ZRO down 10% after retail sells hard, but are more losses next?

ambcryptoОпубліковано о 2026-02-06Востаннє оновлено о 2026-02-06

Анотація

ZRO, the native token of LayerZero, has declined by 10% amid a significant altcoin market downturn. Technical analysis indicates a bearish structure, with the price failing to sustain a breakout above a key Fibonacci level and eyeing a further drop toward the 50% retracement mark at $1.45. On-chain data reveals intense selling pressure, with a high volume of small retail sell orders on DEXs like Uniswap. Additionally, network activity has sharply declined, with transaction counts and amounts falling over 70% in three weeks. Analysts suggest the broader bearish trend may persist, potentially extending losses through the year.

The altcoin market has been crashing hard since last week. In fact, major altcoins from different sectors have graced the list of the market’s biggest losers over the last 24 hours.

On this front, LayerZero has led the way, losing 10% of its valuation during this period. Activity across its network has not only influenced this loss, but also the altcoin’s numerical outlook.

ZRO eyes 50% Fibonacci retracement level

According to the altcoin’s daily chart, ZRO had faked a breakout above the 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement level only to close below it. The retracement was deduced from 10 October’s crash that saw ZRO create a flash low of $0.315. This suggested that bears had controlled this market for more than three months.

LayerZero’s drop for the day extended the weekly losses to 15%. This figure put the altcoin behind only Ripple (XRP) and ZCash (ZEC) in terms of daily losses at press time.

Momentum in favour of more downside seemed to be increasing too – A sign that sellers were willing to pull the price further down. The MACD bars, becoming denser as the signal lines crossed over on the downward side, confirmed this observation.

This outlook suggested a potential revisit to the 50% retracement level, which coincided with a previous resistance zone. Here, things could change as bulls could come in and view this as a retest for the area. So, caution may be warranted here.

Staying below $1.718 would heighten the chances of a drop to $1.45 or lower. However, these targets could also be viewed as potential reversal points, as they house both major bulls and bears.

However, one question must be answered here – Is ZRO declining only because of its weak technical outlook?

Retail traders may be selling hard...

No.

In fact, its on-chain activity has been giving similar vibes. As per data from Etherscan, ZRO has been dropping because of intense selling from retail traders too.

A sea of orders worth between $10 and slightly above $100 has been flooding DEX platforms like Uniswap (UNI). At press time, only a few trades were long – Insignificant in number compared to shorts.

These findings are evidence of sell pressure from retail traders. Even though their volume has been usually small, they represent the sentiment of the general market. This might explain why the price of ZRO fell on the charts.

Transaction activity on LayerZero sliding too!

Finally, the transaction activity dipped below noticeable levels too. The number of transaction counts dropped by more than 70% in about three weeks – Down from 3,479 to 981.

Additionally, the number of transaction amounts fell from 27.735 million ZRO to 8.137 million ZRO over the same period. Together, these observations suggested that activity has been sliding, accelerating the price drop.

Here, it’s worth noting that according to popular analyst Benjamin Cowen, the near-term outlook for the market is bearish. What about the rest of the year though? Well, the analyst expects the same for Bitcoin (BTC). He claimed,

“BTC goes down and drags the rest of the market with it. Good chance this process ends later this year, so stay tuned!”


Final Thoughts

  • ZROs price crashed by 10% on the back of a bear market structure and a fall in network activity.
  • Some analysts expect the bear market to last through 2026.

Пов'язані питання

QWhat was the percentage drop in ZRO's value over the last 24 hours and what was the main reason for this decline?

AZRO's value dropped by 10% over the last 24 hours. The decline was influenced by a bearish market structure, intense selling pressure from retail traders, and a significant drop in on-chain transaction volume.

QAccording to the technical analysis, what key Fibonacci level is ZRO potentially revisiting and why is this level significant?

AZRO is potentially revisiting the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This level is significant because it coincides with a previous resistance zone, which could be viewed by bulls as a retest area, potentially leading to a change in price direction.

QWhat on-chain data from Etherscan supports the claim that retail selling contributed to ZRO's price drop?

AData from Etherscan showed a sea of sell orders, worth between $10 and just over $100, flooding DEX platforms like Uniswap. The vast majority of these small trades were short positions, indicating intense selling pressure from retail traders.

QHow much did the number of transactions and the transaction amount on the LayerZero network change in approximately three weeks?

AIn about three weeks, the number of transactions on the LayerZero network dropped by over 70%, from 3,479 to 981. The transaction amount also fell dramatically from 27.735 million ZRO to 8.137 million ZRO over the same period.

QWhat is the near-term and longer-term market outlook according to analyst Benjamin Cowen as mentioned in the article?

AAccording to analyst Benjamin Cowen, the near-term outlook for the market is bearish, with Bitcoin expected to go down and drag the rest of the market with it. He expects this bearish process to potentially end later in the year.

Пов'язані матеріали

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy (MSTR), confirmed that the dividend rate for its STRC perpetual preferred shares will remain at 12.00% through August 2026. The rate has increased from 9% at its July 2025 launch to the current high via a "ratchet" mechanism, which permanently raises the rate by 0.5% whenever the share price falls below $95. This mechanism is intended to push the price back toward its $100 par value and support Strategy's "at-the-market" (ATM) program for issuing new shares to fund Bitcoin purchases. However, the mechanism has not worked as intended. STRC shares closed at $89.46 on July 31, remaining about 10-11% below par value despite the record-high dividend. Competition from rival Strive's higher-yielding SATA securities has pressured demand. The persistent discount has forced Strategy to suspend new STRC issuances via its ATM program, limiting this funding channel for Bitcoin acquisitions. STRC's struggles reflect Bitcoin's own volatility, as the preferred shares historically move in tandem. Analysts have warned the ratchet structure carries long-term, one-way risk. A law firm is investigating Strategy's ability to maintain dividend payments if Bitcoin's price stays low. Retail investors own roughly 83% of outstanding STRC shares, a group seen as prone to panic selling during downturns. In response, Strategy has established financial reserves, including a liquidity cushion covering about 26 months of dividend/interest obligations, and a $2 billion share buyback program alongside a Bitcoin monetization framework, though the company emphasized it is not obligated to sell any Bitcoin.

cryptonews.ru31 хв тому

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

cryptonews.ru31 хв тому

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

Financial analyst Andrey Poroshin has provided a new forecast for Bitcoin's price dynamics in August. Poroshin, an analyst at the Bitbanker exchange, expects the cryptocurrency market to experience a downturn this month, with prices retesting the $60,000 level due to a lack of supportive macroeconomic catalysts. He noted that the recent US Federal Reserve decision to hold interest rates did not significantly impact the market, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Poroshin stated that Bitcoin is ending July under pressure from moderate volatility and a lack of new macroeconomic stimuli, leading to continued market caution. According to his base scenario, Bitcoin will drop to a range of $60,000 to $62,000 before recovering to $70,000. He pointed out that even $70,000 remains below the cost of mining in the US, which has prompted some miners to shift towards AI data center operations. Poroshin cited the winding down of BitMEX's operations as a potential catalyst for a price rebound, suggesting the exit of weaker players often coincides with market reversals and reduced short-term selling pressure. He believes Bitcoin is currently less susceptible to geopolitical shocks, such as the Iran-US conflict, and does not expect significant market changes in August related to the pending CLARITY Act. Looking ahead, Poroshin forecasts that September will bring more active price fluctuations driven by potential Fed rate decisions and possible discussions or approval of the CLARITY Act.

cryptonews.ru31 хв тому

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

cryptonews.ru31 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
活动图片