Upside Still Rolling For HYPE And Zcash—But Danger Zones Are Getting Closer

bitcoinistОпубліковано о 2026-05-22Востаннє оновлено о 2026-05-22

Анотація

Hype (HYPE) reached a new all-time high near $63, and Zcash (ZEC) approached its record levels, with monthly gains of 45% and 108% respectively. Both have climbed in market cap rankings. However, following pullbacks, analyst Ali Martinez warns of rising downside risk. For HYPE, technical indicators like the RSI and TD Sequential show a pattern similar to past corrections. Martinez cautions that price rejection from current levels could lead to a retracement toward $40. Zcash faces resistance in the $700-$730 area, the same zone that caused a major rejection in November. A weekly TD Sequential sell signal is emerging, with stretched momentum indicators. If confirmed, corrections could target $500 initially, and potentially $380. While both assets remain in strong uptrends, current conditions suggest increasing risk of a significant pullback.

Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, pushed to a fresh all-time high near $63 on Thursday, while Zcash (ZEC) also continued working its way toward its current record levels.

HYPE’s momentum has been especially strong over the longer view compared to its market peers, recording about a 45% gain on the monthly time frame. Zcash has been running even hotter, with a 108% rise over the same period.

That performance has carried both assets closer to the top of the overall cryptocurrency rankings by market capitalization. HYPE has climbed to the 11th largest position, while ZEC is in 13th place.

Downside Odds Rising For HYPE

NewsBTC had earlier noted that HYPE briefly surged to $62.80, marking a new record peak for the token. Zcash, meanwhile, climbed toward a double top over the past 24 hours near the $690 area. By Thursday evening, both coins had pulled back from these key levels: HYPE retraced to about $57, and ZEC slipped to around $659.

The daily chart shows HYPE’s price uptrend. Source: HYPEUSDT on TradingView.com

Despite the pullback, the more cautious note came from technical analyst Ali Martinez, who warned that both tokens may be entering areas where the probability of downside increases.

In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Martinez emphasized that when trades become crowded and sentiment turns overwhelmingly bullish, investors should watch for signs of exhaustion—not just continue assuming momentum will carry indefinitely.

According to Martinez, the last two TD Sequential sell signals on HYPE occurred when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Chande Momentum Oscillator were also at overheated readings. Those setups, he noted, were followed by meaningful corrections.

Now, he says, a very similar pattern is unfolding. For the near-term, Martinez cautioned that if price rejection shows up from that zone, a retracement toward roughly $40 becomes increasingly likely.

Zcash Could Retrace Toward $380

Zcash’s setup, in Martinez’s view, looks structurally similar. He said ZEC has surged more than 40% over the past week and is now moving into the same general resistance area that previously produced a major rejection back in November, around the $700–$730 range.

The analyst argued that this situation becomes more consequential because the sell signal is emerging on the weekly chart, not just in the short term. He also noted that the prior move—from the bottom of the channel to the top—had been anticipated by a weekly TD buy signal, which makes this flip in momentum more noteworthy.

In addition, he said momentum indicators are starting to look stretched again, and if the weekly sell signal confirms, the correction could end up being larger than traders might expect from a typical pullback.

Martinez outlined potential downside areas for Zcash if the bearish signal develops. He named an initial downside zone around $500, followed by a deeper retracement target near $380.

His overall conclusion is that while both HYPE and Zcash remain in strong uptrends, the market conditions around current levels suggest risk is rising.

Featured image created with OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

Пов'язані питання

QWhat are the current all-time high price levels for HYPE and Zcash as mentioned in the article?

AAccording to the article, Hyperliquid's native token HYPE pushed to a fresh all-time high near $63, while Zcash was working its way toward its current record levels, with a recent climb toward the $690 area.

QAccording to technical analyst Ali Martinez, what technical indicators signaled potential corrections for HYPE?

AAli Martinez noted that the last two TD Sequential sell signals for HYPE occurred when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Chande Momentum Oscillator were at overheated readings, which were followed by meaningful corrections.

QWhat is the key resistance zone identified for Zcash, and why is it significant?

AThe key resistance zone for Zcash is the $700–$730 range. This area is significant because it previously produced a major price rejection back in November.

QWhat potential downside targets did Ali Martinez outline for Zcash if the bearish signal develops?

AAli Martinez outlined potential downside targets of around $500 as an initial zone, followed by a deeper retracement target near $380 for Zcash.

QWhat is the main caution or warning provided by analyst Ali Martinez regarding HYPE and Zcash in the article?

AThe main caution from Ali Martinez is that both HYPE and Zcash may be entering areas where the probability of a downside price move increases. He warns that when trades become crowded and sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, investors should watch for signs of exhaustion rather than assuming momentum will continue indefinitely.

Пов'язані матеріали

ETH Bull and Bear Views Compilation: Can Ethereum's Value Flow Back to ETH?

