Weekly Selection丨Fed Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points Again, Crypto Market Rebounds; Multiple Industry Experts Conclude Four-Year Cycle Invalidated

marsbitОпубліковано о 2025-12-13Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-13

Анотація

PANews Weekly Digest: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, highlighting internal dissent with three opposing votes. Experts debate whether Bitcoin's four-year cycle is ending as the market seeks a bottom. Multiple outlooks for 2026 suggest growth in app-chains, AI-driven crypto networks, and real-world asset tokenization. Despite the bear market, some analysts believe ETH has entered a value "buying zone." AI remains a hot topic with projects like Surf AI and x402 protocol upgrades gaining traction. Tether’s new chain, Stable, faced a rocky start amid tokenomics and trust issues. Regulatory and adoption developments are noted in Brazil, UAE, and Russia, where crypto is reshaping finance outside SWIFT. Other key updates include Circle’s privacy-focused USDCx, Binance’s move to Abu Dhabi, and a potential $2B funding round for Bitget Wallet.

PANews Editor's Note: PANews has curated a selection of high-quality content from the week to help you catch up over the weekend. Click the titles to read.

2025 Review and 2026 Outlook

a16z Predicts 2026, Announces Four Major Trends First

a16z's four investment teams provided key insights for 2026 from the perspectives of infrastructure, growth, healthcare, and the interactive world.

Seven Future Trends for 2026: From Appchain Revival to AI-Driven Crypto Networks

From the revival of appchains to AI-driven crypto networks, we are about to step into a more mature crypto world.

Bitwise CIO: The 2026 Crypto Market Will Be Strong, But the Driving Forces Have Changed

We are now just at the entrance of the next major growth cycle.

4 Key Themes, Sounding the 2025 Crypto Seasons

"Trump Effect", DAT, Stock Tokenization, "TACO" Trading, accompanied a year of crypto mainstreaming.

For more related content, visit the special topic—Through a Glass Darkly: 2025 Review and 2026 Outlook

Macro Perspective

Dialogue with Cycle Research Expert: Bitcoin is Finding a Bottom, Entering the Seasonally Most Bullish Period of the Year

Bitcoin is bottoming, gold will range-trade, the dollar may rebound. The "everything bubble" may burst in 2026, with the MOVE index being a key warning signal.

"A Cornered Beast's Fight": Crypto Treasury Companies Are Losing Their Ability to Buy the Dip

Behind the collective silence is not simply because "ammunition" was exhausted at highs or panic set in, but because the financing mechanisms highly reliant on premiums have experienced a systemic paralysis of "having money but being unable to use it" during the downtrend.

Why Might the Crypto Market Bottom Already Be Behind Us?

The real reason for the cryptocurrency crash in December.

Fed Cuts Rates Again: Internal Divisions Highlighted, Three Dissenting Votes a Rare Sight in Six Years

This decision further highlights unusual internal divisions within the Fed, marking the first instance of three dissenting votes since 2019.

Munger's "Error List": Bitcoin is Crap,马云 (Jack Ma) Too Arrogant,马斯克 (Musk) Quite Crazy

Charlie Munger had opinions on Bitcoin and Musk. Looking back today, some might be right, some wrong, and some of his reflections on errors might not be correct either (e.g., his failed investment in Alibaba, attributing the failure to it being a damn retailer).

AI Boom

Led by Pantera, Followed by Coinbase Ventures, What's So Special About Surf AI?

Cyber co-founder starts a new venture.

x402 V2 is Here, What Are the Major Upgrades in the New Protocol?

x402 V2 supports multi-chain by default and is compatible with traditional payment channels.

OpenMind Partners with Circle, Enabling Robots to Use x402 Protocol for Thousands of Real-Time Payments Per Second

The x402 protocol, as a major narrative for AI Agent payments, has become a hotly contested prize.

The True Holy Grail of DeAI: Talus's "Fully On-Chain" Solution

Talus has found a viable path through the trilemma of the DeAI赛道 (DeAI track), somewhat filling the gap in decentralized AI infra, but the road to decentralizing AI Agents remains long.

Seizing Opportunities

Market Turns Bearish, Listing 7 Recent Hot New Listings (打新项目)

Includes participation guide and details.

Amid Global Easing Expectations, ETH Has Entered the Value "Sweet Spot" (击球区)

Amid relatively loose expectations from China and the US, scenarios suppressing downside volatility of assets, and extreme panic where capital and sentiment haven't fully recovered, ETH is still in a good buying "sweet spot".

High-Leverage Stablecoin Arbitrage Tool?详解 (Detailed Analysis of) Fluid's 39x Leverage Strategy and the Double-Edged Nature of Its "Low Liquidation Penalty"

Fluid is an interesting, hard-to-understand, highly controversial DeFi protocol.

Market "Discount Season", What Are the Whales Accumulating?

During Bitcoin's consolidation period, whales are quietly accumulating XRP, ADA, UNI, AAVE, etc., positioning in payments, Layer 1, DeFi, Meme, AI, and storage sectors, seizing the pullback window for early accumulation.

Web3 Stories

"Tether's Favorite Son" Had a Rocky Start, Can Stable Stage a Comeback Story?

The Tether-supported stablecoin公链 (public chain) Stable saw its token price plummet over 60% after launch, mired in a rat trading trust crisis. While it optimizes payment experience with USDT for Gas fees, its token economic model and fierce competition cast doubt on its prospects.

