FY2026 results, Qualcomm and Arm both saw their shares decline, reflecting the impact of memory price increases on the smartphone chip sector. Qualcomm's revenue of $9.95B slightly beat expectations, but EPS of $2.21 fell short. More concerning was its guidance for next quarter, with EPS projections below analyst estimates. The company directly attributed a >$1.50 per share annual EPS headwind to rising memory costs and supply constraints in Android phones, prompting planned price hikes. While automotive revenue grew 61% and is approaching one-third of phone revenue, the mobile segment declined 20%. Qualcomm also confirmed a significant reduction in its modem share for the upcoming iPhone and outlined a plan for data center revenue to replace all Apple-related income by FY2027. Arm's results surpassed expectations with revenue of $1.29B and EPS of $0.45, and its guidance was also strong. However, its stock fell. Key concerns included royalty revenue failing to set a new record and a downward revision to full-year royalty growth guidance from ~20% to the high-teens, citing weak smartphone demand and high memory prices. Despite robust growth in its data center business, Arm's premium valuation (over 100x forward P/E) means even beating expectations isn't enough to push the stock higher, as any sign of uncertainty is magnified. Ongoing global antitrust investigations add another risk factor. The situation highlights a broader shift. Memory price surges, which boosted Samsung's profits, are now pressuring chip designers. Meanwhile, the semiconductor sector saw significant corrections in July, with the hardest-hit stocks often being those with the biggest AI-driven gains year-to-date. Qualcomm, lacking such a premium, was an exception.
marsbit2天前