Titled "ETH Bull and Bear Views: Can Ethereum's Value Flow Back to ETH?", this article synthesizes the current heated debate around Ethereum's native token, ETH, following Bankless co-founder David Hoffman's decision to sell his entire ETH holdings. The **bullish case**, represented by figures like Tom Lee (BitMine CEO) and Raoul Pal, argues that ETH's core thesis remains intact. They contend Ethereum is the essential, secure, and neutral foundational layer for future finance—encompassing stablecoins, RWA, DeFi, L2s, and Agentic AI. Bulls bet on ETH's long-term revaluation as institutional adoption of on-chain finance grows, with significant buying activity from entities like BitMine and Consensys cited as evidence. Conversely, the **bearish perspective**, led by Hoffman and analysts like Markus Thielen, questions ETH's value capture mechanism. They acknowledge Ethereum's network success but argue that the value created by L2s, DeFi, and applications does not sufficiently accrue to the ETH token itself. Bears point to ETH's prolonged underperformance versus the broader crypto market, lack of traditional cash flows, weakening "ultrasound money" narrative, and apparent institutional retreat (e.g., Harvard Management Company exiting its ETH ETF position) as key concerns. The debate highlights a pivotal shift: ETH is no longer just a community belief asset. The central question is whether ETH can transition from being a "**used infrastructure**" to a "**continuously bought and held core asset**" as more value enters the Ethereum ecosystem. The market is now critically examining the direct link between network growth and ETH's value.

marsbit46 хв тому

ETH Bull and Bear Views Compilation: Can Ethereum's Value Flow Back to ETH?

marsbit46 хв тому

Crypto is dead, Perps are forever

The crypto industry is shifting from a focus on creating native assets (like altcoins and protocol tokens) to becoming a "global asset pipeline." Native cryptocurrencies, except for Bitcoin, are seen as failing in their value storage and utility promises, with demand driven largely by speculation. Attention and liquidity are now moving toward real-world assets (RWAs) like U.S. stocks, bonds, gold, and oil traded on-chain via perpetual contracts (Perps). Stablecoins like USDT and USDC set the precedent, proving blockchain's core strength is efficient global settlement and transfer, not inventing new monetary systems. Meanwhile, assets like Ethereum and many DeFi tokens struggle as their narratives weaken against tangible traditional assets and the rapid real-world progress of AI. Perpetual contracts have emerged as a pivotal innovation. They simplify trading by offering pure price exposure to any asset, bypassing complexities of ownership, custody, and traditional market hours. Projects like Hyperliquid gained traction by combining CEX-like efficiency with on-chain transparency, capitalizing on post-FTX distrust, macroeconomic volatility, and the surge in demand for 24/7 stock trading. In conclusion, while the era of speculative native "crypto assets" may be over, perpetual contracts persist as the industry's most potent financial instrument—transforming all assets into globally accessible, constantly tradable instruments centered on price speculation.

marsbit52 хв тому

Crypto is dead, Perps are forever

marsbit52 хв тому

Tencent, Alibaba, ByteDance in a Battle for the Skill Store

Skill is becoming a key concept in the AI field, essentially serving as a structured "instruction manual" for AI Agents that specifies tool calls, decision logic, and output standards. This allows Agents to execute predefined tasks. As the number of Skills grows, distribution platforms have emerged. Major tech companies are swiftly entering this space. In March, Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance launched Skill stores within their respective Agent platforms. Subsequently, players like Zhipu AI, Meituan, and Xiaohongshu joined the fray. This competition for the "Skill store" is fundamentally a battle for the AI-era user entry point; whoever controls distribution controls the users. While ByteDance's Coze has experimented with paid Skills, most platforms offer them for free. The real value lies not in the stores themselves but in using them to attract and retain users within an ecosystem, driving revenue from services like cloud computing, model calls, or advertising. The landscape features three main player types: 1) **Internet giants** (e.g., Alibaba, ByteDance, Tencent, Meituan), leveraging Skills to drive traffic and monetize through their broader ecosystems (cloud services, transactions, ads). 2) **Large model companies** (e.g., Zhipu AI, Moonshot AI), using Skill stores to increase user engagement and monetize model API calls. 3) **Content platforms** (e.g., Xiaohongshu), treating Skills as a new content format to generate traffic and ad revenue. However, transforming Skill stores into a sustainable business faces significant hurdles. Key challenges include: the **difficulty in pricing Skills** due to inconsistent outputs across different models and contexts; **lack of cost transparency** (varying token consumption); **security risks** like Skill poisoning; and the **absence of standardized protocols** for development and evaluation. Unlike standardized mobile apps, Skills are often personalized workflows resistant to uniformity, which hinders the establishment of a reliable review and monetization system akin to the App Store. While there is genuine user demand for paid Skills—particularly in enterprise (e.g., contract review) and certain personal productivity scenarios—current platforms offer developers limited and unpredictable distribution. The future of Skill stores depends on overcoming these standardization, evaluation, and safety challenges to make acquiring a Skill as straightforward as downloading an app. For now, the stores function more as display shelves than robust marketplaces.

