US Jobs Data Clarifies Fed Rate Cut Stand, Crypto Prices Fumble Further

TheNewsCryptoОпубліковано о 2026-02-12Востаннє оновлено о 2026-02-12

Анотація

US jobs data for January 2026 exceeded expectations, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 130,000—significantly above the 55,000 forecast—and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The strong report reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March, with rates expected to remain between 3.50% and 3.75% until at least June. While stocks and bonds reacted positively, the crypto market declined slightly, with its total cap falling to $2.3 trillion. Bitcoin traded around $67,000, with concerns it may drop below $65,000. Major altcoins showed mixed movements. The strong economic data may further dampen investor appetite for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

US jobs data for January 2026 is out, and the picture is better than what was anticipated. Most importantly, it sheds some more light on the possibility of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in its upcoming March meeting. For crypto prices, the situation has worsened over the last 24 hours, even though a few upticks are observed amid fluctuations.

US Job Data

Investors and other market players have finally caught a break with the US Job data for January 2026. As reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the nonfarm payroll rose by 130k in the last month, against an earlier forecast of 55,000 by Dow Jones consensus. Leading the charge was the health care sector, with social assistance and construction sectors following the lead.

Unemployment dropped slightly from 4.4% to 4.3%, now translating to 7.4 million unemployed people as of January 2026. The rate was earlier estimated to stay the same in the light of flat retail sales data in December 2025.

US stocks and bonds were among the first to react positively. US Treasury yields, for one, jumped by 4.5 bps to 4.19% as an initial response. CNBC has reported consecutive growth since November 2025 for job creation. The same report has stated that US President Donald Trump called this report a sign of the strong economy.

Reaction of Crypto Prices

Crypto prices continue to move past their respective bullish mark. Their collective market cap has declined by 0.28% to $2.3 trillion, earlier above $3 trillion. BTC is still making moves between $67k and $71k, currently listed at $67,088.84, which is slightly up by 0.27% over the last 24 hours.

A similar reaction is visible on other top cryptocurrencies, including, but not limited to, ETH (+1.25%), XRP (+1.29%), and SOL (-0.28%). Concerns about BTC extending losses below $65k remain on the table. Notably, Bitcoin tokens have been squeezed between $65k and $70k for some time now.

And Now The Fed Rate Cut

The US Federal Reserve didn’t slash rates in January, and is less likely to cut rates in March 2026 as well. A 10-2 voting verdict kept the rate between 3.50% and 3.75%, something that could go on till June.

Oren Klachkin, Financial Market Economist at Nationwide, has stated, as reported by Reuters, that an extended pause still seems likely. No rate cut in March is now likely to have some influence over investors’ appetite for fund allocation to risky ventures, cryptocurrencies in this case.

Highlighted Crypto News Today:

Hoskinson Confirms Midnight Mainnet Launch in March

TagsCrypto Pricefed rate cuts

Пов'язані питання

QWhat was the actual nonfarm payroll increase for January 2026 and how did it compare to the forecast?

AThe nonfarm payroll rose by 130,000 in January 2026, which was significantly higher than the earlier forecast of 55,000 by the Dow Jones consensus.

QHow did the unemployment rate change in January 2026 and what was the estimated number of unemployed people?

AThe unemployment rate dropped slightly from 4.4% to 4.3% in January 2026, translating to 7.4 million unemployed people.

QWhat is the current status of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate and what is the outlook for a rate cut in March 2026?

AThe US Federal Reserve kept the rate between 3.50% and 3.75% and is less likely to cut rates in March 2026, with an extended pause seeming likely.

QHow did the collective market capitalization of cryptocurrencies change in the last 24 hours and what is its current value?

AThe collective market cap of cryptocurrencies declined by 0.28% to $2.3 trillion over the last 24 hours, down from being above $3 trillion earlier.

QWhich sectors were reported as leading the job growth in the January 2026 US jobs data?

AThe health care sector led the job growth, followed by the social assistance and construction sectors.

Пов'язані матеріали

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy (MSTR), confirmed that the dividend rate for its STRC perpetual preferred shares will remain at 12.00% through August 2026. The rate has increased from 9% at its July 2025 launch to the current high via a "ratchet" mechanism, which permanently raises the rate by 0.5% whenever the share price falls below $95. This mechanism is intended to push the price back toward its $100 par value and support Strategy's "at-the-market" (ATM) program for issuing new shares to fund Bitcoin purchases. However, the mechanism has not worked as intended. STRC shares closed at $89.46 on July 31, remaining about 10-11% below par value despite the record-high dividend. Competition from rival Strive's higher-yielding SATA securities has pressured demand. The persistent discount has forced Strategy to suspend new STRC issuances via its ATM program, limiting this funding channel for Bitcoin acquisitions. STRC's struggles reflect Bitcoin's own volatility, as the preferred shares historically move in tandem. Analysts have warned the ratchet structure carries long-term, one-way risk. A law firm is investigating Strategy's ability to maintain dividend payments if Bitcoin's price stays low. Retail investors own roughly 83% of outstanding STRC shares, a group seen as prone to panic selling during downturns. In response, Strategy has established financial reserves, including a liquidity cushion covering about 26 months of dividend/interest obligations, and a $2 billion share buyback program alongside a Bitcoin monetization framework, though the company emphasized it is not obligated to sell any Bitcoin.

cryptonews.ru27 хв тому

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

cryptonews.ru27 хв тому

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

Financial analyst Andrey Poroshin has provided a new forecast for Bitcoin's price dynamics in August. Poroshin, an analyst at the Bitbanker exchange, expects the cryptocurrency market to experience a downturn this month, with prices retesting the $60,000 level due to a lack of supportive macroeconomic catalysts. He noted that the recent US Federal Reserve decision to hold interest rates did not significantly impact the market, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Poroshin stated that Bitcoin is ending July under pressure from moderate volatility and a lack of new macroeconomic stimuli, leading to continued market caution. According to his base scenario, Bitcoin will drop to a range of $60,000 to $62,000 before recovering to $70,000. He pointed out that even $70,000 remains below the cost of mining in the US, which has prompted some miners to shift towards AI data center operations. Poroshin cited the winding down of BitMEX's operations as a potential catalyst for a price rebound, suggesting the exit of weaker players often coincides with market reversals and reduced short-term selling pressure. He believes Bitcoin is currently less susceptible to geopolitical shocks, such as the Iran-US conflict, and does not expect significant market changes in August related to the pending CLARITY Act. Looking ahead, Poroshin forecasts that September will bring more active price fluctuations driven by potential Fed rate decisions and possible discussions or approval of the CLARITY Act.

cryptonews.ru27 хв тому

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

cryptonews.ru27 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
活动图片