Why ONDO price stays weak even as TVL hits $1.93B record

ambcryptoОпубліковано о 2025-12-22Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-22

Анотація

Despite reaching a new all-time high in Total Value Locked (TVL) of $1.93 billion following its announcement to launch tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs on Solana in 2026, ONDO's price remained weak, trading between $0.36–$0.39. Technical indicators showed bearish momentum, with RSI near 34 and MACD below zero, suggesting continued downside pressure. Solana also experienced mixed reactions, briefly dipping below $122 but seeing significant ETF inflows of $35.20 million. The divergence between rising TVL and price weakness indicates potential long-term accumulation by investors, though short-term momentum remains uncertain.

Ondo Finance recorded a new all-time high in Total Value Locked after its announcement on the 15th of December. The firm said it would launch tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs on Solana in early 2026.

The move extended Ondo’s Global Markets platform beyond Ethereum and BNB Chain. It positioned Solana as the next settlement layer for Ondo’s tokenized finance push.

However, market reaction across Ondo [ONDO] and Solana remained mixed in subsequent sessions. Both assets pulled back shortly after the announcement, diverging from improving protocol metrics.

TVL surged as the price stalled

ONDO’s TVL continued rising to an ATH of $1.93 billion even as the price slipped back into the $0.36–$0.39 trading range. The steady increase suggested capital remained deployed at the protocol level during consolidation.

Liquidity did not immediately exit following the high-profile announcement.

However, technical indicators failed to confirm bullish price momentum. ONDO’s RSI hovered near 34 on the daily chart. The reading reflected persistent bearish momentum following the pullback.

Did rising TVL signal accumulation, or was the market still pricing broader bearish risk?

Momentum stayed under pressure

ONDO dropped below the $0.40 level, briefly reaching $0.36 during the post-announcement decline.

RSI showed tentative stabilization but lacked confirmation of a sustained reversal.

ONDO’s MACD remained below the zero line, signaling continued downside pressure. Local resistance stood near $0.50, while downside risk extended toward $0.25 in a worst-case scenario.

That left price action disconnected from improving fundamentals.

Solana held key support

On the 15th of December, the same day as Ondo’s announcement, Solana [SOL] briefly broke below $122, dipping to around $117 before buyers stepped in, keeping the price within the $122–$145 range.

On the four-hour chart, RSI was near 52, and weak MACD reflected neutral momentum and consolidation, consistent with accumulation rather than a breakout.

During the same session, Solana recorded $35.20 million in ETF inflows. That figure marked the highest inflow of the week and the second-highest daily total in December.

Capital entered despite price weakness, suggesting accumulation during heightened volatility.

Is ONDO consolidating or repricing lower?

ONDO’s rising TVL contrasted sharply with bearish RSI and MACD readings. The setup suggested accumulation without immediate price confirmation. Market participants appeared cautious.

Whether the price stabilized or was repriced lower remained uncertain. Gaining the local resistance level could signal improving momentum, while failure could extend the ongoing consolidation.


Final Thoughts

  • Ondo’s TVL growth showed capital conviction even as price momentum lagged behind.
  • That disconnect suggested investors favored long-term positioning over immediate upside.

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Пов'язані питання

QWhat was the key announcement made by Ondo Finance on December 15th that led to a new TVL record?

AOndo Finance announced it would launch tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs on Solana in early 2026.

QDespite the record TVL, what was the price range ONDO fell back into and what was the RSI level indicating?

AONDO's price fell back into the $0.36–$0.39 trading range, and its RSI hovered near 34, reflecting persistent bearish momentum.

QWhat did the MACD indicator signal about ONDO's price momentum after the announcement?

AONDO’s MACD remained below the zero line, signaling continued downside pressure.

QHow did Solana's market activity, specifically regarding ETF inflows, contrast with its price action on December 15th?

ASolana recorded $35.20 million in ETF inflows, the highest of the week, despite its price briefly breaking below $122, suggesting accumulation during price weakness.

QWhat does the article suggest is the main reason for the disconnect between ONDO's rising TVL and its weak price?

AThe disconnect suggested that investors were favoring long-term positioning and accumulation over seeking immediate price upside, indicating caution.

Пов'язані матеріали

In Jinjiang, Fujian, a Storage Super Unicorn Lies Quiet

In Fujian's Jinjiang, a city known for sportswear, lies a quiet semiconductor giant: Fujian Jinhua Integrated Circuit Co. (JHICC). Once a promising domestic DRAM manufacturer alongside Yangtze Memory and ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), its journey was derailed in 2018 when the U.S. placed it on an Entity List and filed criminal charges for alleged trade secret theft. This halted production for years. A turning point came in February 2024 when a U.S. federal court found JHICC not guilty. However, it had lost crucial time. While CXMT soared to become a top-valued A-share company in 2024, JHICC, with an estimated valuation of 80 billion RMB, was just restarting. Its current output is primarily customized DDR4 chips, not the advanced DDR5/HBM demanded for AI, but it still benefits from the broader memory chip upcycle. JHICC's story is tied to Chen Zhengkun, a veteran engineer who left Micron to lead the venture. Founded in 2016 with state-backed funding, JHICC partnered with Taiwan's UMC to develop DRAM technology. Rapid progress was cut short by the U.S. actions, which Micron initiated, partly due to its heavy reliance on the Chinese market. Post-sanctions, Chen's team worked to rebuild the production line with reduced reliance on U.S. technology. According to its records, JHICC achieved small-scale production and revenue growth under immense pressure. It now focuses on the stable "niche" DRAM market (e.g., TVs, routers) with a monthly capacity of ~40,000 wafers, aiming for 60,000 by 2026. It holds over 1,000 patents but remains on the Entity List. For Jinjiang, investing in JHICC was a bold industrial leap. The local government provided unwavering financial and logistical support during the crisis, helping the company survive. JHICC has become the anchor for a growing local semiconductor cluster. Though its scale lags behind domestic peers, JHICC's persistence symbolizes a hard-won foothold in a global market long dominated by Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Having missed one boom, it seeks a place in the new AI-driven memory supercycle.

marsbit2 год тому

In Jinjiang, Fujian, a Storage Super Unicorn Lies Quiet

marsbit2 год тому

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