marsbit52 хв тому

Tencent, Alibaba, ByteDance in a Battle for the Skill Store

marsbit52 хв тому

The Crypto Scene Is Dead, Perpetual Swaps Are Eternal

The crypto industry is undergoing a fundamental shift. The era defined by minting novel, native digital assets (altcoins) is fading. These assets, lacking real-world cash flows or clear value, are losing relevance as attention and capital flow elsewhere. Two powerful external forces are reshaping the space. First, traditional assets like U.S. stocks, bonds, gold, and oil are being tokenized and traded on-chain. Second, the explosive growth of AI, with its tangible products, has overshadowed crypto's once-dominant "future narrative." This marks a critical pivot: crypto is transitioning from being a "factory for new assets" to becoming a "global conduit for existing assets." Its validated utility is not complex financial reinvention but efficient global settlement, transfer, and trading—the original promise of blockchain. Stablecoins like USDT and USDC exemplify this, offering faster dollar movement rather than replacing it. Consequently, native ecosystems like Ethereum face profound challenges. While still crucial infrastructure, ETH struggles to capture value as users interact with Layer 2s or trade traditional assets without needing to hold it. DeFi's grand narrative of rebuilding finance has narrowed to core needs like cheap transfers and deep liquidity. The true breakout innovation is the perpetual contract (Perp). It brilliantly bypasses the complexities of direct asset ownership (custody, compliance, dividends) by creating pure price exposure. Users can speculate on the price movement of *any* asset—NVIDIA, gold, oil—24/7, globally, and with leverage. This "price casino" model, while risky and ethically fraught, delivers unmatched liquidity and accessibility. Projects like Hyperliquid succeeded not by inventing new mechanics but by perfecting the timing and execution of this model. Key drivers included making on-chain Perps feel like centralized exchanges, post-FTX trust migration towards transparency, and rising demand to trade macro assets and equities round-the-clock. In conclusion, the crypto world's most enduring successes are the dollar (via stablecoins), Bitcoin, and trading. Its new frontier is not creating alternative assets but providing a seamless, perpetual trading layer—a new API—for the world's existing financial system. The age of native altcoins is over; the age of perpetual synthetic exposure has begun.

Odaily星球日报1 год тому

The Crypto Scene Is Dead, Perpetual Swaps Are Eternal

Odaily星球日报1 год тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси

Популярні статті

Як купити HYPE

Ласкаво просимо до HTX.com! Ми зробили покупку Hyperliquid (HYPE) простою та зручною. Дотримуйтесь нашої покрокової інструкції, щоб розпочати свою криптовалютну подорож.Крок 1: Створіть обліковий запис на HTXВикористовуйте свою електронну пошту або номер телефону, щоб зареєструвати обліковий запис на HTX безплатно. Пройдіть безпроблемну реєстрацію й отримайте доступ до всіх функцій.ЗареєструватисьКрок 2: Перейдіть до розділу Купити крипту і виберіть спосіб оплатиКредитна/дебетова картка: використовуйте вашу картку Visa або Mastercard, щоб миттєво купити Hyperliquid (HYPE).Баланс: використовуйте кошти з балансу вашого рахунку HTX для безперешкодної торгівлі.Треті особи: ми додали популярні способи оплати, такі як Google Pay та Apple Pay, щоб підвищити зручність.P2P: Торгуйте безпосередньо з іншими користувачами на HTX.Позабіржова торгівля (OTC): ми пропонуємо індивідуальні послуги та конкурентні обмінні курси для трейдерів.Крок 3: Зберігайте свої Hyperliquid (HYPE)Після придбання Hyperliquid (HYPE) збережіть його у своєму обліковому записі на HTX. Крім того, ви можете відправити його в інше місце за допомогою блокчейн-переказу або використовувати його для торгівлі іншими криптовалютами.Крок 4: Торгівля Hyperliquid (HYPE)Легко торгуйте Hyperliquid (HYPE) на спотовому ринку HTX. Просто увійдіть до свого облікового запису, виберіть торгову пару, укладайте угоди та спостерігайте за ними в режимі реального часу. Ми пропонуємо зручний досвід як для початківців, так і для досвідчених трейдерів.

268 переглядів усьогоОпубліковано 2024.12.11Оновлено 2026.06.02

Як купити HYPE

Обговорення

Ласкаво просимо до спільноти HTX. Тут ви можете бути в курсі останніх подій розвитку платформи та отримати доступ до професійної ринкової інформації. Нижче представлені думки користувачів щодо ціни HYPE (HYPE).

活动图片