Brazil, the Top Player in Latin America's Crypto Market, an Underestimated "Top Student" (优等生)

As a top-ten global economy with a unique geographical location, Brazil is also trying to extend its强国梦 (dream of being a powerful nation) into the cryptocurrency world, becoming the main battlefield for digital asset experiments in Latin America.

UAE, the Crypto Giants' "New Switzerland"

From crypto payments随处可见 (seen everywhere) on the streets, to national sovereign wealth funds亲自下场 (personally entering the fray), to clear and transparent regulatory frameworks, the UAE has rapidly ascended as a crypto hub connecting East and West. Particularly Abu Dhabi, with recent gatherings of crypto giants like Binance, Tether, Circle, Ripple, this bustling city is becoming a new global crypto stronghold.

Hyperliquid Whale Chronicles: Some Turned Their Fortunes Overnight, Some Died by Their Convictions

Delving into on-chain data, these whales exhibit diverse styles: some are "contrarian indicators" with heavy capital but repeated failures, some are "snipers"潜伏 (lurking) for half a year for a single decisive strike, and others are "cold-blooded machines" harvesting retail users with algorithms every second.

Aevo Co-founder: I Wasted 8 Years in the Crypto Industry

Aevo联合创始人 (Co-founder) Ken Chan posted reflections, saying he wasted 8 years of youth in the crypto industry, believes the industry has devolved into the largest casino in human history, betraying the original intent of decentralized finance, revealing issues of lost faith and collapsed values.

120 Seconds to Change Trading Perception: Why Is Intraday Short-Term Trading Just Gambling for Retail Investors?

Making money in trading, many think isn't that hard; what's truly difficult is how to hold onto the money you've made.

The World Beyond SWIFT: Russia and the Crypto's Clandestine Economy

If you measure by mining, on-chain transaction volume, stablecoin inflows, trade settlement reliance, Russia is a crypto power center the world cannot ignore.

The World Beyond SWIFT (Part II): Moscow's Underground Ledger

In this network, USDT is the blood, PSB's ruble deposits are the skeleton, Garantex / Cryptex are the capillaries, and A7A5 is a newly grown heart valve—its existence is to keep this circulation beating outside of SWIFT.

Montenegro Crypto Investigation: Street OTC Thriving in a Regulatory Vacuum

Cryptocurrency trading in Montenegro is in a "gray area" due to regulatory gaps, with cash transactions conducted via Telegram groups and intermediaries, annual transaction volume reaching millions of euros, involving money laundering risks. Legislative processes have started but progress is slow.

From Finney to Saga to Xiaomi, Web3 Phones March Toward an "Experience-Driven" Mass Era

After years of niche experiments, are Web3 phones really ready to enter the mainstream public's view?

USDT Rating Storm: S&P's "Stability Ruler", Tether's "Market Debate", and the Transformation into a "Shadow Central Bank"

ME, in conjunction with CoinFound, analyzes the USDT rating storm from event review, historical structural changes to market trends.

Key News

Changpeng Zhao: Crypto Market May Enter a "Super Cycle", Bitcoin's "Four-Year Cycle" May No Longer Apply

Bloomberg Analyst: BTC Could End Year Below $84,000, "Santa Claus Rally" Might Not Appear

Binance: Confirmed Employee Abused Position for Personal Gain, Has Been Suspended and Legal Liability Will Be Pursued

Bitget Wallet Former Founder Reveals Bitget Wallet is Raising Funds at a $2 Billion Valuation

He Yi: Personally Will Compensate Users Who Suffered Losses Due to WeChat Theft with BNB Airdrops

Binance Announces Global Operations Move to Abu Dhabi Global Market, Has Received Full Regulatory Authorization Locally

Strategy Submits Formal Objection to MSCI's Proposal to Exclude "Digital Asset Financial Companies"

Tom Lee: Ethereum Has Bottomed, So BitMine is Actively Buying

Keel Launches $500 Million Plan to Promote RWA Development on Solana

HASHKEY Discloses IPO Details: Plans to Raise Up to HK$1.67 Billion, Expected to List on December 17

Circle to Launch USDCx Stablecoin Supporting "Bank-Grade Privacy", Deployed on Aleo Blockchain

US SEC Chair: Entire US Financial Market Could Be On-Chain Within Two Years

Fed Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points, Expects Only One Rate Cut in 2026

Пов'язані питання

QWhat was the key outcome of the recent Federal Reserve meeting regarding interest rates?

AThe Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but the decision was notable for the internal dissent, with three members voting against the cut, the first time this has happened since 2019.

QAccording to the article, what is the new perspective on Bitcoin's traditional four-year market cycle?

AIndustry experts, including Zhao Changpeng, suggest that Bitcoin's 'four-year cycle' may no longer be applicable, and the market might be entering a 'super cycle' instead.

QWhich major stablecoin company is launching a new privacy-focused stablecoin, and on which blockchain?

ACircle is launching a new privacy-focused stablecoin called USDCx, which will be deployed on the Aleo blockchain.

QWhat significant operational move did Binance recently announce regarding its global headquarters?

ABinance announced that it is moving its global operations to the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), where it has received full regulatory authorization.

QWhat is the x402 protocol, and why is it gaining attention in the AI sector according to the article?

AThe x402 protocol is a payment system designed for AI agents, enabling high-frequency microtransactions. It is gaining significant attention as a key narrative for AI Agent payments, with its V2 upgrade adding multi-chain compatibility and traditional payment channel support.

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